Projected Income Statement: Matador Resources Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,479 613 2,100 3,231 3,323 5,607 4,819 4,024
Change - -58.55% 242.58% 53.86% 2.85% 68.75% -14.05% -16.5%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 733.5 1,084 1,550 1,967 2,183 1,555 1,582 1,602
Change - 47.79% 42.97% 26.91% 11.01% -28.78% 1.73% 1.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 320.9 1,013 268 267 65.46 869.8 1,157 1,178
Change - 215.62% -73.54% -0.39% -75.48% 1,228.8% 32.98% 1.89%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Matador Resources Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.26% 69.56% 65.9% 65.59% 62.08% 67.99% 67.85% 69.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.69% 57.53% 43.09% 40.93% 33.18% 40.77% 41.04% 39.43%
EBT Margin (%) 43.02% 55.12% 39.06% 36.05% 27.96% 24.53% 36.43% 34.07%
Net margin (%) 35.18% 39.71% 30.14% 25.26% 20.54% 19.25% 25.87% 26.71%
FCF margin (%) 19.29% 33.12% 9.55% 7.62% 1.77% 22.77% 25.5% 26.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.85% 83.4% 31.67% 30.15% 8.62% 118.3% 98.58% 99.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.73% 25.77% 12.22% 9.53% 6.73% - - -
ROE 31.69% 46.46% 23.12% 19.67% 14.13% 14.95% 13.12% 13.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.41x 0.29x 1.14x 1.41x 1.45x 2.16x 1.57x 1.3x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.61x 0.61x 7.84x 12.1x 50.76x 6.45x 4.17x 3.41x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 44.11% 35.45% 55.22% 56.12% 59.07% 40.72% 34.88% 35.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 69.72% 50.96% 83.79% 85.56% 95.15% 59.88% 51.4% 51.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 228.6% 107.04% 578.31% 736.76% 3,335.68% 178.8% 136.77% 135.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.848 17.45 15.15 18 18.05 19.56 22.41 22.8
Change - 97.26% -13.19% 18.83% 0.26% 8.39% 14.56% 1.72%
Dividend per Share 1 0.125 0.3 0.65 0.85 1.312 1.525 1.611 1.705
Change - 140% 116.67% 30.77% 54.41% 16.18% 5.66% 5.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 27.89 32.74 40.7 45.53 50.36 56.59 63.44
Change - - 17.39% 24.31% 11.88% 10.59% 12.39% 12.1%
EPS 1 4.91 10.11 7.05 7.14 6.09 5.74 9.229 9.573
Change - 105.91% -30.27% 1.28% -14.71% -5.74% 60.78% 3.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 117,336 118,162 119,135 124,773 124,271 123,998 123,998 123,998
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 2/24/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.55x 5.32x
PBR 0.97x 0.87x
EV / Sales 3.06x 2.4x
Yield 3.11% 3.28%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
49.06USD
Average target price
68.63USD
Spread / Average Target
+39.89%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MTDR Stock
  4. Financials Matador Resources Company