Projected Income Statement: APi Group Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: APi Group Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - APi Group Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 579 2,182 1,848 2,254 1,847 2,881 2,030 1,076
Change - 276.86% -15.31% 21.97% -18.06% 55.98% -29.54% -47%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: APi Group Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 55 79 86 84 96 103 116 121.5
Change - 43.64% 8.86% -2.33% 14.29% 7.29% 12.62% 4.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 127 191 428 668 663 775.3 923.1 1,079
Change - 50.39% 124.08% 56.07% -0.75% 16.94% 19.06% 16.85%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: APi Group Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.33% 10.26% 11.29% 12.72% 13.16% 13.52% 14.33% 15.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.22% 8.95% 9.96% 11.68% 11.84% 12.43% 13.21% 13.75%
EBT Margin (%) 2.01% 1.42% 3.35% 4.7% 5.22% 5.85% 7.68% 9.69%
Net margin (%) -3.48% 0.44% -2.32% -3.19% -3.64% 4.12% 5.79% 6.36%
FCF margin (%) 3.22% 2.91% 6.18% 9.52% 8.38% 8.4% 9.2% 10.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) -92.7% 658.62% -265.84% -298.21% -230.21% 203.68% 158.88% 158.75%

Profitability

        
ROA - 5.4% 5.48% 6.52% 7.34% 8% 8.25% 8.62%
ROE 11.23% 13.65% 14.85% 20.42% 19.71% 22.16% 22.17% 20.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.42x 3.24x 2.36x 2.52x 1.77x 2.31x 1.41x 0.67x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.56x 11.42x 4.32x 3.37x 2.79x 3.72x 2.2x 1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.4% 1.2% 1.24% 1.2% 1.21% 1.12% 1.16% 1.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.51% 11.74% 11% 9.41% 9.22% 8.25% 8.06% 7.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.31% 41.36% 20.09% 12.57% 14.48% 13.29% 12.57% 11.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.6767 1.46 - 1.794 2.183 2.412 -
Change - - 115.76% - - 21.67% 10.48% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 6.774 8.352 7.029 7.165 8.194 8.31 9.918 11.66
Change - 23.29% -15.83% 1.92% 14.37% 1.42% 19.35% 17.55%
EPS 1 -0.4467 0.0667 -0.4533 -0.56 -0.69 1.078 1.499 1.501
Change - 114.93% -779.96% -23.53% -23.21% 256.19% 39.1% 0.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 336,938 350,860 353,339 412,164 415,906 425,258 425,258 425,258
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/25/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 42x 30.2x
PBR 5.45x 4.57x
EV / Sales 2.4x 2.12x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - APi Group Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - APi Group Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - APi Group Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - APi Group Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
45.30USD
Average target price
55.18USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - APi Group Corporation
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