Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 4,879 -1,128 -13,570
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -9.66% -123.12% -1,103.01%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 791.7 754 794.5
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% 15.03% -4.75% 5.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 12,966 14,270 16,732
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 37.05% 10.05% 17.25%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.27% 35.2% 37.09%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.53% 33.61% 35.49%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.75% 32.64% 34.79%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.81% 27.84% 29.43%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 25.31% 25.02% 26.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 84.93% 89.85% 90.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.26% 23.88% 22.98%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 52.92% 47.05% 47.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.29x - -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.38x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.55% 1.32% 1.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 4.65% 3.76% 3.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 6.11% 5.28% 4.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.156 3.659 4.574
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 32.14% 15.95% 25.01%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.374 8.832 10.84
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 17.74% 19.77% 22.71%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.561 3.815 4.558
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 40.77% 7.12% 19.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,429,522 4,450,205 4,376,797 4,274,581 4,237,323 4,163,940 4,163,940 4,163,940
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 1/23/24 1/21/25 1/20/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.4x 18.1x
PBR 9.35x 7.81x
EV / Sales 5.7x 5.01x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
50
Last Close Price
68.95USD
Average target price
98.16USD
Spread / Average Target
+42.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise