Full Year 2019 Results
Ton Anbeek - CEO
Ruben Baldew - CFO
March 6, 2020
Disclaimer
- This presentation may containforward-looking statements. These are based on our current plans, expectations and projections about future events.
- Anyforward-looking statement is subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions and speak only as of the date they are made. Our results could differ materially from those anticipated in any forward-looking statement.
- The financial statements and other reported data in this presentation have not been audited.
2
Ton Anbeek - CEO
Strategic Objectives and Financial Targets
Strategic objectives | 2022 financial targets | ||||||||
• | • | ||||||||
Increasing dealer and consumer satisfaction | Turnover | € 1.4 - € 1.5 bn | |||||||
• | Increasing market share | •Added value / Turnover | 31% | ||||||
• | Increasing net profit | • | EBIT / Turnover | 8.0% | |||||
• | Strong and healthy balance sheet | •Trade working capital / Turnover | < 25% | ||||||
• | Corporate Social Responsibility | • | Return on capital employed | > 15% | |||||
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Key Messages 2019
- Strategy'Lead Global. Win Local' on track for achieving previously submitted2022 objectives'
- Divestment of North America (discontinued operations)completed.International brands are now sold through a distributor in US
- Turnover increased with 7.5%in line with average growth in last 7 years; shift to e-bikes and cargo continues. Main regions show growing or stable volumes.
- Added valueand EBITup, EBIT excluding one-offs down 1 mio
- Majority ofadditional investments(Opex) as part of strategy have now taken place
- Disappointing TWC%due to lower than forecasted sales in H2 and delayed innovation
- As of 2020 full focus onexecutingour strategy and further growingour profitable European business
5
Higher Net Sales, Added Value and EBIT. Improvement Needed on TWC%
Topline | Added value % | Supply chain | EBIT / | TWC YoY / |
growth | vs PY | savings | EBIT excl. one-offs | Avg TWC |
+7.5% | € 60 mio | +611 bps | |
+53 bps | +13 mio | ||
€ 55 mio | +70 bps |
Recap Strategy 'Lead Global. Win Local'
Winning at the point of | Consumer centric | |||||||||
Lead Global. Win Local | ||||||||||
purchase | omnichannel | |||||||||
Centralised & integrated | ||||||
Innovation | ||||||
P&A business | ||||||
Fit to compete
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Progress Full Year 2019
Lead Global
Cross regional sales transfers rolled out
Volume trend stabilized/growing in all main countries
North America divestment completed, international brands sold through US distributor
Point of purchase
Recovery Netherlands outperforming market growth
Increased B2B sales
Full roll out of selective distribution contracts across Europe
Need to improve on S&OP
Omnichannel
Basics first; data and process harmonization started
Haibike.com live
CRM D2C rolled out
Innovation
E-bike of the year Sparta M8B 2019; 2020 Batavus Finex bike of the year
Introduction of e-MTB Lapierre Zesty.
Urban Mobility. Launch of e-cargo bike CarQon
Need to improve process for on time delivery of innovations
P&A
Additional brands added to portfolio
Growth of online sales (third parties)
Service levels improved through extended cut-off times
Data harmonisation and warehouse management system improvements started
Fit to Compete
Complexity (# SKUs) further reduced
Reduction # of entities and smaller locations
Realised € 13 mio in supply chain savings with
- 6 mio contributing to bottom line offsetting inflation.
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Summary of our progress
On track
Divestment NA organisation / secured US distribution
Continued growth of top line and added value
Selective distribution contracts implemented
Continued delivery of central supply chain savings
Urban mobility proposition rolled out across Europe Recovery Netherlands
Improvement needed
Innovation delivery
Sales and Operational Planning /TWC management
Digital and IT roadmap
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Ruben Baldew- CFO
Divesture Completed of North America (discontinued operations)
Discontinued Operations/ Disposal North America | Comments | |||
Sale in Q3 19 of North American operations and brand rights
New company (Alta) is distributor for Raleigh, Haibike, Ghost
Operational loss results €-12.1mioof North America till disposal in August
Impact disposal North America €-38.4mioof which € -44.4 mio in discontinued operations and +€ 6.0 mio in continued operations
•Sale of the Canadian brand registrations to CTC in July 2019 with a gain of € 3.0 mio in discontinued operations and benefit of € 11.4 mio in continued
operations (other income).
•Net transaction results on the sale of the discontinued € -31.8 mio. The transaction result in continued operation was € -5.4 mio (write off of brands in operating expenses).
•Translation reserve € -7.9 mio: Impact of historical exchange rate difference within equity (from translation reserve through P&L to other reserves)
•Closing and restructuring costs € -7.8 mio
Accell expects Accell expects qualification for the Dutch liquidation loss facility to be probable (+ € 21.4 mio).
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Net Sales Growth and Profit 2019
Net Sales | Profit 2019 | |||
% Growth | % Added value | EBIT | EBIT | ||||
Y-o-Y | excl one-offs | ||||||
+7.5% | FY | +53 bps | € 60 mio | ||||
FY | € 55 mio | ||||||
PY | +6.1% | PY | +82 bps | € 51 mio | € 56 mio |
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Growth Accelerates from 6.1% to 7.5% Driven by H1
Growth | Comments | |||
20192018
•Growth from 6.1% to 7.5% on FY
FY | +7.5% | +6.1% |
•Driven by growth in H1 8.8% vs 3.2% in H1 2018
H1 | +8.8% | +3.2% |
•Solid growth in H2 but below forecast due to delayed innovations
H2 | +5.7% | +10.4% |
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Performance 2019 Bicycle Regions
DACH
+1,8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
429 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
+1,4% | 421 | |||||||||||||||||||||
273 | +2,7% | |||||||||||||||||||||
269 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
156 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
H1 | H2 | FY | ||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Slow growth due to delay of some major innovations
- Germany +5%, decline mainly driven by smaller countries
Benelux | Other | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7, 3% | +9,0% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+8,6% | 220 | 161 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
205 | +17,3% | -0,3% | 148 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
135 | +5,2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
125 | 92 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
78 | 70 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
85 | 70 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
81 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H1 | H2 | FY | H1 | H2 | FY | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
• | Accell NL outperforming market growth | •Strong performance of Raleigh e-bikes in | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
• | Continued strong e-bike market | UK | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
•Sparta, Batavus, Koga growing double digit | •H2 sales flat due to lower sales Haibike in | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UK and Southern Europe | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net sales numbers in € mio, based on geographicallocation of entity. P&A excluded
Performance 2019 Velosophy and Parts & Accessories
Velosophy | P&A | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+254,3% | +6,8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 266 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+81,7% | +6,2% | 249 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+7,4% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 134 | 131 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
127 | 122 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
H1 | H2 | FY | H1 | H2 | FY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2018 | 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
•Acquired and consolidated per August | •Growth mainly driven by DACH and UK | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2018 | •XLC introduced in premium segment |
- 47% annualized growth across countries
Net sales numbers in € mio
Growth Track Continues
Net Sales 2013 - 2019 | |||||||
+7. 5% | |||||||
1,111 | |||||||
+7.5% | 35 | Velosophy | |||||
1,033 | |||||||
Total | |||||||
10 | |||||||
974 | |||||||
933 | |||||||
853 | |||||||
768 | 1,023 | 1,076 | |||||
719 | |||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
2013-2017 core (Accell Group excl North America); 2018 and 2019 continued operations |
Comments
- Average growth over last 7 years 7.5%
-
2019 growth in line with average since
2013 - Additional contribution of € 25 mio by Velosophy of which € 15 mio due to annualized effect
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Continued Shift of Portfolio To E-bikes and Cargo
Categories as % of net sales | % Growth FY 19 | ||||
974 | 1.033 | 1.111 | like for like | ||
Trad Bikes | 24% | 20% | 16% | Trad | -13% |
3% | |||||
0% | 1% | ||||
Cargo | |||||
24% | |||||
Parts | 24% | 24% | Cargo | 47% | |
Parts | 7% | ||||
E-bikes | 51% | 55% | 56% | ||
E-bike | 11% | ||||
2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Comments
- Portfolio continues to shift to growing categories.
- In 2019 84% in growing categories up from 76% in 2017. Expected to move further to 90%
- Cargo was 3% of net sales in 2019. Potential to become 5% to 7% of portfolio. Growth 2019 47% (annualised)
- E-bikesexpected to move towards 60% of portfolio of net sales. Growth 2019 of 11%
- Traditional bikes expected to move towards 10% of net sales. Decline-13% in 2019
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Added Value % Up 53 bps
Added Value % 2013 - 2019 | |||||||
Actuals | |||||||
33.0% | 33.0% | ||||||
32.5% | |||||||
32.0% | 31.7% | 31.6% | |||||
31.5% | 31.0% | ||||||
31.0% | 30.7% | ||||||
30.5% | 30.2% | ||||||
30.0% | 29.6% | ||||||
29.5% | |||||||
29.0% | |||||||
28.5% | |||||||
1.0% | |||||||
0.5% | |||||||
0.0% | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
2013-2017 core (Accell Group excl North America); 2018 and 2019 continued operations |
Comments
- Added value shows gradual increase since start of revised strategy
- € 13 mio supply chain savings of which € 6 mio to the bottom line
- Forex offsetting material inflation
- Around € 2 mio move to Opex
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Opex Increase Due to Growth and Planned Additional Strategy Costs
OPEX 2018 - 2019 | ||||||||
292 | ||||||||
4 | ||||||||
+14 mio YoY | 12 | |||||||
+3 mio YoY | ||||||||
258 | ||||||||
2018A | One off 19 One Off 2018 | Move | Distribution | Production | Velosophy | Central IT, | Other | 2019A |
(mainly | from AV | R&D, Markt |
write off)
Comments
Opex increased from € 258 to € 292 mio, up € 33 mio
- One-off's and move from Added Value: € 3 mio
- € 2 mio move from added value
- € 6 mioone-offs 2019 (mainly write-off Diamondback)
- € 5 mioone-offs in 2018
- "Variable" related costs driven by growth approximately€ 14 mio
•Distribution € +5 mio and production € + 4 mio increases linked to higher net sales. - Distribution and production costs around 35% of total Opex
- € 5 mio annualized effect Velosophy (acquired summer 2018)
- Strategy€ 12 mio: additional digital, central Marketing and R&D investments.
- In total cumulative € 24 mio additional Opex spend on strategy implementation.
- Vast majority of additional investment now behind us
4) Other € 4 mio(eg local activation costs, provision for quality)
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EBIT% Margin Up At 5.4%
EBIT% 2013 - 2019
Strat Target | ||||||||||||||||||||
12% | Actuals/ Plan | |||||||||||||||||||
10% | ||||||||||||||||||||
8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | ||||||||||||||||||
7.0% | 6.4% | |||||||||||||||||||
6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | ||||||||||||||||
4% | ||||||||||||||||||||
2% | ||||||||||||||||||||
0% | ||||||||||||||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 excl | |||||||||||||
One Off
2013-2017 core (Accell Group excl North America); 2018 and 2019 continued operations
Comments
- EBIT up € 9 mio and 40 bps versus 2018
- Increase driven by:
- topline growth 7.5%
- higher added value 53 bps
- One-offsof € 6 mio related to CTC deal
- Excludingone-offs, EBIT margin came in at 4.9% mainly due to planned additional costs as part of the strategic agenda. Impact of these additional costs around 110 bps
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Total Group: Net profit Decline due to Discontinued Operations
Profit & Loss 2019 - 2018 | EBIT Excl One-Off2019-2018 | ||||
Comments
•Growth 7.5% with H1 at 8.8% and H2 at 5.7%
•Other income in continued operations of €12 mio mainly linked to sale to CTC
•Added value increaseof 53 bps driven by savings, move to Opex offsetting inflation
•Opex increase driven by:
•One off and accounting € 3 mio
•Variable costs € 14 mio
•Strategy € 12 mio
•Other € 4 mio
•Income tax positively impacted driven by recognition of deferred tax asset
•Discontinued € 57 mio, see breakdown earlier
•Net profit € 2.8 mio of which € 59.3 mio in continued operations
•EBIT excl one-offs € 55 mio; one off € 5.1 mio
•Income of + € 11.4 mio as a result of CTC deal
•Write off of -/- € 5.4 mio as a result of Regent deal
•-/- € 0.8 mio: mainly related to restructuring
21
Trade Working Capital Disappointing at Year-end, Affecting Average As Well
Year End Position December | ||||
+3,5% | ||||
+6,1% | ||||
29,4% | 32,4% | |||
28,9% | 26,3% | |||
30,5% | 31,0% | 31,0% | 34,8% | |
12,6% | 12,1% | 11,7% | 12,7% | |
(14,3%) | (13,7%) | (16,5%) | (15,1%) | |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
2013-2018 | core (Accell Group excl North America); 2019 continued operations |
Average FY December
-1,2% | ||||
+0,7% | ||||
32,5% | 30,5% | 30,6% | 31,3% | |
Inventory | 29,7% | 31,9% | ||
Debtors | 29,5% | 29,3% | ||
Creditors | ||||
TWC% | ||||
15,2% | 15,0% | 14,6% | 15,1% | |
(12,4%) | (14,1%) | (13,4%) | (15,7%) | |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
2013-2018 core (Accell Group excl North America); 2019 continued | operations |
Comments
•End of year development working capital very disappointing due to: | •Average at 70 bps | ||
• | Lower than expected and forecasted sales in last half year | • | Increase driven by inventories due to delay innovation |
•Innovation delay with component available on stock | and lower sales in Q4 | ||
• | Phasing of creditors | • | Improvements on creditors |
- Debtor position with new distributor in North America
- Improvements plans are being executed:
- Focus top 20 per brand/country reduction. Focus main customers
- Bias and error tracking, put in target setting
- Further move to standardized platforms
- Systems and data improvement
- Innovation planning and overall calendar drumbeat revised
22
Group Cash Flow Impacted by Higher TWC
Cash flow 2019 - 2018 | Cash | flow 2019 - 2018 | ||||
Comments
- Operating cash flow €-62.6 mio includes discontinued impact of € -23.3 mio
- Negative cash flow driven by increase in working capital
- Working capital increase approx. € +70 mio
- Sales growth related approx. €+20-25 mio
- Impact disposal North America deal approx. €-15 mio
- Remaining approx. € 60 mio due to innovation delay and lower sales than forecast
- Free cash flow €-61.6 mio of which from discontinued operations € -20.3 mio
- Cash benefit proceed of sale Canada € 14 mio offsetting capex investments
23
Covenant Ratios
Covenants 2019 - 2018
Comments
- Accell Group has voluntarily repaid € 25 mio on the term loan of € 100 mio nominal in the first quarter of 2019
- Outstandings contain the working capital financing of € 15 mio insofar as used for acquisitions of companies (excluding acquired working capital), this relates to Velosophy
- Rolling EBITDA is corrected for frozen GAAP adjustment (IFRS 16) of € 9.9 mio and normalized for positiveone-off charges of € 12.3 mio (mainly benefit sale brand registrations to CTC)
- Solvency is calculated with equity and balance sheet total corrected for intangibles and frozen GAAP adjustment (IFRS 16)
- At 31 December 2019 the borrowing reference headroom was € 49 mio (31 December 2018: € 117 mio)
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Total Group: Full Balance Sheet
Total Group Assets & Liabilities | Equity & Liabilities | |||
25
Cash, Capital and Debt
Total Group Return on Capital and Debt
ROCE | Net Debt / rolling |
EBITDA |
11.4% | 3.1 |
Excl. IFRS 16 & one-offs: 3.6 | |
Excl. IFRS 16 & one-offs: 10.6% | € 265 mio |
Excl. IFRS 16: 235 mio |
FY 2018: 10.8% | FY 2018: 2.4 |
excl IFRS, one-offs 11.8% | FY (pre IFRS 16) € 152 mio |
Comments
- ROCE at 11.4%; increase versus previous year driven by higher EBIT
- ROCE excluding one off at 10.6% (PY 11.8%); Decrease due to higher working capital
- Higher working capital also main driver of increase of net debt
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Financial Summary
Main conclusions 2019
- Net sales growth at 7.5%in line with long term average
- Competitive recovery Netherlands and strong growth UK, Nordics and Southern Europe
- DACH results hampered by delayed innovation
- Velosophy with main brand Babboe showing excellent growth in Europe
- P&A at 7% growth driven by higher online sales
- Portfolio continues to shift further toe-bike and cargo.
- Added value % continuing gradual increase of last year. Improvement amongst others thanks to savings agenda
- Opex increaseddriven by variable costs and additional costs related to strategy. The majority of additional investments linked to strategy now behind us
- EBIT up € 9 mio, excluding one-offs € 1 mio decrease
- Disposal North America completedand in line with earlier communication, tax asset recognised of € 21 mio
- Net profit declined to 3 miodue to discontinued operations. Net profit continuing operations € 59.3 mio
- Disappointing Working Capital up 611 bps at year endand 70 bps average leading to negative overall cash flow and increase of net debt. Required improvement plans in place and being executed
27
Ton Anbeek - CEO
2020 Priorities
- Improve demand planning/forecasting
- Improve in time in full innovation delivery
- Continue reducing complexity (business/assortment)
- Strict cost control
- Drive cargo /urban mobility solutions
- Continue savings program and drive cost efficiencies
- Mitigate Corona risk
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2020 Outlook
- Current market momentum expected to continue driven by electrification trend, investments in infrastructure and tax benefits
- Barring unforeseen circumstances we expect net sales and EBIT (excl.one-offs) to grow
- However impact Corona virus on overall economy and Accell business unclear and could influence 2020 results
- Situation is being monitored closely
- Current stocks levels provide a buffer
- We anticipate delay in delivery of components affecting innovation introductions
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Disclaimer
Accell Groep NV published this content on 06 March 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 06 March 2020 10:37:02 UTC