Analysis: Interest Rates

Bonds now doing heavy lifting in 60/40 portfolio: McGeever

ORLANDO, Florida -The past month in markets has been littered with momentous events: a record burst in U.S. stock market volatility, near-confirmation from the Federal Reserve that U.S. interest...

Cash could stay attractive for months despite rate cuts, JP Morgan says

Looming interest rate cuts may not immediately spur a rush out of cash-like instruments, as yields on some shorter-dated government bonds could take months to fall below those on longer-term debt,...

Analysis-Bond markets face a reckoning after stellar summer run

Government bond markets, which have enjoyed a summer of solid price gains, now face a reckoning with their bets for speedy central bank rate cuts and slowing inflation, not to mention a tight U.S....

U.S. Treasuries not the safe bet they once were, research says

No safer than a bund. Or a gilt. Or an OAT. Long touted as hands-down the world's safe haven securities, the behavior of U.S. Treasuries during and after the COVID-19 pandemic calls that...

Rates: Waiting for Jackson Hole

While awaiting the next Federal Reserve Committee meeting in September, investors can take comfort in the central bankers' meeting in Jackson Hole. Starting on Thursday, the meeting in Wyoming will...

Rate: Summer hot flashes

After an exhausting end of July/beginning of August in more ways than one, the past week has sounded like a call for calm. Admittedly, investors have not had many economic indicators to sink their...

But what's going on?

It had been a promising summer, with falling inflation and the prospect of the US Federal Reserve lowering the cost of borrowing for the first time. But then, lo and behold, recessionary fears reared...

US bond rally overdone but Fed should have cut rates in July, BlackRock manager says

NEW YORK, Aug 5 - A recent U.S. Treasuries rally, fueled by expectations of significantly lower interest rates, is overdone as the economy's resilience may make it unnecessary for the...

U.S. Treasury futures in unchartered waters as Fed cuts loom: McGeever

As the first U.S. interest rate cut in this cycle draws closer, long and short positions in the Treasury futures market, and overnight repo lending volumes, have never been higher. And...

Rate: Light the fire!

Sometimes all it takes is a small spark to light the fuse. Between a better-than-expected CPI, a rather dovish Jerome Powell and the anti-China rhetoric of the White House candidates, the financial...

US Treasury futures positions at extremes: McGeever

Investor positioning in U.S. Treasury futures is stretching to extreme - and in some cases, record - levels that are likely to revive concerns about potential liquidity and stability risks in...

Rates: Thank you Mr. CPI!

Investors of all stripes were eagerly awaiting this, and we can only conclude that they were not disappointed. Last Thursday's US consumer price data rekindled speculation of a first rate cut in...

Bond market re-focus on US elections throws wrench into 2024 rally hopes

A recalibration of how the U.S. presidential election plays out is causing bond investors to bet yields stay higher for longer as November approaches. Yields have risen sharply after...

Trump presidency would cause spike in US bond yields, says Edmond de Rothschild investment boss

A win for Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election in November would herald a spike in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, said Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management's Chief Investment Officer...

MORNING BID ASIA-Market mood bright, liquidity light

A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. World and U.S. stocks at record highs, a UK general election and Japanese asset prices stretched to historical levels - there's a lot for...

Interest rates : Understanding the yield curve

A new feature is now available on Marketscreener.com, so today we take a closer look at the yield curve. Even if you're only invested in equities, it's always useful to look at the other side of the...

Rates: Big moves

The Fed isn't the only thing in the life of a stock market investor. From time to time, it's a good idea to look outside the box, to take the temperature of the world.

Interest rates: The double effect returns

Between the Fed meeting on the one hand and the French situation on the other, a lot is happening in the world of rates. These two events have a strong impact on the bond market, which is always on...

Bond traders worry liquidity will worsen as US market size grows

U.S. bond market participants are worried market liquidity will keep deteriorating as the U.S. Treasury continues to issue large amounts of debt to back deficit spending while dealers struggle to keep...