Results 3Q20
Analyst & Investor call
Soft 3Q20 with mix of recovery and prolonged covid impact
Jan De Witte & Ann Desender | 21 October 2020 |
PRELIMINARY NOTES
Safe harbor statement
This deliverable may contain forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect the current views of management regarding future events, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Barco is providing the information as of this date and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this deliverable in light of new information, future events or otherwise.
Barco disclaims any liability for statements made or published by third parties and does not undertake any obligation to correct inaccurate data, information, conclusions or opinions published by third parties in relation to this or any other deliverable issued by Barco.
Glossary
All definitions for Alternative Performance Measures (APM's) are available in the Glossary of the Half Year
Report and on the investor portal (www.barco.com/en/about-barco/investors)
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AGENDA
- Exec Summary
- Results
- Zoom in on Cinema & ClickShare
- We remain committed to our strategic journey
- Navigating 2020 & beyond
- Q&A
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RESULTS 3Q20 | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Q3 in-line with Q2 with mix of recovery and prolonged covid impact
Entertainment flat as anticipated
Solid signs of recovery vs Q2 for Enterprise, fueled by EMEA & APAC on increased economic activity and back-to-office trends
Covid-pandemic outbreaks caused hospitals to postpone short term investments and led to weaker than expected Healthcare results for Q3
Longer term growth opportunities unchanged but delayed
Cinema content push-outs and industry shake-ups temper short term recovery and will shift renewal wave out
Hybrid in-office/remote working fuels ClickShare Conference opportunity with sales picking- up in recovering markets
Healthcare fundamentals intact while customers adjust 2H delivery timings
Navigating the crisis while focused on securing recovery potential
Management expects continuous pressure on topline performance & a considerable decrease in full year EBITDA margin
2021 cost base reset below 2019 while ensuring business continuity across the portfolio & preserving long term strategic initiatives
4 | A soft 3rd quarter for the group with varied recovery rates |
AGENDA
- Exec Summary
- Results
- Zoom in on Cinema & ClickShare
- We remain committed to our strategic journey
- Navigating 2020 & beyond
- Q&A
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FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | RESULTS 3Q20 & RESULTS YTD
Soft Q3 & YTD performance, but Q3 recovery trend emerging in Enterprise
Year over year growth | Incremental growth vs Q2 | |
Q3 reflects continued pandemic impact with
uneven recovery
- YTD sales -25%with
- Entertainment ytd -32% after -52% in Q3
- Enterprise ytd -35% with a -36% in Q3
6 Healthcare ytd flat after a -14% Q3
Q-o-q show initial signs of recovery
- Order intake +9% Q-o-Q fueled by Enterprise (EMEA & Americas) & Entertainment (APAC & EMEA)
- Prudent +3% recovery in Entertainment
- Enterprise start to rebound in both segments with high-single digit q-o-q recovery
- Healthcare soft with a 3rd quarter push-out for both Diagnostics and Surgical
SALES Q-o-Q group
-13%
RESULTS 3Q20 | REGIONS QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER
Evidence of regional covid dynamics, noticeable start of recovery in Enterprise in EMEA & APAC
AMERICAS | ENT +2% | ENP -14% | HC -20%
- Cinema & Events remain flat at low levels on limited content, partial re-openings and strict capacity limitations (US & LATAM)
- ClickShare investments flat q-o-q due to delayed returns to in-office works
- Healthcare slow on hospital budget constraints, with push-outs for both Diagnostics & Surgical
+7%
+1%
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EMEA | ENT +8% | ENP +14% | HC -1%
- Entertainment business up q-o-q, mainly in Middle-East cinema and rebound of services
- Momentum for ClickShare on 'back-to-office' activity; Control Rooms resilient and continued growth q-o-q in part driven by government funded projects
- Healthcare flattish q-o-q, slower diagnostics offset by stronger surgical sales
ASIA PACIFIC | ENT -1% | ENP +28% | HC -22%
- Entertainment sales flattish q-o-q while orders show momentum for both cinema as wel as V&H
- 'Back-to-office'trend and overall recovery translates into strong Enterprise momentum (ClickShare & Control Rooms)
- Following strong H1, a weaker Q3 in Healthcare with 3rd quarter push-outs for Diagnostics, while Surgical continues to expand
AGENDA
- Exec Summary
- Results
- Zoom in on Cinema & ClickShare
- We remain committed to our strategic journey
- Navigating 2020 & beyond
- Q&A
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UNEVEN RECOVERY OF THE CINEMA INDUSTRY
- of global box office
Covid is challenging the cinema eco-
system...
- Closures Release dates shifting
- Experimenting with release windows, box office split & PVOD
- (Re-)financing,closings, divestitures & consolidation
... and depressing global box office revenues in 2020...*
Cinema
Trade shows
Live music
... but will recover at multiple speeds
China back to Sep'19 levels
- 100% screens open
- Relaxed capacity constraints
- Intn'l & local content inflow
US lagging
- Partial reopening (65%); capacity constraints
- Tenet disappointment in US studios shift dates
reclosings... & impact on global dynamics
Rest of the world, a mixed bag
- 70% open, capacity easing
- Balancing between Hollywood and local content
22%
**
28%
50%
9 | *Source: PWC, Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2020-2024,September 2020 | ** Average market share box office 2018-2019 ; source ir.comscore.com & boxofficemojo.com |
*** Source: Gowerstreet september 28: Graphs reflecting weekly box-office evolution over 3Q20
... BUT PROJECTOR RENEWAL WAVE STILL ANTICIPATED DESPITE ASSUMED TRIM & PUSH IN TIME
China | New
builds
1 | 2 |
a | |
Mature | Emerging | China | |
markets | ||
markets lamp | ||
replacement | Replacement | |
to laser | ||
replacements | ||
2b |
Capture rate 2018-2019
world wide
BARCO
50%
SONY
CHRISTIE
NEC
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- New builds (China & Emerging) remain on the plan but with deployment delays
- Renewal market
- Total addressable market (#screens) could shrink with 10-20% vs pre-covid forecasts
- Mature market replacement wave interrupted in Q1'20, will steadily pick up over 2021, but overall expect curve will shift out of up to 2 years
While value proposition further strengthens
- Renewal need intact (end-of-life, efficiency, 4K)
- Premium and TCO prevails
Renewal-opportunity2021-2026
Pre-Covid | Current outlook |
80-100k | 65-80k projectors |
4 | 3 contenders |
CLICKSHARE CONFERENCE (CX) EXPANDING THE CLICKSHARE FAMILY AND CAPTURING HYBRID MEETING OPPORTUNITY
- Future of Work = Hybrid
- Covid is catalyst to hybrid working & video-conferencing adoption
- Offices are re-opening & employees want WFH max 2 days/wk*
- By mid '21 Office/Home split at 75%/25%
- Companies reshape work spaces for employee engagement
- Offices to become collaboration spaces; meeting spaces beat cubicles
- Investments in hybrid workplaces to enable joining of in-person and videoconf participants
4. CS Conference. Sloping up with 'back to office". Stepping up awareness building
ClickShare distributor sell-out ("Present" & "Conference")
Global, ex -US | US |
2019
2020
3. ClickShare Conference enables better hybrid meetings
- Wireless - flexible - agnostic - low investment - easy to install
- Partnering with all leading peripheral vendors
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APAC & EMEA tracking for recovery by early '21
- September at 80% vs 2019
- Germany/Nordics leading
- CS Conference 24% of total (Q3)
US trailing
- September at 50% vs 2019
- CS Conference 19% of total
* 2020 research Gartner, Company, Gensler + JLL
AGENDA
- Exec Summary
- Results
- Zoom in on Cinema & ClickShare
- We remain committed to our strategic journey
- Navigating 2020 & beyond
- Q&A
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WE REMAIN COMMITTED TO OUR STRATEGY | PROOFPOINTS 3Q20
Innovation, solutions & service
- WallConnect Cloud to monitor video walls remotely
- First LED-installs in Control Rooms
- Barco/Caresyntax: virtual OR presence
- NexxisCare cloudbased remote OR management
- Rolling out Insights Projector management
- Product line extensions UDM & UDX for V&H
Expanding commercial footprint & ICFC
- Barco honored as one of China's top 10 digital OR construction suppliers in 2019
- Logitech, Jabra, Vadio & Yamaha join Barco's ClickShare alliance program
- Demetra launch for the US market
Sustainability
- Barco reaches first target to reduce carbon footprint of own operations one year in advance
- Barco University expanded its training while reducing CO2 by 461 tons
- RGB with a focus on green: Barco's sustainable next-generation RGB Laser video walls
We care - Supporting our partners
- We'll be back! How museums will re-open after covid-19
- Film Fest Gent #CinemaReady!
- #WeMakeEvents - Stand as ONE
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AGENDA
- Exec Summary
- Results
- Zoom in on Cinema & ClickShare
- We remain committed to our strategic journey
- Navigating 2020 & beyond
- Q&A
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RESET(TING) OPERATIONS AND OPEX LEVELS
I. Found balance in hosting a safe and productive hybrid work environment
- All sites operational, working partial capacity, managing supply chain
- Alternating teams, living hybrid work environment
II. Moving from temporary to structural cost contingency measures
- Cont'd discretionary spending stop, hiring freezes, scaling back temps, salary/bonus actions
- Moving from temp to structural measures where we see medium term impact. Redeploying divisional resources to highest needs
- Adjusting investment timetable of selected longer-term initiatives
- Resetting cost levels for 2021 below 2019
III. Managing cash, working capital and liquidity
- Working down inventory & DSO-levels during 2H20
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3Q20 +/- IN LINE WITH COVID-19 IMPACT ASSUMPTION |
POTENTIAL SECOND WAVE IMPACT UNCLEAR
Division/ Segment | Assumed Impact | 3Q YTD | 3Q20 | Qualitative comments 4Q | Assumed |
FY20 | vs 2019 | vs | evolution | ||
2Q20 | 4Q-vs-3Q | ||||
Entertainment | Material negative | -32% | +3% | ~ | |
Cinema | Material neg | -- | ~ | ~ | |
Recovery of renewal wave likely slow for next quarters | |||||
Replacement | Material neg | -- | ~ | ~ | |
New builds | Med neg | - | ~ New builds to show recovery but with delays | ~+ | |
Service revenues | Med neg | - | + Services to further rebound as cinemas reopen | ~+ | |
Venues & Hospitality | Med neg | -- | ~ | ~ | |
Events | Material neg | -- | ~ | Events business likely to remain slow in next quarters | ~ |
ProAV (fixed | Med neg | - | ~ ProAV expected to show steady recovery quarter-over-quarter | ~+ | |
install) | |||||
Simulation | Neutral | ~ | + | Simulation steady | ~ |
Enterprise | Med neg | -35% | +10% | ~+ | |
ClickShare Conference well positioned for hybrid operation & expected | |||||
Corporate | Med neg | -- | + | + | |
to slope up with back-to-office trend | |||||
Control Rooms | Med neg | -- | + | Control Rooms showing resilience with gradual recession recovery | ~ |
Healthcare | Positive=> Flat | +0% | -14% | ~+ | |
Healthcare fundamentals remain solid but confronted with temp push- | |||||
Diagnostic Imaging | Positive=> Med Neg | ~ | -- | ~+ | |
outs |
Surgical | Neutral | ~ | -- | ~+ |
OUTLOOK
At this point, it is clear that 2020 will prove to be an off-year for the Barco P&L. To put the
company back on its path to reaching its long-term financial goals, we are resetting
expense levels while continuing to invest in strategic growth initiatives
Quote CEO, Jan De Witte
- Outlook 2020
- Taking into account the uncertainties associated with the second covid wave, both in terms of its impact on ongoing recovery rates in Europe and delayed recovery in the Americas region, management expects continuous pressure on topline performance
- Given lower volumes, unfavorable mix and continued investments in commercial and innovation strength, we expect a considerable decrease in full year EBITDA margin compared to the first half
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Q&A
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THANK YOU
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Barco NV published this content on 21 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 21 October 2020 08:09:09 UTC