Financials Rumo S.A.

Equities

RAIL3

BRRAILACNOR9

Ground Freight & Logistics

Market Closed - Sao Paulo 04:07:32 2024-05-10 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
20.98 BRL +2.54% Intraday chart for Rumo S.A. -0.10% -8.58%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 40,690 35,674 32,914 34,472 42,548 38,803 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 53,224 49,323 46,903 46,259 56,290 50,486 54,265 55,229
P/E ratio 52.4 x 108 x 219 x 67.1 x 59.2 x 18.6 x 14.7 x 13.3 x
Yield - - - - - 0.99% 1.55% 3.95%
Capitalization / Revenue 5.74 x 5.12 x 4.42 x 3.5 x 3.89 x 2.91 x 2.67 x 2.4 x
EV / Revenue 7.51 x 7.08 x 6.3 x 4.7 x 5.15 x 3.79 x 3.74 x 3.41 x
EV / EBITDA 13.9 x 13.5 x 14 x 9.25 x 9.96 x 6.92 x 6.72 x 6.12 x
EV / FCF 35.4 x -676 x -414 x 21.9 x 32 x -41.6 x 42.5 x 250 x
FCF Yield 2.83% -0.15% -0.24% 4.57% 3.13% -2.41% 2.35% 0.4%
Price to Book 4.88 x 2.14 x 2.22 x 2.27 x 2.71 x 2.18 x 1.99 x 1.83 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,559,016 1,854,159 1,853,283 1,852,356 1,853,958 1,849,504 - -
Reference price 2 26.10 19.24 17.76 18.61 22.95 20.98 20.98 20.98
Announcement Date 2/13/20 2/12/21 2/17/22 2/15/23 3/27/24 - - -
1BRL in Million2BRL
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 7,088 6,966 7,440 9,842 10,938 13,324 14,515 16,198
EBITDA 1 3,829 3,664 3,350 5,003 5,650 7,293 8,075 9,032
EBIT 1 2,113 2,048 1,520 3,036 3,474 4,751 5,357 5,853
Operating Margin 29.81% 29.4% 20.43% 30.85% 31.77% 35.66% 36.91% 36.13%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 915 474.7 159.8 707.1 919.1 2,746 3,489 3,694
Net income 1 786 304.7 150.5 514.9 719.7 2,087 2,640 3,101
Net margin 11.09% 4.37% 2.02% 5.23% 6.58% 15.67% 18.19% 19.14%
EPS 2 0.4977 0.1781 0.0810 0.2772 0.3875 1.125 1.423 1.575
Free Cash Flow 1 1,504 -72.94 -113.4 2,113 1,761 -1,214 1,276 220.5
FCF margin 21.22% -1.05% -1.52% 21.47% 16.1% -9.11% 8.79% 1.36%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 39.28% - - 42.24% 31.17% - 15.81% 2.44%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 191.35% - - 410.39% 244.71% - 48.34% 7.11%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - 0.2075 0.3247 0.8281
Announcement Date 2/13/20 2/12/21 2/17/22 2/15/23 3/27/24 - - -
1BRL in Million2BRL
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 1,512 2,206 2,465 2,951 2,220 2,384 2,763 3,175 2,616 3,146 3,244 3,721 3,147 - -
EBITDA 1 419 1,002 1,198 1,429 1,374 1,181 1,448 1,815 1,207 1,689 1,821 2,288 1,616 - -
EBIT 1 -62 478.2 675.3 993.4 889.2 679 909 1,252 634.2 1,106 1,268 1,634 1,058 - -
Operating Margin -4.1% 21.67% 27.4% 33.67% 40.06% 28.48% 32.9% 39.43% 24.25% 35.16% 39.09% 43.91% 33.61% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -506.7 -22.56 83.82 381.7 264.2 71.14 234 575 39.94 485 764.1 1,029 459.2 - -
Net income 1 -384.9 -66.63 33.9 306.7 240.9 73.39 167.3 480.7 -1.447 - 575.3 821.3 354.2 - -
Net margin -25.45% -3.02% 1.38% 10.4% 10.85% 3.08% 6.05% 15.14% -0.06% - 17.74% 22.07% 11.25% - -
EPS 2 -0.2070 -0.0360 0.0182 0.1652 0.1297 0.0395 0.0901 0.2587 -0.000690 - 0.3093 0.4416 0.1899 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - 0.0536 - - 0.2053 0.2053
Announcement Date 2/17/22 5/5/22 8/11/22 11/10/22 2/15/23 5/4/23 8/10/23 11/9/23 3/27/24 5/9/24 - - - - -
1BRL in Million2BRL
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 12,534 13,649 13,988 11,787 13,742 11,683 15,463 16,426
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.273 x 3.725 x 4.175 x 2.356 x 2.432 x 1.602 x 1.915 x 1.819 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,504 -72.9 -113 2,113 1,761 -1,215 1,277 221
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 9.6% 2.61% 1.01% 3.43% 4.66% 12.4% 14.2% 14.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 2.62% 0.77% 0.32% 1.09% 1.51% 4.34% 4.79% 4.92%
Assets 1 29,984 39,369 47,042 47,063 47,594 48,088 55,089 62,975
Book Value Per Share 2 5.350 9.000 7.990 8.200 8.470 9.610 10.50 11.50
Cash Flow per Share 2 2.250 1.740 1.800 2.600 2.940 2.310 2.720 3.310
Capex 1 2,020 2,979 3,453 2,718 3,690 5,616 5,821 5,529
Capex / Sales 28.5% 42.77% 46.42% 27.62% 33.74% 42.15% 40.11% 34.13%
Announcement Date 2/13/20 2/12/21 2/17/22 2/15/23 3/27/24 - - -
1BRL in Million2BRL
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
20.98 BRL
Average target price
28.85 BRL
Spread / Average Target
+37.49%
Consensus
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