Financials Pkp Cargo S.A.

Equities

PKP

PLPKPCR00011

Ground Freight & Logistics

Delayed Warsaw S.E. 07:34:54 2024-06-10 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
14.38 PLN +0.56% Intraday chart for Pkp Cargo S.A. -1.92% -1.92%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 918.1 613.6 627.9 649.4 653 640.5 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,990 2,888 2,938 649.4 3,283 3,572 3,580 3,493
P/E ratio 25.6 x -2.73 x -2.79 x 4.38 x 7.97 x 4.5 x 4.14 x -
Yield 7.32% - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.19 x 0.14 x 0.15 x 0.12 x 0.12 x 0.12 x 0.11 x 0.1 x
EV / Revenue 0.63 x 0.68 x 0.68 x 0.12 x 0.6 x 0.67 x 0.61 x 0.57 x
EV / EBITDA 3.48 x 4.98 x 5.72 x 0.61 x 3.03 x 3.53 x 2.87 x 2.64 x
EV / FCF -12.5 x -17.4 x -27 x - -22.2 x 87.1 x 12.5 x 11.6 x
FCF Yield -8% -5.74% -3.7% - -4.51% 1.15% 7.98% 8.65%
Price to Book 0.27 x 0.2 x - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 44,787 44,787 44,787 44,787 44,787 44,787 - -
Reference price 2 20.50 13.70 14.02 14.50 14.58 14.30 14.30 14.30
Announcement Date 3/24/20 1/15/21 3/30/22 4/4/23 4/23/24 - - -
1PLN in Million2PLN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 4,782 4,236 4,326 5,390 5,492 5,358 5,912 6,170
EBITDA 1 859.9 580.2 513.2 1,066 1,083 1,012 1,249 1,324
EBIT 1 143.4 -186.4 -208.8 333.3 291.4 136.5 368 435
Operating Margin 3% -4.4% -4.83% 6.18% 5.31% 2.55% 6.23% 7.05%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 73.5 -266.9 -264.4 191.8 119 -78.5 173.5 270
Net income 1 36 -279.5 -225.3 148 82.1 -61.5 140 217
Net margin 0.75% -6.6% -5.21% 2.75% 1.49% -1.15% 2.37% 3.52%
EPS 2 0.8000 -5.010 -5.030 3.310 1.830 3.180 3.450 -
Free Cash Flow 1 -239.3 -165.9 -108.7 - -148 41 285.5 302
FCF margin -5% -3.92% -2.51% - -2.69% 0.77% 4.83% 4.9%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - - - - 4.05% 22.86% 22.82%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - - - - 203.93% 139.17%
Dividend per Share 1.500 - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/24/20 1/15/21 3/30/22 4/4/23 4/23/24 - - -
1PLN in Million2PLN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 S1 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3
Net sales 1 2,046 1,181 1,166 1,285 1,363 1,576 1,564 1,336 1,269
EBITDA 1 226.8 120.9 152.4 219.1 277 417.8 359.4 251.8 242.2
EBIT 1 -128.3 -70.4 -31.5 37.6 92.2 235 168 53.5 37.5
Operating Margin -6.27% -5.96% -2.7% 2.93% 6.76% 14.92% 10.74% 4.01% 2.96%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - -83.8 - - - - - - -
Net income 1 -130 -71.8 - - - - 104.2 5.5 -7.8
Net margin -6.35% -6.08% - - - - 6.66% 0.41% -0.61%
EPS - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 8/19/21 3/30/22 5/28/22 8/25/22 11/24/22 4/4/23 5/30/23 8/25/23 11/29/23
1PLN in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,072 2,274 2,310 - 2,630 2,931 2,939 2,853
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.41 x 3.92 x 4.501 x - 2.428 x 2.898 x 2.353 x 2.155 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -239 -166 -109 - -148 41 286 302
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 1.04% -6.83% -7.29% - 2.55% 4.2% 4.4% 4.2%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 0.49% - - - - - - -
Assets 1 7,399 - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 76.40 70.20 - - - - - -
Cash Flow per Share 18.00 - - - - - - -
Capex 1 1,046 719 809 - 1,359 796 827 841
Capex / Sales 21.87% 16.97% 18.69% - 24.75% 14.85% 13.99% 13.63%
Announcement Date 3/24/20 1/15/21 3/30/22 4/4/23 4/23/24 - - -
1PLN in Million
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
14.3 PLN
Average target price
12.94 PLN
Spread / Average Target
-9.55%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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