ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 40.2 AUD | -2.12% |
|
-0.30% | -1.52% |
| Apr. 26 | NeoGames Closes $1.2 Billion Sale of Company to Luxembourg's Aristocrat Leisure | MT |
| Apr. 26 | Aristocrat Leisure Completes NeoGames Acquisition | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 19,539 | 19,137 | 29,980 | 21,797 | 26,494 | 25,480 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 21,764 | 20,705 | 30,784 | 21,233 | 25,685 | 26,455 | 25,590 | 25,051 |
| P/E ratio | 27.9 x | 13.9 x | 36.5 x | 23.1 x | 18.5 x | 19.3 x | 17.7 x | 15.8 x |
| Yield | 1.83% | 0.33% | 0.87% | 1.58% | 1.57% | 1.83% | 2.02% | 2.15% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 4.44 x | 4.62 x | 6.33 x | 3.91 x | 4.21 x | 3.82 x | 3.6 x | 3.44 x |
| EV / Revenue | 4.95 x | 5 x | 6.5 x | 3.81 x | 4.08 x | 3.96 x | 3.61 x | 3.38 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.6 x | 19 x | 20 x | 11.5 x | 12.2 x | 11.7 x | 10.5 x | 9.63 x |
| EV / FCF | 26 x | 26.7 x | 26.6 x | 20.5 x | 17.7 x | 17.7 x | 15.6 x | 14.4 x |
| FCF Yield | 3.85% | 3.74% | 3.75% | 4.89% | 5.63% | 5.66% | 6.39% | 6.94% |
| Price to Book | 9.12 x | 6.02 x | 9.5 x | 3.6 x | 3.94 x | 3.71 x | 3.41 x | 3.12 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 638,544 | 638,544 | 638,548 | 662,122 | 648,561 | 633,823 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 30.60 | 29.97 | 46.95 | 32.92 | 40.85 | 40.20 | 40.20 | 40.20 |
| Announcement Date | 11/19/19 | 11/17/20 | 11/17/21 | 11/15/22 | 11/14/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: Settembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,397 | 4,139 | 4,737 | 5,574 | 6,296 | 6,674 | 7,085 | 7,403 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,597 | 1,089 | 1,543 | 1,851 | 2,105 | 2,252 | 2,436 | 2,602 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,162 | 771.3 | 1,277 | 1,593 | 1,808 | 1,890 | 2,025 | 2,124 |
| Operating Margin | 26.44% | 18.63% | 26.97% | 28.58% | 28.71% | 28.32% | 28.58% | 28.69% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 973.5 | 359.6 | 1,017 | 1,229 | 1,670 | 1,773 | 1,923 | 2,094 |
| Net income 1 | 698.8 | 1,378 | 820 | 948.5 | 1,454 | 1,329 | 1,434 | 1,569 |
| Net margin | 15.89% | 33.29% | 17.31% | 17.02% | 23.1% | 19.91% | 20.24% | 21.19% |
| EPS 2 | 1.095 | 2.160 | 1.285 | 1.423 | 2.214 | 2.078 | 2.276 | 2.549 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 837.6 | 775.1 | 1,155 | 1,038 | 1,447 | 1,497 | 1,635 | 1,740 |
| FCF margin | 19.05% | 18.73% | 24.39% | 18.62% | 22.99% | 22.43% | 23.08% | 23.5% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 52.45% | 71.15% | 74.87% | 56.07% | 68.73% | 66.47% | 67.12% | 66.85% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 119.86% | 56.26% | 140.88% | 109.41% | 99.52% | 112.65% | 114.04% | 110.9% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.5600 | 0.1000 | 0.4100 | 0.5200 | 0.6400 | 0.7346 | 0.8105 | 0.8642 |
| Announcement Date | 11/19/19 | 11/17/20 | 11/17/21 | 11/15/22 | 11/14/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 S2 | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2024 S1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,292 | 2,252 | 1,887 | 2,230 | - | 2,745 | 2,828 | 3,080 | 3,196 |
| EBITDA | 830.5 | 707.6 | 381.8 | 750.3 | - | 970.3 | - | 1,026 | - |
| EBIT 1 | 608.8 | 469.9 | - | 612.6 | 664.8 | 843.5 | 749.4 | 892.6 | 918 |
| Operating Margin | 26.56% | 20.87% | - | 27.47% | - | 30.72% | 26.5% | 28.98% | 28.72% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 496.3 | 380 | -20.4 | - | - | - | - | 816.8 | 853 |
| Net income 1 | 352.8 | 1,305 | 72.5 | 346.5 | - | 562.4 | - | 692.7 | 640 |
| Net margin | 15.39% | 57.96% | 3.84% | 15.54% | - | 20.49% | - | 22.49% | 20.03% |
| EPS 2 | 0.5530 | 2.044 | 0.1160 | - | - | 0.8000 | 0.6230 | 0.9390 | 0.9900 |
| Dividend per Share | 0.3400 | - | - | - | - | 0.2600 | 0.2600 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/19/19 | 5/20/20 | 11/17/20 | 5/23/21 | 11/17/21 | 5/18/22 | 11/15/22 | 5/17/23 | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: September | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,224 | 1,568 | 805 | - | - | 975 | 111 | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | 564 | 809 | - | - | 429 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.393 x | 1.439 x | 0.5214 x | - | - | 0.433 x | 0.0454 x | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 838 | 775 | 1,155 | 1,038 | 1,447 | 1,497 | 1,635 | 1,740 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 46.1% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 22% | 23.1% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 14.7% | 5.93% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| Assets 1 | 4,760 | 23,246 | 7,835 | 8,107 | 11,533 | 10,529 | 11,151 | 11,576 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.360 | 4.980 | 4.940 | 9.140 | 10.40 | 10.80 | 11.80 | 12.90 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.700 | 1.600 | 2.080 | 1.870 | 2.740 | 2.750 | 3.060 | 3.390 |
| Capex 1 | 317 | 196 | 173 | 208 | 352 | 340 | 357 | 354 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.2% | 4.74% | 3.66% | 3.74% | 5.59% | 5.09% | 5.04% | 4.78% |
| Announcement Date | 11/19/19 | 11/17/20 | 11/17/21 | 11/15/22 | 11/14/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
40.2
AUD
Average target price
47.49
AUD
Spread / Average Target
+18.13%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -1.52% | 16.62B | |
| +7.14% | 33.01B | |
| +5.10% | 24.32B | |
| -18.63% | 19.87B | |
| -18.07% | 19.35B | |
| -4.07% | 9.51B | |
| -21.91% | 7.92B | |
| +0.41% | 7.05B | |
| +6.70% | 7.13B | |
| -21.12% | 6.24B |
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