ALAMO GROUP INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 196.8 USD | -1.95% |
|
-1.26% | -6.85% |
| May. 07 | DA Davidson Adjusts Price Target on Alamo to $225 From $235, Maintains Buy Rating | MT |
| May. 03 | Transcript : Alamo Group Inc., Q1 2024 Earnings Call, May 03, 2024 |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 1,485 | 1,639 | 1,755 | 1,694 | 2,525 | 2,419 | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,886 | 1,639 | 1,755 | 1,949 | 2,708 | 2,525 | 2,323 |
| P/E ratio | 23.6 x | 28.9 x | 21.8 x | 16.6 x | 18.5 x | 17.4 x | 15.3 x |
| Yield | 0.38% | 0.38% | 0.38% | 0.51% | 0.42% | 0.44% | 0.44% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.33 x | 1.41 x | 1.32 x | 1.12 x | 1.49 x | 1.38 x | 1.32 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.69 x | 1.41 x | 1.32 x | 1.29 x | 1.6 x | 1.44 x | 1.27 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.1 x | 11.9 x | 10.8 x | 9.95 x | 11 x | 9.89 x | 8.36 x |
| EV / FCF | 31.6 x | 9.84 x | 71.9 x | -117 x | 29 x | 22.2 x | 17.1 x |
| FCF Yield | 3.17% | 10.2% | 1.39% | -0.85% | 3.45% | 4.5% | 5.85% |
| Price to Book | 2.6 x | - | - | 2.15 x | 2.7 x | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 11,826 | 11,879 | 11,924 | 11,966 | 12,012 | 12,053 | - |
| Reference price 2 | 125.6 | 138.0 | 147.2 | 141.6 | 210.2 | 200.7 | 200.7 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,119 | 1,163 | 1,334 | 1,514 | 1,690 | 1,749 | 1,836 |
| EBITDA 1 | 124.9 | 137.6 | 162.1 | 195.9 | 246.6 | 255.4 | 277.9 |
| EBIT 1 | 94.65 | 93.16 | 116.9 | 134.3 | 198 | 203.5 | 225.2 |
| Operating Margin | 8.46% | 8.01% | 8.76% | 8.87% | 11.72% | 11.63% | 12.27% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 84.34 | 78.14 | 109.5 | 134.3 | 175.1 | 182.8 | 208.7 |
| Net income 1 | 62.91 | 56.63 | 80.24 | 101.9 | 136.2 | 138.5 | 157.4 |
| Net margin | 5.62% | 4.87% | 6.01% | 6.73% | 8.06% | 7.92% | 8.57% |
| EPS 2 | 5.330 | 4.780 | 6.750 | 8.540 | 11.36 | 11.52 | 13.10 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 59.75 | 166.5 | 24.4 | -16.61 | 93.41 | 113.6 | 135.9 |
| FCF margin | 5.34% | 14.31% | 1.83% | -1.1% | 5.53% | 6.5% | 7.4% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 47.84% | 120.94% | 15.06% | - | 37.87% | 44.48% | 48.91% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 94.99% | 293.94% | 30.41% | - | 68.6% | 82.03% | 86.37% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.4800 | 0.5200 | 0.5600 | 0.7200 | 0.8800 | 0.8800 | 0.8800 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 337.2 | 362 | 396.2 | 368.8 | 386.6 | 411.8 | 440.7 | 419.6 | 417.5 | 425.6 | 432.3 | 440.2 | 450.7 | 440.3 | 451.1 |
| EBITDA 1 | 39.16 | 40.3 | 52.16 | 47.37 | 56.12 | 60.64 | 66.29 | 61.9 | 57.81 | 60.15 | 62.8 | 65.44 | 67.9 | 64.7 | 67.77 |
| EBIT 1 | 27.87 | 29.12 | 40.92 | 35.84 | 38.26 | 49.02 | 54.39 | 49.75 | 44.8 | 46.98 | 49.62 | 52.24 | 54.62 | 51.73 | 54.77 |
| Operating Margin | 8.26% | 8.04% | 10.33% | 9.72% | 9.9% | 11.91% | 12.34% | 11.86% | 10.73% | 11.04% | 11.48% | 11.87% | 12.12% | 11.75% | 12.14% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 25.02 | 24.79 | 37.65 | 33.61 | 38.26 | 44.47 | 46.87 | 43.55 | 40.24 | 41.79 | 44.08 | 47.16 | 49.82 | 47.97 | 51.13 |
| Net income 1 | 19.23 | 18.47 | 28.47 | 25.82 | 29.16 | 33.35 | 36.37 | 34.92 | 31.25 | 32.12 | 33.3 | 35.6 | 37.48 | 36 | 38.47 |
| Net margin | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.19% | 7% | 7.54% | 8.1% | 8.25% | 8.32% | 7.48% | 7.55% | 7.7% | 8.09% | 8.32% | 8.18% | 8.53% |
| EPS 2 | 1.620 | 1.550 | 2.390 | 2.160 | 2.440 | 2.790 | 3.030 | 2.910 | 2.630 | 2.670 | 2.764 | 2.958 | 3.126 | 2.993 | 3.193 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.1400 | 0.1800 | 0.1800 | 0.1800 | 0.1800 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | - | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 5/4/22 | 8/3/22 | 11/3/22 | 2/23/23 | 5/4/23 | 8/2/23 | 11/2/23 | 2/22/24 | 5/2/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 402 | - | - | 255 | 183 | 106 | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 96 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.216 x | - | - | 1.301 x | 0.7434 x | 0.415 x | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 59.8 | 166 | 24.4 | -16.6 | 93.4 | 114 | 136 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 6.5% | - | - | - | 10% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Assets 1 | 967.2 | - | - | - | 1,359 | 1,442 | 1,471 |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.30 | - | - | 65.80 | 77.80 | - | - |
| Cash Flow per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | 31.3 | 17.9 | 25.3 | 31.1 | 37.7 | 36.5 | 35.4 |
| Capex / Sales | 2.8% | 1.54% | 1.89% | 2.06% | 2.23% | 2.09% | 1.93% |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
200.7
USD
Average target price
234
USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.58%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -6.73% | 2.42B | |
| +8.92% | 56.65B | |
| +14.64% | 35.9B | |
| +29.39% | 30.19B | |
| +25.35% | 28.53B | |
| +13.59% | 24.44B | |
| +6.58% | 23.93B | |
| +12.72% | 18.35B | |
| -4.84% | 14.89B | |
| +26.02% | 13.18B |
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