Presentation to Debt & Preferred Equity Investors
March 2024
Important Notice
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "project," "plan," "continue," "intend," "should," "would," "could," "goal," "objective," "will," "may," "seek," or similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. Forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs, assumptions and expectations of our future operations, business strategies, performance, financial condition, liquidity and prospects, taking into account information currently available to us. These beliefs, assumptions, and expectations are subject to risks and uncertainties and can change as a result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to us. If a change occurs, our business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations and strategies may vary materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements.
The following factors are examples of those that could cause actual results to vary from our forward-looking statements: changes in interest rates and the market value of our investments, market volatility, changes in mortgage default rates and prepayment rates, our ability to borrow to finance our assets, changes in government regulations affecting our business, our ability achieve the cost savings and efficiencies, operating efficiencies, synergies and other benefits, including the increased scale, and avoid potential business disruption from our recently completed merger with Arlington Asset Investment Corp., our ability to maintain our exclusion from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940, our ability to maintain our qualification as a real estate investment trust, or "REIT," and other changes in market conditions and economic trends, such as changes to fiscal or monetary policy, heightened inflation, slower growth or recession, and currency fluctuations. Furthermore, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described under Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K, which can be accessed through the Company's website at www.ellingtonfinancial.com or at the SEC's website (www.sec.gov). Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected may be described from time to time in reports we file with the SEC, including reports on Forms 10-Q,10-K and 8-K. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Modeling
Some statements in this presentation may be derived from proprietary models developed by Ellington Management Group, L.L.C. ("Ellington"). Some examples provided may be based upon the hypothetical performance of such models. Models, however, are inherently imperfect and subject to a number of risks, including that the underlying data used by the models is incorrect, inaccurate, or incomplete, or that the models rely upon assumptions that may prove to be incorrect. The utility of model-based information is highly limited. The information is designed to illustrate Ellington's current view and expectations and is based on a number of assumptions and limitations, including those specified herein. Certain models make use of discretionary settings or parameters which can have a material effect on the output of the model. Ellington exercises discretion as to which settings or parameters to use in different situations, including using different settings or parameters to model different securities. Actual results and events may differ materially from those described by such models.
Example Analyses
The example analyses included herein are for illustrative purposes only and are intended to illustrate Ellington's analytic approach. They are not and should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any security or a projection of the Company's future results or performance. The example analyses are only as of the date specified and do not reflect changes since that time.
Projected Yields and Spreads
Projected yields and spreads discussed herein are based upon Ellington models and rely on a number of assumptions, including as to prepayment, default and interest rates and changes in home prices. Such models are inherently imperfect and there is no assurance that any particular investment will perform as predicted by the models, or that any such investment will be profitable. Projected yields are presented for the purposes of (i) providing insight into the strategy's objectives, (ii) detailing anticipated risk and reward characteristics in order to facilitate comparisons with other investments, (iii) illustrating Ellington's current views and expectations, and (iv) aiding future evaluations of performance. They are not a guarantee of future performance. They are based upon assumptions regarding current and future events and conditions, which may not prove to be accurate. There can be no assurance that the projected yields will be achieved. Investments involve risk of loss.
Financial Information
All financial information included in this presentation is as of December 31, 2023 unless otherwise indicated. We undertake no duty or obligation to update this presentation to reflect subsequent events or developments.
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Table of Contents
Ellington Financial Overview | 4 |
The Ellington Platform | 5 |
Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE: EFC) | 16 |
Supplemental Information | 27 |
3
Ellington Financial Overview
Hybrid mortgage REIT with diversified investment portfolio and income stream: residential and commercial mortgage, consumer / corporate loans, as well as multiple proprietary loan origination businesses; ability to shift capital allocation across various asset classes
Reduced volatility of book value and more consistent economic returns relative to peers: dynamic hedging strategies, diversification, risk and liquidity management, and active portfolio management
Strong history of navigating severe market disruptions: maintained book value stability and generated profits through the 2008 financial crisis, the 2013 taper tantrum, and the turbulence caused by the COVID-19pandemic
Diversified sources of financing: long-term,non-mark-to-market financing facilities and securitizations
Demonstrated discipline accessing capital markets: common stock, preferred stock, and unsecured debt
Attractive NAIC-1rating: senior unsecured notes and preferred stock, rated "A-" and "BBB+" respectively
Strong alignment of interests: approx. $54 million invested in EFC by management and directors, along with partners / affiliates of Ellington
8.1% | ||||||
$4.1bn | $1.5 bn | $1.2 bn | ||||
Diversified Investment | Annualized Total Return | |||||
Total Equity | Common Equity | |||||
Portfolio | Since Inception | |||||
4
The Ellington Platform
5
About Ellington Management Group
Ellington Profile
As of 12/31/2023
Founded: | 1994 |
Employees: | >170 |
Investment Professionals: | >60 |
Global offices: | 3 |
$10.3 | 9 | |
Billion in | Employee-partners | |
assets under | own | |
management(1) | the firm(2) | |
29 | 5% | |
Years of average | Management's | |
industry experience | ownership of EFC, | |
of senior portfolio | representing | |
managers | strong alignment(3) | |
Ellington and its Affiliated Management Companies
- Our external manager Ellington Financial Management LLC is part of the Ellington family of SEC-registered investment advisors(4)
- Ellington Management Group and its affiliates manage Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC), Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EARN), multi-investor hedge funds, separately managed accounts, and opportunistic private funds
- Time-testedinfrastructure and proprietary resources in trading, research, risk management, and operational support
Industry-Leading Research & Trading Expertise
- Sophisticated proprietary models for prepayment and credit analysis
- Approximately 20% of employees dedicated to research and technology
- Structured credit trading experience and analytical skills developed since the firm's founding 29 years ago
- Ellington's portfolio managers are among the most experienced in the MBS sector
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Ellington Management Group
Headcount by Department
Whole Loan | Risk Front Office/Trading - | ||
Management UK 2% | Executive 1% | ||
Acquisitions & | 2% | ||
Management | |||
5% | |||
Legal/Compliance | |||
/Internal Audit 5% | Portfolio |
Management /Trading 24%
Treasury &
Middle
Office 8%
Business | 170+employees | |
Development / | ||
Investor Relations | Financial | |
8% | ||
Reporting | ||
Administration | 19% | |
8% |
Research | Systems / IT |
8% | |
10% | |
Strategy Breakdown ($bn)
Ellington | Traditional | |
Mandate | ||
Sponsored | ||
EARN | $4.4 | |
CLO | ||
$0.1 | ||
$0.8 | ||
Prepayment & | ||
Related Relative | ||
Value | ||
$0.6 | $10.3 AUM(1) | |
Private Credit | ||
$0.5 |
EFC
$1.6
Multi-Strategy
Credit $2.3
- Ellington manages approximately $1.6 billion of permanent capital through EFC and EARN as of 12/31/23
- EFC represents approximately 16% of overall Ellington AUM
- Management owns approximately 5% of EFC's common shares and convertible securities(2)
- Since 12/31/19, EFC total equity(1) has increased by ~77%
7
Access to Experienced Management
Years of | Years at |
Experience(3) | Ellington(3) |
Michael Vranos
Co-Chief Investment
Officer (1)
Laurence Penn
Chief Executive Officer (2)
Mark Tecotzky
Co-Chief Investment
Officer
JR Herlihy
Chief Financial Officer
3929
3829
- 17
- 12
- Founder and CEO of Ellington
- Former head of RMBS trading and origination at Kidder Peabody
- B.A. in Mathematics from Harvard University (magna cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa)
- Vice Chairman of Ellington, CEO of EFC and EARN
- Former Co-head of CMO origination and trading at Lehman Brothers
- B.A. in Mathematics from Harvard University (summa cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa)
- Masters in Mathematics from Cambridge University
- Vice Chairman and Co-Head of Credit Strategies of Ellington
- Former senior mortgage trader at Credit Suisse
- B.S. from Yale University
- Received a National Science Foundation fellowship to study at MIT
- CFO of EFC and COO of EARN
- Managing Director of EMG and former Co-Chief Investment Officer of Ellington Housing Inc.
- Formerly Vice President of acquisitions at GTIS Partners LP
- B.A. in Economics and History from Dartmouth College (summa cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa)
Ellington employs over 170 people; approximately 20% are dedicated to research and technology
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Our Infrastructure Is A Competitive Advantage
Ellington has over 170 employees supporting approximately $10.3 billion(1) in assets under management
Ellington Principals
Services Agreement
Ellington Management Group, L.L.C. | Ellington Financial Management LLC |
Management
Agreement
Research & Analytics | Portfolio Systems | Portfolio Management | Risk Oversight | Ellington Financial Inc. | |||||||||||||
& Trading | |||||||||||||||||
Data / | MBS / ABS | Prepayment / | ||
Trading Systems | Credit | Related RV | ||
Prepayment / | MBS / ABS | CLOs / | CMBS | Mortgage Loans |
Related RV | Credit | Corporate | ||
Legal & | Investor | Accounting & | HR & | Treasury & Middle | Valuation | ||||||||||||||
Financial | Internal Audit | ||||||||||||||||||
Compliance | Relations | Administration | Office | Oversight | |||||||||||||||
Reporting | |||||||||||||||||||
Sophisticated infrastructure supports rigorous management of credit, interest rate, liquidity, and other risks
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Integrated Investment Process, with an Emphasis on Risk Management
Portfolio
Construction
Risk Measurement,
Hedging and Trade Execution
Risk Management
and Compliance
- CEO, Portfolio Management (PM) Committee and Risk Oversight Committee set top-down portfolio and strategy targets / limits
- Sector specialized PMs access niche, high risk-adjusted returning opportunities through deep networks
- Proprietary data sources, pricing models and data analytics utilized to analyze collateral and set purchase / sales price targets
- Exposures assessed relative to industry, capital structure, loan terms and other limits as well as across a range of stress tests and scenarios
- PMs determine proper trade hedges, where applicable, with the Risk Oversight Committee and Research
- Senior PMs review larger investments
- Senior PMs / PMs execute the trade
- Trade suitability and allocation based on liquidity and maximum drawdown parameters
- Automated allocation systems, overseen by Compliance and Risk Oversight teams
- Middle Office and Operations manage portfolio holdings, settlements and financing; Risk Oversight generates and reviews position- and fund-level risk reports
- Investment theses and structures, including portfolio hedges, continuously reviewed and revised by PMs and Risk Oversight
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Disclaimer
Ellington Financial Inc. published this content on 08 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 08 March 2024 23:28:01 UTC.