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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 309.36 MXN | +0.44% |
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-8.20% | +45.24% |
| Aug. 07 | Petrobras likely to beat 2026 oil production target, CEO says | RE |
| Aug. 07 | Latam currencies advance as weak US jobs data weighs on dollar, stocks mixed | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 452,668 | 641,256 | 509,987 | 527,918 | 470,950 | 574,162 | 541,931 | 528,634 |
| Change | - | 41.66% | -20.47% | 3.52% | -10.79% | 21.92% | -5.61% | -2.45% |
| EBITDA 1 | 234,576 | 340,482 | 261,016 | 264,987 | 231,111 | 304,099 | 283,366 | 278,309 |
| Change | - | 45.15% | -23.34% | 1.52% | -12.78% | 31.58% | -6.82% | -1.78% |
| EBIT 1 | 171,528 | 272,280 | 194,883 | 192,922 | 151,135 | 219,589 | 188,533 | 180,320 |
| Change | - | 58.74% | -28.43% | -1.01% | -21.66% | 45.29% | -14.14% | -4.36% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -59,256 | -18,040 | -11,861 | -23,356 | -14,911 | -15,788 | -14,424 | -14,022 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 151,575 | 274,998 | 176,269 | 64,344 | 141,478 | 206,836 | 167,375 | 162,157 |
| Change | - | 81.43% | -35.9% | -63.5% | 119.88% | 46.2% | -19.08% | -3.12% |
| Net income 1 | 106,668 | 188,328 | 123,920 | 43,473 | 103,668 | 139,923 | 114,484 | 109,932 |
| Change | - | 76.56% | -34.2% | -64.92% | 138.46% | 34.97% | -18.18% | -3.98% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 265,778 | 224,510 | 227,799 | 304,800 | 319,931 | 286,091 | 268,573 | 247,501 |
| Change | - | -15.53% | 1.46% | 33.8% | 4.96% | -10.58% | -6.12% | -7.85% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 34,134 | 49,656 | 62,297 | 85,442 | 103,071 | 93,526 | 96,317 | 94,481 |
| Change | - | 45.47% | 25.46% | 37.15% | 20.63% | -9.26% | 2.99% | -1.91% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 168,992 | 205,754 | 159,925 | 136,180 | 87,257 | 118,200 | 105,399 | 100,373 |
| Change | - | 21.75% | -22.27% | -14.85% | -35.92% | 35.46% | -10.83% | -4.77% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 51.82% | 53.1% | 51.18% | 50.19% | 49.07% | 52.96% | 52.29% | 52.65% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 37.89% | 42.46% | 38.21% | 36.54% | 32.09% | 38.25% | 34.79% | 34.11% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 33.48% | 42.88% | 34.56% | 12.19% | 30.04% | 36.02% | 30.88% | 30.67% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.56% | 29.37% | 24.3% | 8.23% | 22.01% | 24.37% | 21.13% | 20.8% |
| FCF margin (%) | 37.33% | 32.09% | 31.36% | 25.8% | 18.53% | 20.59% | 19.45% | 18.99% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 158.43% | 109.25% | 129.05% | 313.25% | 84.17% | 84.48% | 92.06% | 91.31% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.88% | 19.32% | 12.29% | 9.72% | 8.97% | 10.85% | 9.02% | 8.64% |
| ROE | 30.66% | 50.23% | 33.54% | 28.14% | 29.04% | 27.97% | 20.24% | 17.95% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.13x | 0.66x | 0.87x | 1.15x | 1.38x | 0.94x | 0.95x | 0.89x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.57x | 1.09x | 1.42x | 2.24x | 3.67x | 2.42x | 2.55x | 2.47x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.54% | 7.74% | 12.22% | 16.18% | 21.89% | 16.29% | 17.77% | 17.87% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 14.55% | 14.58% | 23.87% | 32.24% | 44.6% | 30.75% | 33.99% | 33.95% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 20.2% | 24.13% | 38.95% | 62.74% | 118.12% | 79.13% | 91.38% | 94.13% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 15.57 | 19.58 | 16.56 | 15.82 | 14.77 | 16.22 | 15.52 | 16.25 |
| Change | - | 25.74% | -15.41% | -4.5% | -6.65% | 9.83% | -4.32% | 4.71% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 8.534 | 15.09 | 5.569 | 5.734 | 3.199 | 3.57 | 5.878 | 6.151 |
| Change | - | 76.82% | -63.09% | 2.96% | -44.21% | 11.58% | 64.64% | 4.64% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 29.69 | 27.8 | 29.4 | 28.4 | 30.96 | 38.98 | 43.24 | 47.14 |
| Change | - | -6.39% | 5.77% | -3.41% | 9.01% | 25.92% | 10.93% | 9.01% |
| EPS 1 | 8.18 | 14.44 | 9.57 | 2.84 | 8.026 | 12.03 | 9.174 | 8.861 |
| Change | - | 76.53% | -33.73% | -70.32% | 182.59% | 49.86% | -23.72% | -3.41% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,044,201 | 13,044,201 | 13,015,466 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 3.51x | 4.6x |
| PBR | 1.08x | 0.98x |
| EV / Sales | 1.51x | 1.57x |
| Yield | 8.45% | 13.9% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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