YTO EXPRESS GROUP CO.,LTD. |
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 17.52 CNY | +2.10% |
|
+6.63% | +42.55% |
| May. 20 | YTO Express' Express Delivery Revenue Jumps 20% in April | MT |
| Apr. 29 | Jefferies Adjusts YTO Express Group’s Price Target to 20 Yuan From 19.60 Yuan, Keeps at Buy | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 35,959 | 36,338 | 57,294 | 69,123 | 59,843 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 32,777 | 32,426 | 54,697 | 65,027 | 53,480 | 50,880 | 47,713 |
| P/E ratio | 22.6 x | 20.2 x | 25.4 x | 17.6 x | 13.7 x | 11.9 x | 10.4 x |
| Yield | 1.19% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.24% | 2.25% | 2.52% | 3.01% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.15 x | 1.04 x | 1.27 x | 1.29 x | 0.91 x | 0.81 x | 0.74 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.05 x | 0.93 x | 1.21 x | 1.21 x | 0.81 x | 0.69 x | 0.59 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.5 x | 9.76 x | 12.3 x | 9.01 x | 6.78 x | 5.66 x | 4.72 x |
| EV / FCF | 74.6 x | -18.8 x | -36.7 x | 24.5 x | 23.5 x | 13.2 x | 9.75 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.34% | -5.31% | -2.73% | 4.08% | 4.25% | 7.58% | 10.3% |
| Price to Book | 3.87 x | 2.12 x | 2.53 x | 2.59 x | 1.85 x | 1.66 x | 1.49 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,842,647 | 3,159,831 | 3,434,896 | 3,440,652 | 3,415,698 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 12.65 | 11.50 | 16.68 | 20.09 | 17.52 | 17.52 | 17.52 |
| Announcement Date | 4/28/20 | 4/28/21 | 2/18/22 | 1/9/23 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 31,151 | 34,907 | 45,131 | 53,546 | 65,710 | 73,580 | 80,339 |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,119 | 3,322 | 4,453 | 7,221 | 7,892 | 8,990 | 10,104 |
| EBIT 1 | 2,265 | 2,218 | 2,797 | 5,085 | 5,545 | 6,462 | 7,323 |
| Operating Margin | 7.27% | 6.35% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.44% | 8.78% | 9.12% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,220 | 2,202 | 2,722 | 5,047 | 5,659 | 6,490 | 7,430 |
| Net income 1 | 1,668 | 1,767 | 2,092 | 3,920 | 4,325 | 5,077 | 5,830 |
| Net margin | 5.35% | 5.06% | 4.64% | 7.32% | 6.58% | 6.9% | 7.26% |
| EPS 2 | 0.5604 | 0.5700 | 0.6573 | 1.140 | 1.276 | 1.478 | 1.692 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 439.5 | -1,722 | -1,491 | 2,654 | 2,276 | 3,856 | 4,895 |
| FCF margin | 1.41% | -4.93% | -3.3% | 4.96% | 3.46% | 5.24% | 6.09% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 14.09% | - | - | 36.76% | 28.83% | 42.88% | 48.45% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 26.36% | - | - | 67.72% | 52.61% | 75.95% | 83.96% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.1500 | 0.1500 | 0.1500 | 0.2500 | 0.3940 | 0.4419 | 0.5272 |
| Announcement Date | 4/28/20 | 4/28/21 | 2/18/22 | 1/9/23 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | - | - | 14,589 | 11,828 | 13,310 | - | 13,758 | 14,721 | 12,914 | 14,086 | 13,759 | 89,064 | 86,861 | 106,407 | 168,000 | 184,000 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | 1,803 | - | 1,611 | - | 1,645 | - | - | - | - | 2,118 | 1,915 | 2,174 | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | 1,557 | 1,162 | 1,224 | - | 1,274 | 1,411 | 1,204 | 1,280 | 1,021 | 1,434 | 1,231 | 1,490 | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | 10.67% | 9.83% | 9.19% | - | 9.26% | 9.58% | 9.32% | 9.09% | 7.42% | 1.61% | 1.42% | 1.4% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | 970.9 | 645.6 | - | 870.3 | 900.3 | 1,771 | - | - | 905.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | 7.36% | 6.76% | - | - | - | 7.01% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | - | - | 0.3600 | 0.2527 | 0.2600 | - | 0.2897 | 0.3342 | 0.2630 | 0.2773 | 0.2319 | 0.3389 | 0.2818 | 0.3619 | 0.3500 | 0.3600 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | 0.1500 | - | - | - | - | 0.2500 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.4108 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/27/20 | 8/26/21 | 2/18/22 | 4/26/22 | 7/7/22 | 7/7/22 | 10/15/22 | 1/9/23 | 4/25/23 | 8/22/23 | 10/26/23 | - | - | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | 3,182 | 3,912 | 2,597 | 4,096 | 6,363 | 8,963 | 12,130 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 440 | -1,722 | -1,491 | 2,654 | 2,276 | 3,856 | 4,895 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 13.7% | 12% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 14% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 7.92% | 5.03% | 6.86% | 10.7% | 9.56% | 10% | 10.2% |
| Assets 1 | 21,065 | 35,124 | 30,479 | 36,739 | 45,235 | 50,766 | 57,442 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.270 | 5.420 | 6.580 | 7.750 | 9.450 | 10.60 | 11.70 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.280 | - | 1.290 | 2.150 | 2.040 | 2.440 | 2.620 |
| Capex 1 | 3,359 | 5,213 | 5,559 | 4,736 | 4,912 | 3,967 | 4,246 |
| Capex / Sales | 10.78% | 14.93% | 12.32% | 8.85% | 7.47% | 5.39% | 5.29% |
| Announcement Date | 4/28/20 | 4/28/21 | 2/18/22 | 1/9/23 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
17.16
CNY
Average target price
17.86
CNY
Spread / Average Target
+4.07%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +42.55% | 8.1B | |
| -3.32% | 25.55B | |
| +16.68% | 19.81B | |
| +20.54% | 17.49B | |
| -4.13% | 2.33B | |
| +14.37% | 2.28B | |
| +29.40% | 2.08B | |
| -3.47% | 1.2B | |
| 0.00% | 793M | |
| -23.23% | 496M |
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