Half year 2020 results

Taco de Groot - CEO Reinier Walta - CFO

30 July 2020

Highlights H1 2020

Impacted by COVID-19, but strong performer in retail real estate peer group

Portfolio occupancy increased to 97.4% due to tailor made approach with tenants

Reduction of general costs by 14% YoY, whilst being cost effective

LTV of 42.6% within bandwidth of 35%-45% with an average cost of debt of 2.0%

Like-for-like rental growth of 0.3% (-6.3% incl. COVID-19)

Strong financial position with refinancing covered until 2024

Direct result 2020 expected to be € 1.70 - € 1.85 per share

78% collection rate in H1 2020

(84% at 24 July 2020) due to tailor made approach with tenants

-2.5% revaluation reflecting portfolio quality and liquidity

Start of strategic update, reviewing all options to unlock value dislocation

2

Vastned to unlock shareholder value

Start of strategic update, reviewing all options to unlock value dislocation

43,8

19,0

Share price 30 June

Adjusted

EPRA NNNAV

  • Unique €1.5 billion high street retail portfolio (6% resi and office) in selective large historic cities (83%) in the Netherlands, France, Belgium and Spain
  • Highly concentrated portfolio with 75% in Top 10 cities (Amsterdam (22%), Paris (15%), Utrecht (7%), Bordeaux (6%), Antwerp (6%) and Madrid (6%))
  • High 97.4% occupancy rate and limited capex vs resi, offices and shopping centres
  • Relatively high 84% collection rate as per 24 July 2020 and limited -2.5% revaluation reflecting quality and high liquidity of the portfolio
  • Further reduction of costs to remain cost effective (21% of costs (in)directly related to listing)
  • Implied net yield of 6.7%* which is well above market yields
  • Flexible debt structure and no expected break costs in case of a change of control

* Annualized rental income €73.6m vs. €1,532m investment properties adjusted for discount to NAV of €432m at 30 June 2020

3

Half year 2020 financial key figures

Direct result:

Collection rate:

EPRA NNNAV:

€ 0.85 per share

78%

€43.76 per share

H1 2020 /

H2 2019 /

H1 2019 /

30 June 2020

31 December 2019

30 June 2019

Direct result per share

€0.85

€1.07

€0.96

Indirect result per share

€(2.09)

€(0.25)

€(0.48)

Like-for-like gross rental income | ex COVID-19

(6.3)% | 0.3%

(1.3)%

(2.3)%

Value movements*

(2.5)%

(0.4)%

(0.4)%

Loan-to-value ratio

42.6%

41.6%

41.9%

Average interest rate (spot)

2.0%

2.2%

2.3%

NAV

€44.21

€46.28

€46.05

EPRA NNNAV**

€43.76

€46.20

€45.84

* Excluding acquisitions and divestments; ** As per 30-6-2020 NAV amounts to €758.4m, EPRA NNNAV to €750.5m

4

Operational performance

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Occupancy increased in Q2, portfolio nearly fully let at 97.4%

  • Q2 2020 occupancy rate increased 0.4% compared to Q1 2020 and 4.3% compared to Q2 2019
  • The portfolio in Spain and France completely let
  • Occupancy in Belgium increased as a result of new leases following a decline due to bankruptcies in Q1

Occupancy rates remain high showing the quality of the locations

Occupancy rate

Q2 2020

Q1 2020

Year-end 2019

Q2 2019

Year-end 2018

%

% of GRI

Occupancy

Occupancy

Occupancy

Occupancy

Occupancy

The Netherlands

46

96.0

96.0

96.6

96.2

98.5

France

22

99.8

99.9

99.8

81.9

99.2

Belgium

27

97.5

95.8

98.8

95.7

98.0

Spain

5

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Total

100

97.4

97.0

98.0

93.1

98.6

6

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Leasing activity continued in H1 2020

  • Signed new contracts with H&M, Rituals, Vkusvill, Lidl, Holland & Barrett and Spar in the Netherlands and with Dunkin Donuts and Keukens De Abdij in Belgium
  • A new Paris office contract was signed with Streamroot at the first floor of Rue de Rivoli 102
  • Rental change of (3.6%) mainly driven by the new lease to H&M on the Steenweg in Utrecht

Leasing activity

H1 2020

FY 2019

Number of leases

38

76

Rental income (€ million)

5.1

12.4

% Of total theoretical annual rent

6.8%

16.7%

Rental change (€ million)

(0.2)

(1.6)

Rental change

(3.6%)

(11.7%)

Ferdinand Bolstraat 85 in Amsterdam

7

Rental income

General costs

Financing

All stores are open again since end of June

  • Significant number of international retail chains in the Netherlands were closed without regulatory obligation to do so
  • Footfall in "open air" high street retail remained relatively strong apart from tourist destinations in certain cities
  • Conversion ratios increased significantly partly offsetting lower footfall

Lockdown

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Netherlands

46%

France

22%

Belgium

27%

Spain

5%

Country not in lockdown

Voluntary closing international retail chains

Country in (partial) lockdown

Gross rental income H1 2020

5%

27%

46%

22%

8

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Tailor-made solutions for almost all tenants resulting in high collection rates and continuity of rental income

  • Almost all rental contracts have been negotiated by our 9 portfolio managers benefitting from new property management system installed in 2019
  • Tailor-madesolutions have been created, resulting in temporarily lower rents, but longer leases and higher rental increases
  • Total H1 2020 collection rate per 30 June was 78% and for the period up to 24 July 84%

COVID-19 measures

Country

The Netherlands

France

Belgium

Spain

Comment

  • Waivers and deferrals for mainly fashion and food & beverages tenants. Waivers are in some cases combined with contract extensions
  • Waivers and deferrals for mainly fashion and food & beverages tenants
  • Majority of tenants received 1 month waiver
  • Waiver is required for small retailers to apply for government support
  • Waivers mostly combined with contract modifications such as extensions and increased rent for remaining part of contract duration

Waiver

€1.4m

€0.7m

€1.0m

<€0.1m

9

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Vastned

is very well on track with rent collection for

H1 2020

  • H1 2020 collection rate increased from 78% to 84% since balance sheet date

Collection rate

24 July 2020

H1 2020

€ million

€ million

€ million

Total invoiced*

40.0

0.0

40.0

Waivers**

3.1

0.6

2.5

Deferrals

0.0

0.9

0.9

Outstanding

2.4

(3.0)

5.4

Payments received

33.5

2.4

31.1

Collection rate

83.7%

77.8%

Waivers

7.8%

6.4%

Deferrals

2.3%

2.2%

Outstanding

6.1%

13.6%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

  • Total of €3.1m of waivers were granted, of which €0.6m was signed post reporting date
  • €0.9m deferrals will be paid in H2 2020 and 2021
  • €2.4m of non-collected H1 invoices, have been paid since 30 June
  • Collection rate increased from 78% to 84% in the last four weeks
  • Including service charges, VAT, etc.; ** Including VAT

Receivables

24 July 2020

H1 2020

€ million

€ million

€ million

Receivables period till 30 June 2020

5.6

(2.4)

8.0

Waivers

(0.6)

(0.6)

0.0

Receivables post waivers

5.0

(3.0)

8.0

Provision

(2.5)

0.0

(2.5)

Net receivables

2.5

(3.0)

5.5

Receivables Q3 2020 pre-invoicing

3.5

(4.8)

8.3

Gross receivables

8.5

(7.8)

16.3

Net receivables

6.0

(7.8)

13.9

  • €8.0m of receivables on 30 June 2020 include:
    • €5.4m outstanding payment
    • €0.9m deferrals from H1 2020
  • €2.4m of non-collected H1 invoices, have been paid since 30 June
  • €4.8m of the €8.3m invoices over Q3 2020 have already been paid
  • Net receivables are €6.0m which is significantly below received guarantees and deposits

10

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Like-for-like rental growth

  • Like-for-likerental growth adjusted for waivers for the total portfolio was 0.3% in H1 2020. Including waivers, the like for like rental growth was (6.3%) for the total portfolio
  • The increase in France is driven by the new lease with JD Sports at Rue de Rivoli 118-120

Rental growth

H1

2020

H1 2020 adjusted for

H1

2019

waivers

€ million

%

€ million

%

€ million

%

The Netherlands

(1.3)

(7.6)

(0.2)

(1.1)

0.2

1.2

France

(0.1)

(0.8)

0.5

7.4

(1.1)

(14.4)

Belgium

(0.9)

(8.8)

(0.2)

(2.5)

0.1

0.5

Spain

0.0

(1.1)

0.1

0.6

0.0

1.9

Total

(2.2)

(6.3)

0.1

0.3

(0.8)

(2.3)

11

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Certain tenants have performed stronger during COVID-19

  • Majority (83%) of the portfolio is located in strong cities with an historic city centre
  • Income from residential and offices is currently at 6% and expected to grow following extensions
  • Supermarkets & personal care, sports and home & garden are performing better than pre COVID-19

c.35% of rent generated in

Portfolio value per H1 2020

Gross rental income H1 2020

strong performing sectors

Supermarkets & Personal care

17%

Amsterdam

Lille

5%

15%

Home & Garden

22%

Paris

Brussels

Residential

5%

Utrecht

Ghent

Office

11%

100% =

Bordeaux

Other historic cities

100% =

4%

Sports

2%

€1,532m

Madrid

Other

€32.5m

Other non-food

3%

15%

50%

10%

Antwerp

Fashion

4%

4%

9%

Food & Beverage

6% 6% 6%

7%

12

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Vastned will continue to focus on cost efficiency

  • Since the implementation of Vastned's updated strategy, Vastned dramatically reduced its costs

2,2002,069

2,000

1,800

1,600

1,579

1,533

1,400

32% reduction in costs

1,200

11,532

1,000

9,219

800

8,330

7.079

1,404

600

3.850

-14%

3.975

400

200

4.453

4.480

3.840

H1 2012

H1 2019

H1 2020

Total costs as %

Operational costs (€m)

General expenses (€m)**

Fair value portfolio (€m)

COVID-19 related one-off*

56bps

53bps

51bps

of GAV

*COVID-19 related one-off: allocation to provision for expected credit losses; ** Listing related costs are c.21% of general expenses

24,00

22,00

20,00

18,00

16,00

14,00

12,00

10,00

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

13

Rental income

General costs

Financing

Vastned has a very solid financing structure in place

Loan to value vs. Average cost of debt

2,7%

2,5%

2,2%

2,0%

38,8%

39,0%

41,6%

42,6%

FY 17

FY 18

FY 19

H1 2020

LTV (%)

Average cost of debt (%)

30 June

31 December

2020

2019

Total used credit facilities

€651 million

€651 million

Unused credit facilities

€95 million

€119 million

Loan-to-value ratio

42.6%

41.6%

Average interest rate (spot)

2.0%

2.2%

Average maturity contract

4.4 year

4.9 year

revision (LTD)

Interest coverage ratio

4.1

4.2

Debt structure

2%

8%

€651m

51%

39%

Revolving credit facilities

Private placements

Term Loans

Roll-over facilities

Share of non-bank financing of

38.8%

42.6%

interest-bearing loans

Share of fixed interest rate

74.1%

77.9%

loans

  • Fully unsecured capital structure
  • Vastned has no credit rating (costs) since it has no public bonds
  • No make-whole costs if private placement holders put their notes resulting from a change of control

14

Occupancy

General costs

Financing

All debt maturities covered until 2024 with average cost of debt coming down further

  • Average maturity of the loan portfolio (LTD) is 4.4 years

(€ million)

Maturities (€m)

286

o/w drawn (€m)

Interest revisions

(€m)

o/w floating (€m)

Covered by unused credit facilities

86

Avg. floating rate

115

Avg. fixed rate

37

50

50

15

12

Roll-over

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026+

Roll-over

Private placements

Bank loans

RCF

Roll-over

2020

2023

2024

2025

2026+

Total

56.6

37.5

15.0

536.4

49.8

49.9

745.3

12.1

37.5

15.0

486.4

49.8

49.9

650.8

12.1

193.8

15.0

180.1

199.8

49.9

650.8

12.1

156.3

-

-

-

-

168.4

1.25%

1.40%

-

-

-

-

1.39%

-

5.57%

1.85%

1.95%

1.84%

2.78%

2.27%

15

Other developments in H1 2020

  • Funding highlights:
    • Initiated the refinancing process of the €37.5m private placement maturing in October 2020
  • During H1 2020 management and supervisory board have started a strategic update in order to evaluate all available options in times of a changing retail landscape and the potential aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic
    • Results of the strategic update will be presented during the publication of the FY20 results in February 2021
  • Currently Vastned is finalizing a residential study comprising of 100+ units above its asset on the Orionstraat in Eindhoven (Albert Heijn)

Facts:

Land plot already owned

Size of land plot c.4.6k sqm

Geographical location

Artist impression of residential study

Shopping centre Eckart

Eindhoven

234k inhabitants

(5th largest city in NL)

16

Financial Results

Half year 2020 results - Profit & loss statement

Profit & loss statement

(€ '000)

Gross rental income

Operating expenses

Net rental income

Value movements

Net proceeds of divestments

Total net income from property

Financial expenses

Value movements in derivatives

Net financial expenses

General expenses

Result before taxes

Total income taxes

Result after taxes

Attributable to Vastned Retail shareholders

Attributable to non-controlling interests

H1 2020 /

H2 2019 /

H1 2019 /

30 June 2020

31 Dec. 2019

30 June 2019

32,497

34,358

34,930

(5,309)

(2,425)

(3,836)

27,188

31,933

31,094

(40,831)

(6,364)

(6,746)

50

629

(297)

(13,593)

26,198

24,051

(6,687)

(7,211)

(7,627)

(2,061)

1,045

(3,790)

(8,748)

(6,166)

(11,417)

(3,840)

(3,657)

(4,480)

(26,181)

16,375

8,154

1,967

(333)

(271)

(24,214)

16,042

7,883

(21,138)

14,013

8,422

(3,076)

2,029

(539)

Key observations:

  • Gross rental income: Gross rental income decreased by c. €2.5m to €32.5m as a result of waivers being given to selected tenants on the back of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Operating expenses increased mainly as a result of €1.4m related to the COVID-19credit-loss provision (H1 2019 was nihil)
  • Financial expenses declined by €1.0m as a result of lower interest rates following refinancing and will likely come down further in H2 2020
  • Value movements of derivatives turned negative as a result of lower market rates
  • General expenses declined €0.6m as a result of mainly lower remuneration of senior staff

18

Direct result per share H1 2020 impacted by COVID-19

  • Direct result per share decreased to €0.85
  • Excluding the effect of COVID-19, underlying rents have remained stable YoY

€/share

1,07

0.01

0,05

0.02

0.01

0.01

0.04

0,96

0.04

0.01

0,22

0,85

Direct result

LFL rental

Lower

Increased debt Decreased

Net

Increased

Sharebuy back Lower income

Direct result

COVID-19

Direct result

H1 2019

growth

overhead costs

cost of debt

divestments

tax expense

to minorities

pre-COVID-19

rental effect

H1 2020

19

Half year 2020 results - Balance sheet

Balance sheet

H1 2020

H2 2019

H1 2019

(€ '000)

Property in operation

1,530,361

1,568,461

1,571,355

Accrued assets in respect of lease incentives

5,492

4,721

5,003

Total property

1,535,853

1,573,182

1,576,358

Other fixed assets

2,012

2,145

1,878

Assets held for sale

-

1,575

6,047

Receivables

19,952

9,204

9,935

Income tax

-

37

111

Cash and cash equivalents

1,574

961

1,253

Total assets

1,559,391

1,587,104

1,595,582

Equity Vastned Retail shareholders

758,346

793,734

789,906

Equity non-controlling interests

80,974

89,132

87,103

Total equity

839,320

882,866

877,009

Long term interest bearing loans

601,170

580,427

623,345

Employee benefits

5,826

6,092

6,059

Other long-term liabilities

25,528

25,564

26,566

Total long-term liabilities

632,524

612,083

655,970

Payable to banks

12,143

8,283

14,715

Redemption of long-terminterest-bearing debt

37,489

62,470

25,000

Other short-term liabilities

37,915

21,402

22,888

Total short-term liabilities

87,547

92,155

62,603

Total equity and liabilities

1,559,391

1,587,104

1,595,582

Key observations:

  • Property in operation declined as a result of revaluation (€38.9m) in H1 2020
  • Receivables increased by €10.0m mainly as a result of c.€5.0m of outstanding COVID-19 related H1 2020 receivables as well as an increase in the amount of pre-invoiced Q3 rents that would have been paid under normal market circumstances. Since the balance sheet date we have received €2.4m of H1 2020 rents and €4.8m in relation to the Q3 rents
  • Long term debt increased by €21m following extension of shorter term maturities that declined by €25m

20

High quality and liquidity of the portfolio resulted in limited negative revaluation

Value movements*

H1 2020

H1 2019

FY 2019

FY 2018

€m

Δ%

€m

Δ%

€m

%

€m

Δ%

The Netherlands

665

-3.0%

687

-0.3%

685

-0.6%

685

2.9%

France

414

-0.4%

418

0.5%

416

0.0%

415

-1.7%

Belgium

356

-4.0%

374

-2.2%

370

-2.8%

383

-1.8%

Spain

98

-2.0%

100

2.3%

100

2.4%

97

0.9%

Total

1,533

-2.5%

1,579

-0.4%

1,571

-0.8%

1,580

0.4%

Value movements over time*

80

71

60 Value movements (€m)

40

25

20

6

5

0

-5

-20

-13

-40

-39

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

H1 2020

* Excluding acquisitions and divestments

  • In H1 2020 we have seen a marginal -2.5% decrease in the value of our properties on the back of minor changes throughout the portfolio
  • During H1 2020 the 3-yearly rotation of the independent appraisers was due, CBRE and Cushman & Wakefield have critically reviewed each others work
  • In the Netherlands the independent appraisers are actively applying "303 rents", adjusting rents to surrounding market rates and reflecting these in our valuations

21

Outlook 2020

Outlook for 2020

  • In its Q1 2020 trading update Vastned withdrew its forecast of its direct result due to the impact of COVID-19
  • Lockdowns in Vastned's countries have been lifted, tenants are back in business and tailor-made solutions have been agreed with virtually all tenants, we can afford to look ahead once more
  • Footfall in our high street locations has strongly increased, although visits from tourists are still lagging behind. A full recovery is expected to take quite some time
  • For our 2020 outlook, we expect a lower COVID-19 impact and no nation wide lockdowns, but potential local lockdowns to control local outbreaks
  • We will continue our focus on high occupancy rate, high collection rates and cost efficiency
  • The number of bankruptcies in the portfolio is limited, but in our 2020 outlook we do take into account that the number of tenants who are facing bankruptcy will increase
  • Based on this, Vastned forecasts a direct result for 2020 between €1.70 - €1.85 per share

23

Appendix

Total return and analyst coverage

YTD total return performance vs selected peers (indexed)

Analyst recommendations and price targets

110

105

Analyst

Date

Price

Recommendation

target

100

95

24 July

23

Buy

90

2020

85

7 May

80

76.7

19

Hold

2020

75

73.4

70

8 May

24

Hold

2020

65

60

16 Jan.

26

Hold

2020

55

53.3

50

6 July

18

Hold

2020

0

Jan 20

Feb 20

Mar 20

Apr 20

May 20

Jun 20

7 May

21

Hold

Vastned

Peer group*

EPRA Developed Europe Index

2020

Source: Bloomberg, as per 30 June 2020

*Equally weighted peer group, including Atrium, Capital and Counties, Citycon, Deutsche Euroshop, Hammerson, Immobiliaria Grande Distribuzione, Klépierre, Mercialys, Shaftesbury, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield, Wereldhave, Eurocommercial Properties

25

Shareholders overview of holders with a >3% voting share

Investor

% Outstanding shares

AFM register date

Van Herk Investments

24.98%

21/08/2018

BlackRock

4.54%

21/06/2020

Tikehau Capital Advisors SAS

3.05%

24/07/2020

Société Fédérale de Participations et d'Investissement (SFPI)

3.02%

21/01/2020

Welgelegen Beheer B.V. (Perridon M.J.C.W.)

3.00%

16/03/2020

Treasury shares

9.90%

Other shares

51.51%

Total shares

100.00%

19,036,646 shares

Note: AFM reporting thresholds: 3%, 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, 75% and 95%

Source: AFM

26

Vastned has been very actively rotating its portfolio from spread high yield/high risk to a core high street retail portfolio

Sale of high risk / high yield Turkish high street and Spanish shopping centres ahead of significant value decline

Disposals (€m)

271 261

146

123

87

95

71

8

15

12

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Disposal proceeds reinvested in core regions and 10% share buyback

Acquisitions (€m)

164

111

104

103

81

76

47

38

49

14

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

27

91% of the Dutch portfolio is located in top 12 cities

Overview of Vastned's portfolio in the Netherlands

€665m 51%

17%

Zwolle

Amsterdam

Amsterdam

Arnhem

Den Haag Utrecht

Arnhem

Utrecht

's-Hertogenbosch

Den Haag

Zwolle

Rotterdam

Nijmegen

's-Hertogenbosch

Maastricht

Nijmegen

Tilburg

Breda

Eindhoven

Rotterdam

Eindhoven

Tilburg

Other

Breda

Maastricht

* Defined as annualized contracted rent divided by market value

City

% of

Gross initial

portfolio

yield*

1

Amsterdam

51%

3.9%

2

Utrecht

17%

4.7%

3

Den Haag

4

Maastricht

5

Eindhoven

Top 5 cities

80%

4.3%

6

Tilburg

7

Breda

8

Arnhem

9

's-Hertogenbosch

10

Zwolle

11

Nijmegen

12

Rotterdam

Top 12 cities

91%

4.6%

Other cities

9%

9.1%

Total Netherlands

100%

5.0%

28

94% of the French portfolio is located in Paris, Bordeaux and Lille

Overview of Vastned's portfolio in France

Lille

Paris

Bordeaux

Lyon

Saint-Étienne

Nice

Cannes

15%

€414m 56%

23%

Paris

Bordeaux

Lille

Cannes

Nice

Lyon

Saint-Étienne

City

% of

Gross initial

portfolio

yield*

1

Paris

56%

3.8%

2

Bordeaux

23%

4.1%

3

Lille

15%

5.0%

4

Cannes

5

Nice

6

Lyon

7

Saint-Étienne

Total France

100%

4.0%

* Defined as annualized contracted rent divided by market value

29

89% of the Belgian portfolio is located in top 12 cities

Overview of Vastned's portfolio in Belgium

Antwerpen

BruggeWilrijk

Mechelen

23%

€356m

17%

City

% of

Gross initial

portfolio

yield*

1

Antwerpen

23%

4.7%

2

Brussel

17%

4.8%

3

Tielt-Winge

4

Gent

11%

5.8%

Gent Schaarbeek

Tielt-Winge

5 Brugge

Kampenhout

Brussel Leuven

Namur

Philippeville

* Defined as annualized contracted rent divided by market value

11%

Antwerpen

Wilrijk

Brussel

Leuven

Tielt-Winge

Schaarbeek

Gent

Philippeville

Brugge

Kampenhout

Mechelen

Other

Namur

Top 5 cities

71%

5.2%

6

Mechelen

7

Namur

8

Wilrijk

9

Leuven

10

Schaarbeek

11

Philippeville

12

Kampenhout

Top 12 cities

89%

5.4%

Other cities

11%

7.7%

Total Belgium

100%

5.6%

30

89% of the Spanish portfolio is located in Madrid

Overview of Vastned's portfolio in Spain

León

ADD

MadridDOTS

Málaga

* Defined as annualized contracted rent divided by market value

€98m

89%

Madrid Málaga

León

City

% of

Gross initial

portfolio

yield*

1

Madrid

89%

3.5%

2

Málaga

3

León

Total Spain

100%

3.7%

31

Contact Investor Relations

Remco Vergeer

Vastned Retail N.V. remco.vergeer@vastned.com +31 20 24 24 368

32

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VastNed Retail NV published this content on 30 July 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 31 July 2020 18:36:14 UTC