Fitch Ratings has assigned the following ratings and Rating Outlooks to
J.P. Morgan Chase (JPMCC) Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016-JP3
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates:
--$45,932,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$97,274,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$16,726,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$300,000,000 class A-4 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$342,359,000 class A-5 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$49,955,000 class A-SB 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$970,952,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$56,309,000a class X-B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$118,706,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$56,309,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$50,222,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$105,009,000ab class X-C 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$54,787,000b class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$22,828,000b class E 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$15,219,000b class F 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
a) Notional amount and interest only.
b) Privately placed pursuant to Rule 144A.
Fitch does not rate the $47,177,696a class NR.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of Sept.
7, 2016.
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, primary assets of which are 52 loans secured by 62 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $1,217,494,697 as of
the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to the trust by JP Morgan
Chase Bank, National Association, Benefit Street Partners CRE Finance
LLC, and Starwood Mortgage Funding VI LLC.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's collateral,
including site inspections on 89.4% of the properties by balance, asset
summary reviews on 100% of the pool, and cash flow analysis of 81.4% of
the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Lower Fitch Leverage: The pool's leverage statistics are lower than
those of other recent Fitch-rated, fixed-rate multiborrower
transactions. The pool's Fitch DSCR and Fitch LTV of 1.25x and 101.2%,
respectively, are better than the YTD 2016 average Fitch DSCR and Fitch
LTV of 1.18x and 106.5%, respectively. Excluding credit-opinion loans,
the pool's Fitch DSCR and Fitch LTV are 1.20x and 108.1%, respectively.
Comparatively, the YTD 2016 average DSCR and LTV of Fitch-rated deals
excluding credit-opinion and co-op loans is 1.14x and 110.2%.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: The largest loan in the pool and
the sixth largest loan in the pool, 9 West 57th Street (8.2% of the
pool) and Westfield San Francisco Centre (4.9% of the pool), have
investment-grade credit opinions. The 9 West 57th Street senior note
contributed to the trust has an investment-grade credit opinion of
'AAAsf*' on a stand-alone basis. Westfield San Francisco Centre has an
investment-grade credit opinion of 'Asf*' on a stand-alone basis. The
two loans have a weighted average Fitch DSCR and Fitch LTV of 1.60x and
55.5%, respectively.
More Diverse Pool by Loan Concentration: The top 10 loans comprise 49.8%
of the pool, as compared to the YTD 2016 average of 55.3%. The pool's
loan concentration index (LCI) is 356, which is below the YTD 2016
average of 428. However, the resulting sponsor concentration index (SCI)
delta compared to the LCI is 30.3%, which is above the YTD 2016 average
delta of 16.8%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
For this transaction, Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) was 7.9% below the
most recent year's net operating income (NOI; for properties for which a
full-year NOI was provided, excluding properties that were stabilizing
during this period). Unanticipated further declines in property-level
NCF could result in higher defaults and loss severities on defaulted
loans and in potential rating actions on the certificates.
Fitch evaluated the sensitivity of the ratings assigned to JPMCC
2016-JP3 certificates and found that the transaction displays average
sensitivity to further declines in NCF. In a scenario in which NCF
declined a further 20% from Fitch's NCF, a downgrade of the junior
'AAAsf' certificates to 'A-sf' could occur. In a more severe scenario,
in which NCF declined a further 30% from Fitch's NCF, a downgrade of the
junior 'AAAsf' certificates to 'BBB-sf' could occur. The presale report
includes a detailed explanation of additional stresses and sensitivities
on page 13.
USE OF THIRD-PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G-10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to each of the
mortgage loans. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it
did not have an impact on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com.
Applicable Criteria
Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (pub. 01
Sep 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/886006
Criteria for Analyzing Large Loans in U.S. Commercial Mortgage
Transactions (pub. 18 Aug 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/885802
Criteria for Analyzing Multiborrower U.S. and Canadian Commercial
Mortgage Transactions (pub. 01 Jul 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/882237
Criteria for Rating Caps and Limitations in Global Structured Finance
Transactions (pub. 16 Jun 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/882401
Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 27 Jun 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/883130
Rating Criteria for Structured Finance Servicers (pub. 01 Jul 2016)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/884140
Rating Criteria for U.S. Commercial Mortgage Servicers (pub. 14 Feb 2014)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/735382
U.S. and Canadian Fixed-Rate Multiborrower CMBS Surveillance and U.S.
Re-REMIC Criteria (pub. 13 Nov 2015)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/873395
Related Research
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016-JP3 --
Appendix
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/887794
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=1012507
ABS Due Diligence Form 15E 1
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf15E_frame.cfm?pr_id=1012507&flm_nm=15e_1012507_1.pdf
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1012507
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&detail=31
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