Projected Income Statement: Watsco, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Watsco, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -146 55.2 -56.9 -195 -672 -566 -776 -1,062
Change - 137.81% -203.08% -242.71% -244.62% 15.73% -37.1% -36.86%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/16/23 2/13/24 2/18/25 2/17/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Watsco, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 16.34 24.11 33.79 34.17 29.83 30.14 32.07 34.83
Change - 47.52% 40.16% 1.13% -12.71% 1.04% 6.4% 8.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 518 325.5 538.2 527.8 743.3 631.9 439.3 684.5
Change - -37.17% 65.36% -1.93% 40.83% -14.98% -30.48% 55.82%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/16/23 2/13/24 2/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Watsco, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.45% 10.46% 11.92% 11.39% 10.8% 10.55% 10.86% 11.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.93% 10.01% 11.48% 10.91% 10.26% 9.95% 10.28% 10.78%
EBT Margin (%) 7.91% 9.99% 11.4% 10.84% 10.54% 10.19% 10.51% 10.89%
Net margin (%) 4.88% 6.08% 7.56% 6.86% 6.55% 6.41% 6.71% 6.99%
FCF margin (%) 10.25% 5.18% 7.4% 7.25% 9.76% 8.69% 5.85% 8.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 210.21% 85.26% 97.87% 105.68% 148.98% 133.73% 87.27% 124.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.75% 13.71% 15.42% 13.84% 12.16% 10.76% 11.19% 12.09%
ROE 16.87% 24.22% 28.51% 24.25% 20.42% 17.74% 17.66% 19.49%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.08x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.17x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.32% 0.38% 0.46% 0.47% 0.39% 0.41% 0.43% 0.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.83% 3.67% 3.9% 4.12% 3.63% 3.85% 3.93% 3.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3.15% 7.41% 6.28% 6.47% 4.01% 4.77% 7.3% 5.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 16.03 15.38 - - - -
Change - - - -4.03% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 6.925 7.625 8.55 9.8 10.55 11.62 13.2 12.57
Change - 10.11% 12.13% 14.62% 7.65% 10.15% 13.59% -4.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 42.29 47 52.94 61.04 70.83 75.76 90.23 82.42
Change - 11.13% 12.64% 15.29% 16.05% 6.96% 19.09% -8.65%
EPS 1 7.01 10.78 15.41 13.67 13.3 12.25 13.03 14.54
Change - 53.78% 42.95% -11.29% -2.71% -7.89% 4.87% 11.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 35,290 35,438 35,277 36,805 37,645 37,932 37,932 37,932
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/16/23 2/13/24 2/18/25 2/17/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 27.5x 32.5x
PBR 5.58x 4.69x
EV / Sales 1.77x 2.03x
Yield 2.75% 3.12%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
422.83USD
Average target price
402.67USD
Spread / Average Target
-4.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. WSO Stock
  4. Financials Watsco, Inc.