Christophe Barraud

"In the US as in Europe, inflation will converge towards 2.5% in Q3 2024" Christophe Barraud

Christophe Barraud, renowned economist and forecaster, comments on the economic situation of the major powers (USA, Europe and China) and unveils his forecasts for growth, inflation, real estate, employment and monetary policy.

November 30, 2023 at 05:18 am EST

Eurozone Monetary Developments In July Point to Recession Risks

Latest Eurozone monetary developments showed that lending to businesses and households weakened in July. In a context where the ECB looks on track to tighten further its monetary policy (at least through the balance sheet contraction) and the full effects of previous moves are yet to be realized in the broader economy, the economic outlook is likely to deteriorate further in the coming months, raising risks of a recession.

August 29, 2023 at 04:19 am EDT

Existing Home Sales on Track To Reach a 13-Year Low

After rebounding earlier this year, existing home sales fell for a second straight month in July. The correction is likely to continue in the coming months as existing home inventory remains depressed and demand is weakening. Using mortgage purchase applications as a proxy, existing home sales are likely to reach a 13-year low soon.

August 28, 2023 at 05:49 am EDT

German House Prices Fell By Double Digits Amid Higher Mortgage Rates

German house prices have experienced a sharp decline in the first half of 2023. Factors such as higher borrowing costs, inflation, and weaker economic growth have contributed to the drop, prompting experts to label the current situation as a transition from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market. The decline in house prices, coupled with a slowdown in housebuilding and regulatory uncertainties, has created a sense of uncertainty and reluctance among potential investors.

July 18, 2023 at 05:43 am EDT

Latest Monetary Developments in the Eurozone Point To A Gloomy Outlook

Latest monetary developments in the Eurozone showed that lending to businesses and households deteriorated again in May. In a context where the ECB looks on track to tighten further its monetary policy, the economy is likely to face a longer recession than expected.

July 03, 2023 at 09:42 am EDT