Company Valuation: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 5,145 7,878 6,397 5,543 8,054 20,835 - -
Change - 53.12% -18.8% -13.35% 45.31% 158.68% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,735 7,099 5,563 5,191 8,039 19,763 19,184 18,513
Change - 49.92% -21.64% -6.69% 54.87% 145.85% -2.93% -3.5%
P/E ratio 31.7x 14.6x 20.2x 65.8x 1,013x 54x 29x 21.8x
PBR 4.75x 4.79x 2.96x 2.47x 3.42x 5.61x 4.72x 4.02x
PEG - 0x -0.5x -0.9x -11.2x 0x 0.3x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 10.5x 8.56x 8.65x 12x 14.5x 17.8x 11.7x 9.68x
EV / Revenue 9.68x 7.72x 7.52x 11.2x 14.4x 16.9x 10.8x 8.6x
EV / EBITDA 20.1x 11.8x 14.7x 39.3x 79.4x 35.4x 18.4x 13.2x
EV / EBIT 27.9x 13.1x 17.6x 69x 1,298x 44.5x 21.5x 15.4x
EV / FCF 27.1x 25.9x -26.6x -9.54x -24.6x 70.2x 35.6x 24.4x
FCF Yield 3.69% 3.86% -3.75% -10.5% -4.06% 1.42% 2.81% 4.1%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - 0.2245
Rate of return - - - - - - - 1.08%
EPS 2 0.1799 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.383 0.7148 0.949
Distribution rate - - - - - - - 23.7%
Net sales 1 489 920 739.3 463.3 556.5 1,169 1,783 2,152
EBITDA 1 235.3 601.2 377.7 132.1 101.2 557.7 1,042 1,399
EBIT 1 169.5 540.6 315.5 75.23 6.191 444.5 891.4 1,199
Net income 1 157.1 540.8 310.7 84.51 7.99 384.6 719.6 955.6
Net Debt 1 -409.7 -778.8 -833.8 -352 -15.23 -1,071 -1,650 -2,322
Reference price 2 5.71 8.73 6.85 5.93 8.61 20.70 20.70 20.70
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 901,079 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 - -
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
54.05x16.91x35.44x-.--% 14.59B
72.14x4.8x39.23x0.16% 26.64B
224.35x24.09x55.67x-.--% 10.16B
51.63x - - - 6.43B
-7.08x - - - 4.24B
36.03x - - 0.86% 2.53B
-32.28x - -37.82x-.--% 985M
-78.51x - -17.98x - 934M
-16.15x - - - 547M
Average 33.80x 15.27x 14.91x 0.2% 7.45B
Weighted average by Cap. 78.59x 12.05x 38.90x 0.12%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Lynas Rare Earths Limited
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