Financials Lucky Cement Limited

Equities

LUCK

PK0071501016

Construction Materials

End-of-day quote Pakistan S.E. 06:00:00 2024-05-23 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
890.5 PKR +2.07% Intraday chart for Lucky Cement Limited -0.16% +13.15%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 123,034 149,263 279,215 148,442 163,610 255,622 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 123,034 232,372 376,904 148,442 163,610 255,622 255,622 255,622
P/E ratio 10.9 x 24.3 x 12.2 x 5.03 x 3.41 x 4.45 x 4.09 x 3.51 x
Yield 1.71% - - - 3.45% 2.16% 2.7% 2.86%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.14 x 1.21 x 1.35 x 0.45 x 0.36 x 0.63 x 0.49 x 0.46 x
EV / Revenue 1.14 x 1.21 x 1.35 x 0.45 x 0.36 x 0.63 x 0.49 x 0.46 x
EV / EBITDA 5,553,409 x 9,855,630 x 6,823,936 x - - - - -
EV / FCF - -3.08 x 40 x -11 x 4.88 x 2.58 x 2.48 x 2.62 x
FCF Yield - -32.5% 2.5% -9.11% 20.5% 38.7% 40.3% 38.1%
Price to Book 1.13 x 1.31 x 2.06 x 0.87 x 0.73 x 2.4 x 1.95 x 1.62 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 323,375 323,375 323,375 323,375 313,375 293,000 - -
Reference price 2 380.5 461.6 863.4 459.0 522.1 890.5 890.5 890.5
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 108,296 123,768 207,159 331,462 459,459 408,595 521,844 560,244
EBITDA 22,155 15,145 40,917 - - - - -
EBIT 1 - 7,087 32,014 - 77,295 100,146 103,205 108,545
Operating Margin - 5.73% 15.45% - 16.82% 24.51% 19.78% 19.37%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 8,931 33,002 - 62,328 - - -
Net income - 6,132 22,858 29,497 48,758 - - -
Net margin - 4.95% 11.03% 8.9% 10.61% - - -
EPS 2 35.03 18.96 70.69 91.22 153.0 200.0 217.5 253.4
Free Cash Flow 1 - -48,515 6,985 -13,522 33,528 99,003 103,091 97,496
FCF margin - -39.2% 3.37% -4.08% 7.3% 24.23% 19.76% 17.4%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - 17.07% - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 30.56% - 68.76% - - -
Dividend per Share 2 6.500 - - - 18.00 19.20 24.00 25.50
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2021 S1 2022 Q2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3
Net sales - 68,398 123,380 - - 90,633 94,957 185,590 - - - - -
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT - 8,962 16,781 - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin - 13.1% 13.6% - - - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 9,922 20,517 - - 8,917 13,177 22,094 - - - - -
Net income - 6,496 13,147 7,572 - 5,449 10,464 15,913 - 17,706 17,633 - -
Net margin - 9.5% 10.66% - - 6.01% 11.02% 8.57% - - - - -
EPS 1 32.05 20.09 - 23.41 27.15 16.85 32.51 49.32 66.47 57.80 59.41 117.2 53.20
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/28/22 4/29/22 8/5/22 10/31/22 1/30/23 1/30/23 5/2/23 10/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/24 4/30/24
1PKR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt - 83,109 97,689 - - - - -
Net Cash position - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 5.488 x 2.387 x - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 - -48,515 6,985 -13,522 33,528 99,003 103,091 97,496
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 11% 5.5% 18.3% 19.2% 24.5% 26% 25.1% 21.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - 8.77% 11.6% 10.7% -
Assets - - - - 556,024 - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 337.0 352.0 419.0 528.0 714.0 371.0 456.0 550.0
Cash Flow per Share - - - - - - - -
Capex - 55,356 28,346 - - - - -
Capex / Sales - 44.73% 13.68% - - - - -
Announcement Date 7/29/19 8/25/20 8/9/21 8/5/22 8/8/23 - - -
1PKR in Million2PKR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
890.5 PKR
Average target price
1,074 PKR
Spread / Average Target
+20.64%
Consensus
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