Financials China Education Group Holdings Limited

Equities

839

KYG2163M1033

School, College & University

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:08:20 2024-04-26 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
4.26 HKD +5.19% Intraday chart for China Education Group Holdings Limited +11.23% -13.06%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 21,489 28,952 27,717 16,351 17,019 10,325 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 22,259 30,702 32,724 20,449 20,448 14,372 13,966 16,240
P/E ratio 36.5 x 43.4 x 22.6 x 9.73 x 12.1 x 4.76 x 4.29 x 3.83 x
Yield 1.06% 1.72% 2.68% 5.58% 4.48% 8.75% 9.86% 10.9%
Capitalization / Revenue 11 x 10.8 x 7.53 x 3.44 x 3.03 x 1.6 x 1.41 x 1.25 x
EV / Revenue 11.4 x 11.5 x 8.89 x 4.3 x 3.64 x 2.23 x 1.9 x 1.97 x
EV / EBITDA 19.8 x 19.9 x 15.6 x 7.16 x 6.08 x 4 x 3.48 x 3.76 x
EV / FCF 40.6 x 457 x -105 x 26.3 x 19.9 x 11 x 5.06 x 5.02 x
FCF Yield 2.46% 0.22% -0.95% 3.81% 5.03% 9.13% 19.7% 19.9%
Price to Book 3.26 x 3.18 x 2.48 x 1.07 x 1.07 x 0.59 x 0.54 x 0.5 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,020,202 2,150,222 2,272,952 2,387,070 2,551,540 2,618,313 - -
Reference price 2 10.64 13.46 12.19 6.012 6.670 3.943 3.943 3.943
Announcement Date 11/26/19 11/24/20 11/24/21 11/28/22 11/27/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,955 2,678 3,682 4,756 5,616 6,437 7,342 8,252
EBITDA 1 1,122 1,542 2,094 2,856 3,361 3,594 4,018 4,321
EBIT 1 796.2 1,207 1,725 2,114 2,493 2,744 3,118 3,348
Operating Margin 40.73% 45.07% 46.84% 44.45% 44.39% 42.63% 42.47% 40.58%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 668.3 729.6 1,511 1,969 1,561 2,341 2,730 3,121
Net income 1 592.6 633.2 1,444 1,845 1,380 2,062 2,302 2,589
Net margin 30.31% 23.64% 39.21% 38.79% 24.57% 32.03% 31.36% 31.38%
EPS 2 0.2916 0.3105 0.5402 0.6177 0.5522 0.8281 0.9200 1.030
Free Cash Flow 1 548 67.18 -311 779 1,028 1,312 2,758 3,235
FCF margin 28.03% 2.51% -8.44% 16.38% 18.3% 20.39% 37.57% 39.21%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 48.85% 4.36% - 27.28% 30.59% 36.51% 68.65% 74.88%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 92.48% 10.61% - 42.22% 74.49% 63.65% 119.81% 124.96%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1123 0.2321 0.3270 0.3357 0.2991 0.3452 0.3887 0.4288
Announcement Date 11/26/19 11/24/20 11/24/21 11/28/22 11/27/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: August 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2
Net sales 1 1,028 1,315 1,363 1,823 1,859 - 2,405 - 2,841
EBITDA 1 449 - 801.7 - - - 1,449 - 1,685
EBIT 1 410.7 - 644.3 880.9 843.8 - 1,072 - 1,236
Operating Margin 39.97% - 47.28% 48.31% 45.39% - 44.57% - 43.51%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 324.3 - 179.7 - - - 740.8 - 492
Net income 1 293 - 135.6 - - 1,168 676.5 977 403
Net margin 28.51% - 9.95% - - - 28.13% - 14.19%
EPS - - - - - 0.3321 - 0.4006 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/26/19 4/22/20 11/24/20 4/27/21 11/24/21 4/29/22 11/28/22 4/27/23 11/27/23
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: August 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 770 1,750 5,008 4,098 3,429 4,047 3,641 5,915
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.6864 x 1.135 x 2.391 x 1.435 x 1.02 x 1.126 x 0.9062 x 1.369 x
Free Cash Flow 1 548 67.2 -311 779 1,028 1,312 2,758 3,235
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 9.31% 13.8% 14.8% 14.4% 9.33% 12.4% 12.8% 13.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.92% 6.28% 6.46% 6.12% 3.98% 6.52% 6.91% 7.43%
Assets 1 12,036 10,078 22,361 30,161 34,665 31,612 33,339 34,840
Book Value Per Share 2 3.260 4.240 4.920 5.600 6.230 6.670 7.250 7.930
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.5600 0.4500 1.050 1.100 1.540 1.480 1.590 1.690
Capex 1 593 844 2,841 1,974 2,818 2,919 1,985 1,756
Capex / Sales 30.35% 31.51% 77.15% 41.51% 50.18% 45.34% 27.04% 21.28%
Announcement Date 11/26/19 11/24/20 11/24/21 11/28/22 11/27/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
3.943 CNY
Average target price
7.315 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+85.51%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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