Projected Income Statement: Almarai Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Almarai Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Almarai Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,203 9,521 9,887 10,140 12,516 13,570 13,699 12,995
Change - 3.46% 3.84% 2.56% 23.43% 8.42% 0.95% -5.14%
Announcement Date 1/23/22 1/23/23 1/21/24 1/20/25 1/18/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Almarai Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,088 1,301 2,506 4,834 5,387 4,180 3,679 2,976
Change - 19.55% 92.68% 92.92% 11.43% -22.4% -12% -19.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,827 2,529 1,977 1,194 -503.2 1,206 1,887 2,961
Change - -33.93% -21.83% -39.59% -142.14% 339.56% 56.48% 56.94%
Announcement Date 1/23/22 1/23/23 1/21/24 1/20/25 1/18/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Almarai Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.9% 22.73% 23.2% 23.31% 25.38% 21.52% 22.32% 22.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.33% 13.12% 14.26% 15.07% 14.03% 13.24% 13.67% 13.8%
EBT Margin (%) 10.52% 9.88% 11.06% 11.74% 11.77% 10.99% 11.38% 11.69%
Net margin (%) 9.87% 9.4% 10.47% 11.03% 11.13% 10.12% 10.7% 11.07%
FCF margin (%) 24.15% 13.51% 10.1% 5.69% -2.28% 4.99% 7.38% 10.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 244.71% 143.7% 96.47% 51.62% -20.49% 49.31% 68.98% 98.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.88% 5.51% 6% 6.45% 6.5% 6.15% 6.4% 6.43%
ROE 9.83% 10.73% 11.89% 12.64% 12.49% 11.75% 12.3% 12.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.43x 2.24x 2.18x 2.07x 2.24x 2.61x 2.4x 2.11x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.4x 3.77x 5x 8.49x -24.87x 11.26x 7.26x 4.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.86% 6.95% 12.8% 23.04% 24.41% 17.31% 14.39% 10.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.72% 30.56% 55.18% 98.86% 96.19% 80.44% 64.48% 48.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.42% 51.43% 126.77% 404.87% -1,070.44% 346.75% 195% 100.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.915 3.829 4.483 6.028 5.463 4.715 5.187 5.593
Change - -22.09% 17.06% 34.49% -9.38% -13.69% 10.02% 7.83%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1 1 1 1.15 1.167 1.245 1.385
Change - 0% 0% 0% 15% 1.45% 6.75% 11.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 16.12 16.67 17.8 18.79 20.53 21.87 23.12 24.21
Change - 3.43% 6.76% 5.58% 9.24% 6.54% 5.71% 4.71%
EPS 1 1.59 1.76 2.05 2.31 2.48 2.488 2.73 3.01
Change - 10.69% 16.48% 12.68% 7.36% 0.3% 9.73% 10.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000
Announcement Date 1/23/22 1/23/23 1/21/24 1/20/25 1/18/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.3x 15.8x
PBR 1.97x 1.86x
EV / Sales 2.35x 2.23x
Yield 2.71% 2.9%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Almarai Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Almarai Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Almarai Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
MarketScreener Ratings - Almarai Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
43.00SAR
Average target price
56.40SAR
Spread / Average Target
+31.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Almarai Company
  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 2280 Stock
  4. Financials Almarai Company