Company Valuation: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 5,145 7,878 6,397 5,543 8,054 18,449 - -
Change - 53.12% -18.8% -13.35% 45.31% 129.06% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,735 7,099 5,563 5,191 8,039 17,405 16,886 16,247
Change - 49.92% -21.64% -6.69% 54.87% 116.51% -2.98% -3.78%
P/E ratio 31.7x 14.6x 20.2x 65.8x 1,013x 54.2x 30.4x 22.7x
PBR 4.75x 4.79x 2.96x 2.47x 3.42x 4.96x 4.19x 3.53x
PEG - 0x -0.5x -0.9x -11.2x 0x 0.4x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 10.5x 8.56x 8.65x 12x 14.5x 16.5x 11.2x 9.16x
EV / Revenue 9.68x 7.72x 7.52x 11.2x 14.4x 15.6x 10.2x 8.07x
EV / EBITDA 20.1x 11.8x 14.7x 39.3x 79.4x 34.1x 18.3x 13x
EV / EBIT 27.9x 13.1x 17.6x 69x 1,298x 45.9x 22.8x 15.3x
EV / FCF 27.1x 25.9x -26.6x -9.54x -24.6x 67.9x 39.1x 25.3x
FCF Yield 3.69% 3.86% -3.75% -10.5% -4.06% 1.47% 2.55% 3.95%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - 0.0878
Rate of return - - - - - - - 0.48%
EPS 2 0.1799 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.338 0.6037 0.8078
Distribution rate - - - - - - - 10.9%
Net sales 1 489 920 739.3 463.3 556.5 1,116 1,649 2,014
EBITDA 1 235.3 601.2 377.7 132.1 101.2 509.8 920.9 1,252
EBIT 1 169.5 540.6 315.5 75.23 6.191 379.3 741.5 1,063
Net income 1 157.1 540.8 310.7 84.51 7.99 338.1 608.1 811.8
Net Debt 1 -409.7 -778.8 -833.8 -352 -15.23 -1,044 -1,563 -2,202
Reference price 2 5.71 8.73 6.85 5.93 8.61 18.33 18.33 18.33
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 901,079 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 - -
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
54.23x15.6x34.14x-.--% 12.94B
77.08x5.13x41.88x0.15% 28.46B
228.35x25.01x57.43x-.--% 10.35B
56.84x - - - 7.08B
-6.35x - - - 3.8B
36.21x - - 0.86% 2.54B
-33.92x - -40x-.--% 1.04B
-73x - -15.33x - 866M
-15.5x - - - 513M
Average 35.99x 15.25x 15.62x 0.2% 7.51B
Weighted average by Cap. 83.18x 11.72x 40.50x 0.12%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Lynas Rare Earths Limited