www.goldenagri.com.sg
GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD Interim Performance Presentation Half year ended 30 June 2020
14 August 2020
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Golden Agri-Resources Ltd. ("GAR" or "Company") for informational purposes, and may contain projections and forward looking statements that reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company's assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. A prospective investor must make its own independent decision regarding investment in securities.
Opinions expressed herein reflect the judgement of the Company as of the date of this presentation and may be subject to change without notice if the Company becomes aware of any information, whether specific to the Company, its business, or in general, which may have a material impact on any such opinions.
The information is current only as of its date and shall not, under any circumstances, create any implication that the information contained therein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date thereof or that there has been no change in the financial condition or affairs of GAR since such date. This presentation may be updated from time to time and there is no undertaking by GAR to post any such amendments or supplements on this presentation.
The Company will not be responsible for any consequences resulting from the use of this presentation as well as the reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or for any omission.
© Golden Agri-Resources Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Contents
1 | Executive Summary | 4 |
2 | Financial Highlights | 6 |
3 Segmental Performance | 9 | |
4 | Strategy and Outlook | 13 |
5 | Appendix | 17 |
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Executive Summary
Executive Summary
A gradual recovery from supply chain disruption results in better second quarter performance
EBITDA (US$ million)
150 | 132 | |
100 | 97 | 100 |
58 | ||
50 | ||
0 |
Plantation and palm oil | Palm, laurics and others | |||
mills | 1H19 | 1H20 | ||
1H 2020 vs 1H 2019 | ||
Revenue | US$3,391 mn | 7% |
EBITDA | US$189 mn | 4% |
Underlying loss1 | US$11 mn | 26% |
Palm product output 1.22 mn MT | 6% | |
CPO FOB price | US$616/MT | 24% |
2Q 2020 vs 1Q 2020 | ||
Revenue | US$1,734 mn | 5% |
EBITDA | US$105 mn | 24% |
Underlying profit1 | US$14 mn | n.m |
Palm product output 604,000 MT | 2% | |
CPO FOB price | US$556/MT | 17% |
Note:
1. Net loss attributable to owners of the Company, excluding net effect of net gain/loss from changes in fair value of biological assets, depreciation of bearer plants, exceptional items, foreign exchange gain/loss, and deferred tax income/expense
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Financial Highlights
Financial Performance
US$ million | 1H 2020 | 1H 2019 | YoY | 2Q 2020 | 1Q 2020 | QoQ | |
Revenue | 3,391 | 3,167 | 7% | 1,734 | 1,657 | 5% | |
Gross Profit | 389 | 345 | 13% | 190 | 198 | -4% | |
EBITDA1 | 189 | 198 | -4% | 105 | 84 | 24% | |
Underlying Profit/(Loss)2 | -11 | -15 | -26% | 14 | -25 | n.m | |
Net gain/(loss) from changes in | -4 | -2 | 90% | 5 | -9 | n.m | |
fair value of biological assets3 | |||||||
Depreciation of bearer plants3 | -59 | -47 | 25% | -31 | -28 | 13% | |
Foreign exchange gain/(loss)3 | -45 | 3 | n.m | -15 | -30 | -48% | |
Deferred tax income/(expense)3 | -31 | 3 | n.m | -28 | -4 | 688% | |
Exceptional items3 | -5 | 11 | n.m | -5 | - | n.m | |
Net loss attributable to | |||||||
owners of the Company | -157 | -46 | 238% | -61 | -95 | -36% | |
- Better second quarter results with gradual recovery from supply chain disruption
- Strong upstream business mitigated downstream business challenges
- First half 2020 performance affected by reinstatement of CPO export levy
- Higher net loss impacted by foreign exchange loss and deferred tax expense, which are mainly non cash
Notes:
1. 1H 2020 EBITDA includes net fair value loss on financial assets in accordance with IFRS 9 of US$14 million
2.Net loss attributable to owners of the Company, excluding net effect of net gain/loss from changes in fair value of biological assets, depreciation of bearer plants, exceptional items, foreign exchange gain/loss, and deferred tax income/expense
3. Net of tax and/or non-controlling interests | ||
7 |
Financial Position
US$ million | 30-Jun-20 | 31-Dec-19 Change | |
Total Assets | 8,482 | 8,779 | -3% |
Cash and short-term investments | 832 | 784 | 6% |
Fixed assets1 | 3,636 | 3,720 | -2% |
Total Liabilities | 4,248 | 4,274 | -1% |
Net Debt2 | 1,608 | 1,573 | 2% |
Interest bearing debt | 3,157 | 3,144 | 0.4% |
Cash, short-term investments and liquid working | 1,549 | 1,571 | -1% |
capital3 | |||
Total Equity | 4,234 | 4,505 | -6% |
Net Debt2/Total Equity | 0.38x | 0.35x | |
Net Debt2/Total Assets | 0.19x | 0.18x | |
Net Debt2/EBITDA4 | 2.34x | 2.26x | |
EBITDA/Interest4 | 4.52x | 4.23x |
Notes:
- Includes Property, Plant and Equipment, Bearer Plants, Right-of-use Assets and Investment Properties
- Interest bearing debt less cash, short-term investments and liquid working capital
- Liquid working capital is trade receivables, inventories (excluding consumables), deposits and advances to suppliers less trade payables and advances from customers
- Calculated based on the last four quarters figures
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Segmental Performance
Segmental Results
Plantations and Palm Oil Mills
Strong improvement in performance supported by the rebound in CPO market prices
1H 2020 | 1H 2019 | YoY | ||
Revenue (US$ million) | 625 | 574 | 9% | |
EBITDA (US$ million) | 132 | 97 | 36% | |
EBITDA margin | 21% | 17% | 4% | |
CPO FOB Price (US$/MT) | 616 | 496 | 24% | |
FFB Production ('000 tonnes) | 4,084 | 4,455 | -8% | |
Nucleus | 3,215 | 3,444 | -7% | |
Plasma | 869 | 1,011 | -14% | |
FFB Yield (tonnes/ha) | 8.8 | 9.4 | -6% | |
Palm Product Output ('000 tonnes) | 1,219 | 1,293 | -6% | |
CPO | 973 | 1,026 | -5% | |
PK | 246 | 267 | -8% | |
Oil Extraction Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% | 0.3% | |
Kernel Extraction Rate | 5.5% | 5.6% | -0.1% | |
Palm Product Yield (tonnes/ha) | 2.4 | 2.5 | -5% |
Lower plantation output due to dry weather conditions last year and the replanting programme
Note:1H 2020 EBITDA includes allocated net fair value loss on financial assets (IFRS 9) of US$3 million
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Oil Palm Plantations
Continued long-term productivity growth through replanting and technological innovation
Mature Area - ha | Planted Area - ha | |||||
461,764 | 458,557 | 499,563 | 497,587 | |||
101,592 | 101,757 | 104,581 | 104,751 | |||
360,172 | 356,800 | 394,982 | 392,836 | |||
30-Jun-20 | 31-Dec-19 | 30-Jun-20 | 31-Dec-19 | |||
Nucleus | Plasma | |||||
- Immature and younger estates use newer- generation higher-yielding seeds for continued long-term production growth
- Accelerated replanting to around 9,900 ha in 1H 2020
Age Profile as of 30 Jun 2020
15% | 8% | |
37,799 | 6% | |
73,744 | ||
32,279 |
144,274
211,467 | |
29% | 42% |
Immature (0-3 years) | Young (4-6 years) | ||
Prime 1 (7-18 years) | Prime 2 (19-25 years) | ||
Old (>25 years) | |||
Notes:
- Total planted area including plasma
- Average age of plantations, including plasma, is 17 years
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Segmental Results
Palm, Laurics and Others
Earnings were impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak with gradual improvement in the second quarter of 2020
1H 2020 | 1H 2019 | YoY | |
Revenue (US$ million) | 3,382 | 3,151 | 7% |
Sales Volume ('000 tonnes) | 4,971 | 5,370 | -7% |
EBITDA (US$ million) | 58 | 100 | -42% |
EBITDA margin | 1.7% | 3.2% | -1.5% |
- Sales volume affected by logistics issues following COVID-19 lockdown with gradual improvement in the second quarter 2020
- This also resulted in a sudden significant CPO price decline in February, further impacting our earnings
- Indonesia biodiesel is still the major catalyst to the industry with realisation of B30 programme
Notes:
- This segment refers to processing and merchandising of palm and oilseed based products i.e. bulk, branded, oleo-chemicals and other vegetable oils, as well as production and distribution of other consumer products mainly food and beverages
- 1H 2020 EBITDA includes allocated net fair value loss on financial assets in accordance with IFRS 9 of US$11 million
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Strategy and Outlook
Growth Strategy and Outlook
GAR aims to be at the forefront of the evolving technological trend by intensifying strategic efforts to transform its business and build new competitive edge
Accelerated replanting with | Expanding biodiesel | ||
latest-generation planting | facilities to support | ||
materials to transform | Indonesian policy on | ||
yield curve | Plantations | Palm, | biofuel mandate |
Embracing innovative | and Palm | Laurics | Focusing on higher |
Oil Mills | and Others | ||
ways of working to | value derivative | ||
achieve a higher level | products, increasing | ||
of efficiency and | presence and expertise in | ||
productivity | global destination markets |
- GAR remains confident in the robust long-term supply and demand fundamentals for palm oil supported by its high versatility (including biodiesel) and lowest cost of production
- The impact from the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to be short term depending on the severity and length of the outbreak
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Indonesia Biodiesel
Indonesia growing biodiesel mixture mandate is a major catalyst to the industry
Feedstock Use for Biodiesel in 2020F
• | Global feedstock for biodiesel is estimated to |
decrease by an estimated 3% in 2020 to | |
42.9 million MT from 45.7 million in 2019 | |
• | However, palm oil usage for feedstock |
continues to expand with a market share of |
Others
22% Soya oil
25%
Rapeseed
almost 40% in 2020 from 31% in 2016 |
Indonesia Biodiesel Consumption
in million kltr
oil
14%
Palm oil
39%
2.6
8.8
6.4
4.03.6
• Indonesian B30 mandate for 2020 was |
allocated at 9.6mn kltr. However, the |
realisation is expected to be at around 8.8mn |
kltr due to lower consumption |
• The increase of export levy to sustain |
biodiesel subsidy shows the Indonesian |
2017A | 2018A | 2019A | 5M20A | 2020F |
Source: Oil World, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, and Aprobi
government's commitment towards its |
biodiesel mandate policy |
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Towards Responsible Palm Oil Production
Managing COVID-19
- Employee and community safety are top priority
- Complying with all government regulations wherever we operate
- Palm oil sector is strategic sector - all our facilities continue to operate
- Helping to protect employees and community e.g. mask- making project
- Supporting 40 Alternative Livelihood programmes to help boost and maintain community resilience
On track to achieve 100% TTP for palm supply chain at end 2020
- Full TTP for nearly 84% of palm supply chain
- 273 3rd-party mills reported full TTP
- COVID-19may affect timetable for TTP this year
- Engaging with suppliers remotely and encouraging self- assessment
Managing Fire and Haze
- Launched the Rumbun and Jungle Friends storybook to educate children about dangers of forest fires
- Part of long-term efforts to stem forest fires and haze
- No reduction in commitment despite COVID-19
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Appendix
Age Profile
Immature and younger estates use newer-generationhigher-yielding planting materials that will further boost production growth in the future
Immature | Young | Prime 1 | Prime 2 | Old | Total | |||
hectares | (0-3 years) (4-6 years) (7-18 years) (19-25 years) (>25 years) | |||||||
30 June 2020 | ||||||||
Nucleus | 34,810 | 31,236 | 186,712 | 98,386 | 43,839 | 394,982 | ||
Plasma | 2,989 | 1,043 | 24,755 | 45,889 | 29,905 | 104,581 | ||
Total Area | 37,799 | 32,279 | 211,467 | 144,274 | 73,744 | 499,563 | ||
% of total planted area | 8% | 6% | 42% | 29% | 15% | 100% | ||
31 December 2019 | ||||||||
Nucleus | 36,036 | 29,130 | 181,134 | 108,266 | 38,270 | 392,836 | ||
Plasma | 2,994 | 2,059 | 24,527 | 54,005 | 21,166 | 104,751 | ||
Total Area | 39,030 | 31,189 | 205,661 | 162,271 | 59,436 | 498,587 | ||
% of total planted area | 8% | 6% | 41% | 33% | 12% | 100% | ||
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If you need further information, please contact:
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd c/o 108 Pasir Panjang Road #06-00 Golden Agri Plaza Singapore 118535
Tel: +65 6590 0800
Fax: +65 6590 0887
www.goldenagri.com.sg
Contact Person: Richard Fung richard@goldenagri.com.sg
golden-agri-resources-ltd @GAR_Sinarmas @sinarmas_agri @GARSinarmasagri
Sinar Mas Agribusiness and Food
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gar - Golden Agri-Resources Ltd. published this content on 14 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 August 2020 00:07:08 UTC