Office Market

Outlook

Prepared for Alony Hetz Properties & Investments Ltd

2024 Capital Markets Annual Meeting

March 2024

Disclaimer: This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not necessarily purport to be a complete analysis of the topics discussed, which are inherently unpredictable. It has been based on sources we believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified those sources and we do not guarantee that the information in the report is accurate or complete. Any views expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Statements that are forward-looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements. Advice we give to clients in particular situations may differ from the views expressed in this report. No investment or other business decisions should be made based solely on the views expressed in this report.

Macroeconomic Outlook for 2024

Uncertainty remains, but momentum should build as the year progresses

Growth

Inflation/Prices

Interest rates

Risks & uncertainty

Growth to be slower, but still

Inflation is falling, but prices

Policy rates have peaked, but

Another year of elevated

mostly positive in 2024-with

remain elevated, and risks

central banks may hold higher

geopolitical tensions, policy

momentum building in H2

remain

for longer than markets

risks, and election uncertainty

expect

Source: JLL Research

2 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Uncertainty around the growth outlook is wide - many forecasts incorporate positive and negative views

U.S. 10 Year Treasury Yield (%)

2024 GDP growth forecast (% YoY)

(%)

6.0

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

Jan-20Sep-20May-21Jan-22Sep-22May-23Jan-24

7

6

GDP projections have

generally been revised

5

up, but in most cases

set to decline slightly

4

from 2023

3

2

1

0

-1

-2

Forecast range

Median forecast

Source: JLL Research

3 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Future office demand considerations: Balancing cyclical and long-term factors

Cyclical Factors

Long Term Factors

Economic growth

Growth outlook is expected to be weak, but mostly positive, for major economies in 2024, with momentum expected to build in the latter half of the year

Rising cost

Inflation is falling, but price levels are expected to remain elevated

Job growth

Firms continue to recruit more than they are laying off, leaving job vacancy rates elevated compared to historic norms

Return-to-workmetrics Office re-entry rates have improved and reached a post- pandemic high in 2023, surpassing and plateauing around 50% overall

Hybrid-working

Employers are finalizing hybrid work policies, with a wave of major employers recently reversing remote-first work

Office utilization

Ratio of unassigned seating to dedicated desks is increasing as some employees trade assigned spaces for locational flexibility

Sustainable buildings

Sustainable buildings are likely to drive greater interest from occupiers on account of the reduced operating and energy costs

Flight-to-quality

Tenants are upgrading their offices with premium amenities and hospitality services to help lure remote workers back to the office

Source: JLL Research

4 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

U.S. re-entry rates reflect growing dominance of three-day

workweek; further gains in office attendance will likely be incremental

Placer.AI weekly average attendance rate

70%

65%

63.5%

60%

55%

50%

45%

40%

35%

30%

Jan-22

Feb-22

Mar-22

Apr-22

May-22

Jun-22

Jul-22

Aug-22

Sep-22

Oct-22

Nov-22

Dec-22

Jan-23

Feb-23

Mar-23

Apr-23

May-23

Jun-23

Jul-23

Aug-23

Sep-23

Oct-23

Nov-23

Dec-23

Source: JLL Research,Placer.ai, KPMG

5 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

KPMG 2023 CEO Outlook

of CEOs believe hybrid

64%

schedules will transition

back to pre-pandemic

attendance frequency by

2026

Company

Initial Policy

Current/Announced Policy

Fidelity Investments

1/4 weeks

2/4 weeks

Deutsche Bank

3 days/week

4 days/week

Deere

2 days/week

4 days/week

L'Oreal

3 days/week

3 days/week + 2 Fri./month

UPS

3 days/week

5 days/week

JPMorgan

3 days/week

5 days/week

Disney

3 days/week

4 days/week

USAA

3 days/week

4 days/week

Boeing

3 days/week

4-5 days/week

Geico

2 days/week

4 days/week

BlackRock

3 days/week

4 days/week

Verizon

1 day/week

3-4 days/week

Nike

3 days/week

4 days/week

Nationwide Insurance

1 day/week

2 days/week

Daimler Trucks

2 days/week

4 days/week

Office utilization is increasing as the ratio of unassigned seating to dedicated desks increases

1950s 1960s

  • Traditional closed office layouts comprised the dominant design, with open office plans a more niche emerging concept.
  • Large private offices; not uncommon for executives to have private offices in excess of 500 s.f.
  • Introduction of new technologies including copy machines and computers.
  • Design trends focused on improved employee experience: air conditioning became widespread in offices in the 1950s, designs incorporated more vibrant color and patterns to create vibrant work environments.

1970s 1980s

  • Departure from traditional closed office layouts and increased adoption of open office plans featuring low or no partitions and a central working area, designed to promote collaboration.
  • Introduction of first computer workstations, technology featured in offices more prominently which necessitated new infrastructure to manage cables.
  • Growing focus on employee comfort: improved furniture, natural light, improved aesthetics.

1990s 2000s

  • Continued emphasis on collaboration drives increased adoption of open office plans - private offices become rarer and smaller.
  • Technology becomes deeply integrated to offices - computer workstations become ubiquitous, increased infrastructure for hardware and wireless networks, first instances of remote work.
  • Decreased reliance on paper begins to eliminate space dedicated to file storage.
  • Design begins to focus on sustainability and wellness, introducing fitness centers, standing desks and other amenities.

2010s 2020s

  • Open offices transition to activity- based working, providing different spaces for employees to self-select based on work preferences.
  • Continued gradual shift away from private offices, plateauing of downsizing of private offices.
  • Continued shift towards paperless offices eliminates space needs for file storage, increased adoption of technology leads to greater space dedicated to technology infrastructure.
  • Design focuses on wellness and engagement: amenitized offices with curated events and activities for social engagement.

250-350

225-300

175-250

150-175

s.f. per employee

s.f. per employee

s.f. per employee

s.f. per employee

Source: JLL Research

6 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Office flight-to-quality trend becoming structural

Structural shift in demand for highest quality assets

6%

4%

New / Differentiated assets

2%

Historical

performance

index

0%

spread

Wider

Demand

-2%

Future

performance

spread

-4%

Commodity/

Functional

-6%

Undifferentiated assets

obsolescence

-8%

-10%

-12%

Pre-2020 2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Source: JLL Research

7 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

  • A highly bifurcated market
  • Focus on high-quality and differentiated space
  • Construction pipeline peaking
  • Accelerating obsolescence in Grade B and C space

Quality will be a major determinant of future performance

Tier 1:

2015+ vintage assets

Lifestyle

11% of total U.S. market by SF

Tier 2:

2000-2014 build assets

Differentiated

Pre-2000, substantially renovated after

33% of total U.S. market by SF

2010

Tier 3:

1990-1999 build assets

Repositionable

Pre-1990, renovated 1990-2009

24% of total U.S. market by SF

Repositionable at right cost basis

Tier 4:

Transitional /

Pre-1990 build, not substantially

Functionally

renovated since completion

Challenged

32% of total U.S. market by SF

One Vanderbilt

Salesforce Tower

1222 Demonbreun

New York City

San Francisco

Nashville

One Post Office Square

Old Main Post Office

Trammell Crow Center

Boston

Chicago

Dallas

Ponce Circle Tower

311 S Wacker

Charlotte Plaza

Miami

Chicago

Charlotte

Bank of America Plaza

One Park Plaza

135 S Lasalle

Dallas

Los Angeles

Chicago

Source: JLL Research, *Sizable share of assets will be converted to alternative uses, demolished or remain functionally challenged. Analysis reflects top 20 U.S. MSAs, office assets 100k+ s.f.

8 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Rent growth in high-end product counterbalanced by persistent pressure from elevated concession packages and financing costs

Executed rental rates

Change since

Q4 2019:

Rent per s.f.

$100

+14%

$90

$80

+5%

$70

$60

-1%

$50

-6%

$40

$30

$20

$10

Base Rate

Effective Rent

Trophy Base

Trophy Effective

$0

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

"Before COVID"

Source: JLL Research. Note: Executed rents are weighted by lease size and term

9 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Behind the U.S. flight to quality: Positive absorption, positive rent growth, lower cap rates and greater investor conviction

Net absorption by vintage

Last 12 months absorption

2015-present

as a % of inventory

121.6

+6.4%

2010-2014

-8.0

-2.6%

2000s

-67.3

-3.0%

deliveryof

1990s

-52.3

-2.4%

Year

1980s

-118.8

-1.9%

1970s

-41.0

-1.6%

1960s

-1.8%

-21.4

Pre-1960

-45.5

-1.3%

-150.0

-100.0

-50.0

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

Net absorption since COVID-19 onset (m.s.f.)

Source: JLL Research, Real Capital Analytics (Transactions larger than $5.0 million)

10 | © 2024 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.

Demand bifurcation for higher-quality assets has expanded rent premium for newer-vintage product

$70

$65

Average asking rent ($ p.s.f.)

p.s.f.)

$60

Delivered since 2015

$55

$59.31

($

$50

rent

$45

58.5%

$40

asking

$35

$37.41

Average

$30

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2015

Delivered before 2015

$25

New construction office assets continue to be valued at

(%)

7.8%

substantially lower cap rates than the broader market

7.4%

rate

7.0%

6.6%

cap

6.2%

Average

5.4%

5.8%

5.0%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Overall office

New construction

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Disclaimer

Alony-Hetz Properties & Investments Ltd. published this content on 13 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 13 March 2024 06:27:04 UTC.