March 2022

March 2022 Performance Summary: Lowell Resources Fund (ASX: LRT)

The Lowell Resources Fund's estimated net asset value ('NAV') at the end of March 2022 was approximately $60.1m, compared to $56.4m million at the end of February 2022.

The NAV per unit finished the month of March at $2.047/unit (vs $1.922/unit at 28

February 2022), an increase of 6.5%. The traded unit price of the ASX listed LRT units at month end was $1.89/unit.

MONTHLY UPDATE

Lowell Resources Funds Management Ltd. ABN 36 006 769 982 AFSL 345674

MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2022

Fund Investment Actions - March 2022

In energy, the Fund exited its position in ASX listed Cuban oil explorer Melbana Energy. Melbana's share price rose almost 5 times since the start of February as it announced 2.5bn barrels of oil in place for in the upper sheet of its Alameda-1 JV well, and 119m bbls of prospective resource. The Fund took up its entitlement in the Hydrocarbon Dynamics rights issue.

In gold, the Fund participated in rights issues by west African explorers Golden Rim Resources and Marvel Gold. The positions in gold explorer's E2 Metals and Carnavale Resources were increased while Carawine Resources received a takeover offer which allowed the Fund to exit at a profit. Investments were made in two new gold IPO's Sierra Nevada Gold and Southern Cross Goldfields.

In March, the Fund trimmed some existing base metals exposures, but continued to add to its copper related investments in TSX listed Aguila Copper and Rugby Mining, and ASX listed Westar Resources.

A new rare earths investment was made in ASX-listed Rare-X Limited.

LRF COMMODITY EXPOSURE 31 MARCH 2022

Bauxite

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MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2022

Fund Top Holdings

Predictive Discovery (PDI.ASX) announced the retirement of long-serving executive and founding managing director Paul Roberts. Paul has given over a decade of dedicated expertise and experience to the company, culminating in the discovery of the huge Bankan gold deposit in Guinea.

Genesis Minerals (GMD.ASX) upgraded the resource at its Leonora gold project by 25% to 2 Moz at a grade of 1.6g/t Au, citing a discovery cost of A$27/oz.

Musgrave Minerals (MGV.ASX) continued to release bonanza-grade gold drill results from its 100% owned Cue project in WA, including 4m at 79.6 g/t Au at its new Mosaic discovery, and 7m at 23.7 g/t Au at the Amarillo prospect. Musgrave also acquired a new tenement south of Mt Magnet.

De Grey Mining (DEG.ASX) released resource definition drilling results at the Brolga deposit, which forms part of the huge Hemi discovery in the Pilbara of WA: best intersection was 193m at 1.7 g/t Au from 40m.

Talon Metals (TL.TSX) announced drill intersections from outstide its main resource area at the Tamarack Nickel Project in Minnesota including 15m at 6.0% Ni equivalent. Interest in the stock was also boosted by President Biden designating nickel for US Defense Production Act support.

6.7% 6.4%

4.4% 4.3%

Fund Top Performer

Elevate Uranium (EL8.ASX) share price rose by 60% in March. EL8 announced it had identified over 70km of palaeochannels prospective for uranium at its Capri tenement in Namibia. Sections of these channels give significant uranium radiometric responses. The uranium spot price rose 10% in March.

MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2022

Performance Comparison - March 2022

Over the past 12 months, the Lowell Resources Fund's change in underlying estimated net asset value per unit (inclusive of distributions and after fees and expenses) was 33.0%, and 110.7% pa over two years. The Fund has outperformed the benchmark S&P/ASX Small Resources Index (XSRD), the ASX Resources 300 Index, and the ASX 200 Index over two, five and ten years.

The LRT.ASX traded unit price at the end of March was $1.89/unit, compared to $1.935/unit at the end of February.

Market Notes

  • The war in Ukraine has exacerbated existing low inventories of almost all major hard commodities. Bloomberg's gauge of raw materials had its biggest weekly gain since at least 1960 in reaction to the Russian invasion.

  • Russia accounts for well over 10% of global oil and natural gas production, and about 40% of Europe's gas comes from Russia. As the conflict worsened, European natural gas broke price records and crude oil prices reached US$137/bbl. Thermal coal rocketed up an unprecedented 80%.

  • The significant rise in energy costs is escalating the cost of production for manufacturing and mining globally, prompting the suspension of even more metal and metal alloy smelting across Europe. Zinc jumped 14% in March. The LME halted nickel trading after an unprecedented 250% spike in the price of nickel to over US$100,000/t. Major producer Tingshan was under pressure to meet margin calls in the billions. All other base metals established fresh year-to-date highs and copper set a record-high.

  • To try to stem an inflation rate running at 7% pa, the US Fed commenced a cycle of hiking interest rates with a 25bp rise, the first hike in 3 years. Most commentators agreed that the Fed was "behind the curve" in starting the rate hike cycle, and hawkish comments from some Federal Reserve governors indicated a series of 50bp hikes could occur over the remainder of 2022.

  • The US yield curve inverted at the end of March, a signal which is often a sign of a coming recession.

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Total Portfolio Performance to 30 November 2021

LRT Change in NAV per unit incl distributions

S&P/ASX Small Resources Index

(XSRD)

ASX Resources

300 Index

ASX 200 Index

12 months

33.0%

+49.6%

29.5%

15.0%

2 years p.a.

110.7% pa

+54.6% pa

41.6% pa

23.5% pa

5 years p.a.

21.5% pa

+16.5% pa

18.0% pa

9.2% pa

10 years p.a.

14.2% pa

-1.6% pa

6.8% pa

9.4% pa

MONTHLY UPDATE

March 2022

  • Inflation and an interest rate hiking cycle have historically been favourable for commodity prices. US real interest rates rose, but remained negative, while 10 year treasury bond yields have increased from a low of around 0.8% to over 2.6%.

  • Gold typically performs best in the first 6-12 months after the first interest rate rise in a tightening cycle. Gold spiked to over US$2,050/oz in early March. The first quarter of 2022 year was the US mint's strongest sales quarter for 23 years.

  • The US, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and the European Commission blocked Russia's central bank from using its roughly $630bn stockpile of foreign reserves (22% made up of gold holdings). Around 45% of ~$630bn central bank reserves were in the US, UK, France, Germany and Japan at the end of 2020.

  • The Russian central bank said it will start buying gold again on the domestic precious metals market. The Bank of Russia spent six years rapidly accumulating gold, doubling its holdings and becoming the biggest sovereign buyer. It stopped in March 2020 as prices spiked at the onset of the pandemic, and has largely kept its stockpile steady since.

  • Western banks began "self-sanctioning" financing of Russian energy, while major energy companies BP and Shell announced exits from Russian investments.

  • Shell exemplified the decade-long capital flight of oil majors from investments in their core businesses, announcing a deal to buy 49% of WestWind Energy Development in Australia, deepening its push into renewable energy. Shell also announced an $8.5 billion share buyback scheme, as high fossil fuel prices generate soaring profits.

  • Peabody Energy Corp, the biggest U.S. coal producer has formed a joint venture to develop utility-scale solar projects on land around previous coal mining operations.

  • U.S. Republican Senators introduced a bill to ban U.S. imports of Russian uranium. Russian production is significant in terms of enrichment - contributing are about 38% of global capacity and 20-25% of the US's enriched uranium.

  • The White House announced it would add nickel and battery materials to the list of items covered by the 1950 Defense Production Act -- the same legislation which was used to make steel for the Korean War. US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo committed to help finance Australian critical minerals projects through America's export financing arms.

  • Major aluminium shipper A.P. Moller-Maersk said it was halting vessel bookings to and from Russia, deepening supply turmoil for buyers who are already facing critical shortage.

  • Mineral Resources said "unprecedented global customer demand for lithium product" had convinced it to resume exports from Western Australia's Wodgina mine in May, months earlier than its former September schedule. Prices for the spodumene concentrate that Australian lithium miners produce were as low as $US400 per tonne in August 2020, but have soared to over $2,400 per tonne this year as strong sales of electric vehicles drove demand for the battery mineral. Some miners have reported selling small volumes on daily spot markets for about $US32,00 per tonne in recent months

  • Palladium hit fresh record highs of almost US3,200/oz following fears of further disruption in supplies from a country which accounts for over 40% of global supplies.

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Lowell Resources Fund published this content on 11 April 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 April 2022 22:50:02 UTC.