Projected Income Statement: XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -9,041 -7,450 18,172 20,269 22,829 22,015 22,114 20,562
Change - 17.6% 343.92% 11.54% 12.63% -3.57% 0.45% -7.02%
Announcement Date 4/14/21 4/18/22 4/28/23 4/29/24 4/28/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,947 3,075 7,885 5,903 2,644 4,336 4,345 4,469
Change - 57.9% 156.42% -25.14% -55.2% 63.97% 0.19% 2.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - -6,302 -2,332 3,075 6,327 6,589 8,849
Change - - - 63% 231.89% 105.74% 4.13% 34.31%
Announcement Date 4/14/21 4/18/22 4/28/23 4/29/24 4/28/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.38% 8.99% 9.22% 10.35% 11.6% 12.97% 13.76% 14.09%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.78% 7.33% 5.42% 6.07% 7.12% 8.57% 9.55% 10.37%
EBT Margin (%) 5.81% 7.46% 5.34% 6.11% 7.18% 7.91% 9.17% 9.98%
Net margin (%) 5.04% 6.66% 4.59% 5.74% 6.52% 7.08% 8.08% 8.92%
FCF margin (%) - - -6.72% -2.51% 3.36% 6.21% 5.69% 6.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - -146.31% -43.78% 51.46% 87.63% 70.4% 74.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.41% 5.56% - 3.16% 3.7% 4.47% 5.28% 6.12%
ROE 11.73% 16.24% 8.13% 9.86% 10.3% 11.39% 13.56% 15.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 2.1x 2.11x 2.15x 1.66x 1.39x 1.1x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -2.88x -8.69x 7.42x 3.48x 3.36x 2.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.63% 3.65% 8.4% 6.36% 2.89% 4.25% 3.75% 3.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.7% 40.55% 91.13% 61.43% 24.86% 32.79% 27.27% 23.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - -125.12% -253.14% 85.99% 68.53% 65.94% 50.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3561 1.03 0.134 0.3022 0.4841 0.8855 0.9183 1.044
Change - 189.39% -87% 125.52% 60.19% 82.92% 3.7% 13.67%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 - 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.2376 0.31 0.4019
Change - - - 20% 0% 32.03% 30.43% 29.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.05 4.652 4.507 4.752 5.019 5.443 6.034 6.766
Change - 14.87% -3.12% 5.43% 5.64% 8.44% 10.86% 12.14%
EPS 1 0.45 0.7052 0.36 0.45 0.51 0.6111 0.7926 1.009
Change - 56.71% -48.95% 25% 13.33% 19.82% 29.7% 27.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,833,668 7,833,668 11,816,166 11,698,005 11,800,728 11,737,534 11,737,534 11,737,534
Announcement Date 4/14/21 4/18/22 4/28/23 4/29/24 4/28/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.2x 13.3x
PBR 1.93x 1.75x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.26x
Yield 2.26% 2.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
10.53CNY
Average target price
12.70CNY
Spread / Average Target
+20.65%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000425 Stock
  4. Financials XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.