Financials TransAlta Corporation

Equities

TA

CA89346D1078

Independent Power Producers

Delayed Toronto S.E. 12:17:48 2024-05-17 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
9.85 CAD -1.01% Intraday chart for TransAlta Corporation +1.13% -10.62%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 2,598 2,652 3,808 3,268 3,415 3,026 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 5,725 5,827 6,863 6,542 7,280 7,378 7,036 6,853
P/E ratio 51.6 x -7.93 x -6.6 x 1,211 x 4.73 x 11.8 x 57.4 x 12.3 x
Yield 1.29% 1.76% 1.35% 1.69% 2% 2.41% 2.55% 2.64%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.11 x 1.26 x 1.4 x 1.1 x 1.02 x 1.02 x 1.19 x 1.17 x
EV / Revenue 2.44 x 2.77 x 2.52 x 2.2 x 2.17 x 2.49 x 2.77 x 2.66 x
EV / EBITDA 6.17 x 6.29 x 5.43 x 4 x 4.46 x 5.93 x 6.12 x 6.64 x
EV / FCF 15.1 x 16.3 x 13.2 x -160 x 12.4 x 12.5 x 11.4 x 9.54 x
FCF Yield 6.62% 6.14% 7.59% -0.63% 8.09% 7.97% 8.78% 10.5%
Price to Book 1.3 x 1.13 x 2.41 x 2.96 x - 3.09 x 2.67 x 2.43 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 279,952 274,226 271,015 269,888 309,865 304,100 - -
Reference price 2 9.280 9.670 14.05 12.11 11.02 9.950 9.950 9.950
Announcement Date 3/4/20 3/3/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,347 2,101 2,721 2,976 3,355 2,962 2,539 2,576
EBITDA 1 928 927 1,263 1,634 1,632 1,244 1,149 1,032
EBIT 1 338 273 734 1,035 1,011 752.5 534.5 669
Operating Margin 14.4% 12.99% 26.98% 34.78% 30.13% 25.41% 21.05% 25.97%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 193 -303 -380 353 880 - - -
Net income 1 52 -336 -576 4 644 220 8.5 -
Net margin 2.22% -15.99% -21.17% 0.13% 19.2% 7.43% 0.33% -
EPS 2 0.1800 -1.220 -2.130 0.0100 2.330 0.8467 0.1733 0.8100
Free Cash Flow 1 379 358 521 -41 589 588 618 718
FCF margin 16.15% 17.04% 19.15% -1.38% 17.56% 19.85% 24.34% 27.87%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 40.84% 38.62% 41.25% - 36.09% 47.26% 53.8% 69.6%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 728.85% - - - 91.46% 267.27% 7,270.88% -
Dividend per Share 2 0.1200 0.1700 0.1900 0.2050 0.2200 0.2400 0.2533 0.2625
Announcement Date 3/4/20 3/3/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 610 735 458 929 854 1,089 625 1,017 624 - - - - - -
EBITDA 1 270 266 279 555 541 503 387 453 289 328 283.6 325.3 306.5 - 265
EBIT 1 136 149 164 376 353 327 214 313 157 204 141 - - - -
Operating Margin 22.3% 20.27% 35.81% 40.47% 41.33% 30.03% 34.24% 30.78% 25.16% - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 242 -22 126 7 - 79 453 - - - - - - -
Net income -78 186 -80 61 -163 294 62 372 -84 - - - - - -
Net margin -12.79% 25.31% -17.47% 6.57% -19.09% 27% 9.92% 36.58% -13.46% - - - - - -
EPS 2 -0.2900 0.6900 -0.3000 0.2300 -0.6100 1.100 0.2300 1.410 -0.2700 0.7200 0.0500 0.2500 0.1100 0.2100 0.0500
Dividend per Share 2 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 0.0550 - 0.0550 0.0550 0.0550 0.0600 0.0600 0.0600 0.0600 - -
Announcement Date 2/24/22 5/6/22 8/5/22 11/8/22 2/23/23 5/5/23 8/4/23 11/7/23 2/23/24 5/3/24 - - - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 3,127 3,175 3,055 3,274 3,865 4,352 4,010 3,827
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.37 x 3.425 x 2.419 x 2.004 x 2.368 x 3.498 x 3.49 x 3.71 x
Free Cash Flow 1 379 358 521 -41 589 588 618 718
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 1.75% -6.49% 1.93% -12.2% 35.3% 33.9% -8.6% -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 0.55% -1.79% - - - 2.5% -0.6% -
Assets 1 9,468 18,770 - - - 8,800 -1,417 -
Book Value Per Share 2 7.140 8.550 5.830 4.100 - 3.220 3.730 4.090
Cash Flow per Share 2 2.570 2.490 3.580 4.400 4.860 2.860 2.450 2.320
Capex 1 417 486 480 918 875 414 283 318
Capex / Sales 17.77% 23.13% 17.64% 30.85% 26.08% 13.98% 11.14% 12.34%
Announcement Date 3/4/20 3/3/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/23/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
9.95 CAD
Average target price
13.59 CAD
Spread / Average Target
+36.62%
Consensus
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