ARN MEDIA LIMITED |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 0.84 AUD | -1.75% |
|
-1.18% | -16.00% |
| Mar. 17 | Southern Cross Media Board Unanimously Agrees to ARN Media Takeover Offer | MT |
| Mar. 17 | ARN Media Willing to Increase Takeover Bid for Southern Cross Media | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 475 | 514.7 | 577.8 | 298.3 | 313.1 | 263 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 364 | 402.5 | 388.8 | 358.8 | 388.2 | 328.2 | 314.1 | 300.6 |
| P/E ratio | -33.9 x | -12.2 x | 38.9 x | -1.7 x | -31.3 x | 9.88 x | 8.81 x | 8.12 x |
| Yield | 5.07% | - | 3.52% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.94% | 8.84% | 10.1% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.88 x | 2.61 x | 2.57 x | 0.86 x | 0.94 x | 0.76 x | 0.73 x | 0.71 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.44 x | 2.04 x | 1.73 x | 1.04 x | 1.16 x | 0.95 x | 0.87 x | 0.81 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.82 x | 8.16 x | 6.5 x | 3.91 x | 5.42 x | 4.24 x | 3.62 x | 3.35 x |
| EV / FCF | 9.83 x | 8.19 x | - | 30 x | 500 x | 8.32 x | 6.82 x | 6.3 x |
| FCF Yield | 10.2% | 12.2% | - | 3.34% | 0.2% | 12% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| Price to Book | 0.98 x | 1.13 x | 1.26 x | 0.83 x | 1.1 x | 0.88 x | 0.85 x | 0.83 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 280,229 | 278,196 | 275,155 | 309,123 | 313,050 | 313,050 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 1.695 | 1.850 | 2.100 | 0.9650 | 1.000 | 0.8400 | 0.8400 | 0.8400 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/20 | 2/23/21 | 2/22/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 252.7 | 197.3 | 225 | 344.9 | 334.3 | 347.2 | 361.7 | 370.4 |
| EBITDA 1 | 75.6 | 49.3 | 59.8 | 91.8 | 71.6 | 77.32 | 86.83 | 89.84 |
| EBIT 1 | 56.9 | 32.5 | 45.9 | 71.6 | 52 | 53 | 59.35 | 62.34 |
| Operating Margin | 22.52% | 16.47% | 20.4% | 20.76% | 15.55% | 15.27% | 16.41% | 16.83% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 30.03 | - | 44.88 | -190.2 | -26.2 | 38.07 | 37.78 | 38.26 |
| Net income 1 | -14.2 | -42.5 | 14.83 | -176.3 | -9.8 | 27.97 | 32.39 | 34.91 |
| Net margin | -5.62% | -21.54% | 6.59% | -51.12% | -2.93% | 8.06% | 8.96% | 9.42% |
| EPS 2 | -0.0500 | -0.1520 | 0.0540 | -0.5690 | -0.0320 | 0.0850 | 0.0953 | 0.1034 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 37.04 | 49.14 | - | 11.98 | 0.776 | 39.45 | 46.04 | 47.68 |
| FCF margin | 14.66% | 24.91% | - | 3.47% | 0.23% | 11.36% | 12.73% | 12.87% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 49% | 99.68% | - | 13.05% | 1.08% | 51.02% | 53.02% | 53.06% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | 141.03% | 142.12% | 136.56% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.0860 | - | 0.0740 | 0.1020 | 0.0710 | 0.0667 | 0.0742 | 0.0850 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/20 | 2/23/21 | 2/22/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 S2 | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 121.8 | 93.04 | 104.2 | 109.9 | 172 | 172.9 | 165.9 |
| EBITDA | 37.5 | 19.5 | 29.8 | 30.4 | 48.5 | 43.3 | - |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | - | 23.7 | 38.1 | - | 25.3 |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | 21.57% | 22.15% | - | 15.25% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | - | - | - | 10.2 | 26.64 | - | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | 9.28% | 15.49% | - | - |
| EPS | - | - | - | 0.0366 | 0.0860 | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | 0.0350 | 0.0500 | - | 0.0350 |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/20 | 8/19/20 | 2/23/21 | 8/18/21 | 8/17/22 | 2/20/23 | 8/23/23 |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | 60.5 | 75.1 | 65.2 | 51.2 | 37.6 |
| Net Cash position 1 | 111 | 112 | 189 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | 0.6595 x | 1.049 x | 0.8435 x | 0.5894 x | 0.4185 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 37 | 49.1 | - | 12 | 0.78 | 39.5 | 46 | 47.7 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 6.6% | 3.24% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 9.78% | 9.29% | 10.1% | 10.6% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 4.58% | 2.14% | 3.9% | 6.21% | 4.5% | 3.95% | 4.3% | 4.45% |
| Assets 1 | -309.9 | -1,987 | 380.2 | -2,839 | -217.7 | 708.2 | 753.4 | 784.5 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 1.730 | 1.630 | 1.670 | 1.160 | 0.9100 | 0.9500 | 0.9800 | 1.020 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | 0.1800 | 0.1400 | 0.0600 | 0.0700 | 0.1900 | 0.1800 | 0.2000 |
| Capex 1 | 7.79 | 1.63 | 3.3 | 7.92 | 19.9 | 15.6 | 13.2 | 13.2 |
| Capex / Sales | 3.08% | 0.83% | 1.47% | 2.3% | 5.94% | 4.5% | 3.64% | 3.56% |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/20 | 2/23/21 | 2/22/22 | 2/20/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
0.84
AUD
Average target price
0.951
AUD
Spread / Average Target
+13.22%
EPS Revisions
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -16.00% | 174M | |
| -44.61% | 11.66B | |
| +32.29% | 138M | |
| -6.42% | 130M | |
| +312.11% | 82.72M | |
| -29.58% | 72.99M | |
| +490.64% | 70.97M | |
| -3.60% | 64.58M | |
| +19.40% | 61.02M |
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- Financials ARN Media Limited