9M 2020 Results
18
October 28th, 2020
82 Overall ESG Score
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation has been prepared by Ence Energía y Celulosa, S.A. (hereinafter, "Ence").
This presentation includes data relating to future forecasts. Any data included in this presentation which differ from other data based on historical information, including, in a merely expository manner, those which refer to the financial situation of Ence, its business strategy, estimated investments, management plans, and objectives related to future operations, as well as those which include the words "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "consider", "expect" and other similar expressions, are data related to future situations and therefore have various inherent risks, both known and unknown, and possess an element of uncertainty, which can lead to the situation and results both of Ence and its sector differing significantly from those expressly or implicitly noted in said data relating to future forecasts.
The aforementioned data relating to future forecasts are based on numerous assumptions regarding the current and future business strategy of Ence and the environment in which it expects to be situated in the future. There is a series of important factors which could cause the situation and results of Ence to differ significantly from what is expounded in the data relating to future forecasts, including fluctuation in the price of wood pulp or wood, seasonal variations in business, regulatory changes to the electricity sector, fluctuation in exchange rates, financial risks, strikes or other kinds of action carried out by the employees of Ence, competition and environmental risks, as well as any other factors described in the document. The data relating to future forecasts solely refer to the date of this presentation without Ence being under any obligation to update or revise any of said data, any of the expectations of Ence, any modification to the conditions or circumstances on which the related data are based, or any other information or data included in this presentation.
The information contained in this document has not been verified by independent experts and, therefore, Ence neither implicitly nor explicitly gives any guarantee on the impartiality, precision, completeness or accuracy of the information, opinions and statements expressed herein.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to acquire or subscribe to shares, in accordance with the provisions of Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015, of 23 October, approving the consolidated text of the Securities Market Act. Furthermore, this document does not constitute a purchase, sale or swap offer, nor a request for a purchase, sale or swap offer for securities, or a request for any vote or approval in any other jurisdiction.
2
Highlights
Highlights 9M20
Resilient operating performance in a low price environment
Ence continues operating safely despite COVID-19
Further cash cost reduction in 3Q20 to 373 €/t despite maintenance shutdowns
+27% renewable energy sales vs. 9M19
Renewables business adds stability to the Group
Financial results driven by lower prices
Stronger pulp demand than initially expected for 2020
Ence has hedged the price for 193,200 t at 770 $/t in 2021
No covenants, long term maturities and €360 Mn cash in balance
- Effective measures taken since February 24th against COVID-19 have allowed ENCE to protect its staff and to continue operating during the pandemic and subsequent virus outbreaks, maintaining full production and employment
- All ENCE's activities have been declared essential according to the Royal Decree 463/2020 approved on March 14th
Renewable Energy Business: | Pulp business: | |
o Sales (MWh): +27% vs. 9M19 (+28% vs. 3Q19) | o Production: +2% vs. 9M19 (-15% vs. 3Q19) | |
o New biomass plants commissioned on Jan. 31 | o Sales (t): +7% vs. 9M19 (-11% vs. 3Q19) | |
and Mar. 31 2020 | o Cash cost: -3% vs. 9M19 (-1% vs. 3Q19 to 373 €/t) | |
€42 Mn EBITDA in the Renewables business: | €7 Mn EBITDA in the Pulp business: | |
o +2% vs. 9M19 (-2% vs. 3Q19) | o -92% vs. 9M19 | |
o Higher energy sales offset a 6% decline in the | o Higher pulp sales and lower cash cost partially | |
avg. sales price down to its regulatory minimum | offset a 26% decline in the average sales price | |
- Pulp demand improved by 5% vs. the first eight months of 2019, equivalent to 2.1 million tons.
- Producers' inventories have remained close to their normal levels despite the delay of some maintenance shutdowns to the second half of the year due to the spread of COVID-19
- €556 Mn Net Debt position at 30 Sep. 2020 (€350 Mn in the Pulp business and €206 Mn in the Renewable business)
- No covenants in the Pulp business and long-termmaturities in both businesses and
- €360 Mn cash in balance at 30 Sep. 2020 (€237 Mn in the Pulp business and €122 Mn in the Renewable business)
4
Ence continues operating safely despite COVID-19
All ENCE's activities have been declared essential
PEOPLE
- COVID-19Prevention Protocol
- Entrance and exit temperature checks
- Everyone wears masks
- 2 meters social distancing and no visits
- Regular ventilation and disinfection of hands and tools
- Regular COVID-19 tests
- Minimum on-site work subject to regional rate of cumulated infections
- COVID Access Passport (Internal App)
Virus spread avoided in our
workplaces
OPERATIONS
- Implementation of Ence´s COVID-19 Prevention Protocol in all the supply chain, including subcontractors and logistic services
- Daily audits at all plants
- Adverse scenario analysis and action plans to mitigate risks
- Increased wood / raw material stocks
- Annual maintenance shutdowns delayed to 3Q20
- Isolated work teams
No activity interruptions due to
COVID-19
LIQUIDITY
- Use of the € 70 Mn RCF available in the Pulp business, maturing in May 2023.
- € 102 Mn in long-termback-up credit facilities with no covenants signed in 2Q20
- € 51 Mn capex payments postponed to 2021
- Optimization of factoring and confirming lines
+59% cash in balance
up to €360 Mn on 30 September 2020
5
Sustainability Plan 2019 - 2023
Highlights 3Q20 | 82 Overall ESG Score | |||||||||||||||||||
Safe and | Waste | Lower water | Industry reference | Emissions | ||||||||||||||||
99% valorised | consumption | Covid-19 | > 40% reduction | |||||||||||||||||
eco-efficient | < 10 mg /Nm3 in all | |||||||||||||||||||
AENOR "0 Waste" | Pontevedra: -4% | Prevention | in odour impact | |||||||||||||||||
operations | our biomass plants | |||||||||||||||||||
Certification | Navia: -8% | Protocols | vs. 2019 | |||||||||||||||||
Climate | -25% | New Scope 1 & 2 emissions | Climate scenario analysis for supply areas | |||||||||||||||||
Action | target for 2025 | according to TCFD recommendations | ||||||||||||||||||
Sustainable | Patrimonial area certified FSC® | 100% | Wood bought from small | |||||||||||||||||
agro-forestry | 87% (Licence code FSC-C099970) or PEFC | 97% suppliers | ||||||||||||||||||
Wood inputs certified FSC® | Certified wood and | Biomass bought from small | ||||||||||||||||||
biomass suppliers | ||||||||||||||||||||
management | 79% (Licence code FSC-C081854) or PEFC | 85% suppliers | ||||||||||||||||||
(September 2020) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sustainable | 10% | Development of sustainable | ||||||||||||||||||
products with reduced | European Ecolabel for primary material for | |||||||||||||||||||
products | Of Pulp Sales | environmental footprint and with | cellulose at Navia and at Pontevedra | |||||||||||||||||
potential for plastic substitution | ||||||||||||||||||||
Commitment | +3,2M€ | The Pontevedra´s annual Social | Involvement with the local community: the plants | |||||||||||||||||
to | Plan and other investments in the | received more than 400 organized visits from the | ||||||||||||||||||
Communities | community | local stakeholders | ||||||||||||||||||
People and | Gender | +13,2% Women employed vs. 2019 | +7% in 2019 | |||||||||||||||||
55% of new staff < 30 years are women | ||||||||||||||||||||
Values | 0% salary gap | Happy Index | ||||||||||||||||||
62% of new managerial & indefinite staff are women | ||||||||||||||||||||
Code of Conduct and complaints | Long-term incentive | Women present | ||||||||||||||||||
Digitalisation of | on the Board of | |||||||||||||||||||
Governance | channel procedure update. | plan linked to | ||||||||||||||||||
Social Bodies | 25% | 22% Directors vs. | ||||||||||||||||||
Anticorruption Policy approval | ESG targets | |||||||||||||||||||
2017, up to29%. |
6
+27% higher renewable energy sales vs. 9M19
Despite the difficulties caused by the pandemic
316 MW
Installed capacity
New Biomass Plant CIUDAD REAL 50 MW
31st MARCH
MÉRIDA
20 MW
HUELVA
50 MW
HUELVA
41 MW
New Biomass Plant HUELVA 46 MW
31st JANUARY
HUELVA
46 MW
JAÉN
16 MW
CÓRDOBA
27 MW
CIUDAD REAL
50 MW
CIUDAD REAL
50 MW
CIUDAD REAL
16 MW
7
A regulated business which adds stability to the Group
6% decline in our average sales price compared to a 36% drop in the pool price
Average sales price: Pool price + Ro + Regulatory Collar
(€/MWh)
-5.7% | |||||||||
104.6 | 98.3 | ||||||||
49.5 | 24.0 | ||||||||
58.0 | 31.9 | ||||||||
42.3 | |||||||||
(2.9) | |||||||||
9M19 | 9M20 | ||||||||
Average Ro | Ence´s market price | Regulatory collar compensation | |||||||
- Our renewable energy sales price is supported by its regulatory minimum.
- Ro and regulatory collar applicable during the sanitary crisis will be reviewed, according to Spanish Royal Decree-Law 23/2020.
Return on investment
(€ Mn)
47.6 | 47.6 | |
9M19 | 9M20 |
- The regulated annual return on investment of our power plants was confirmed at 7.4% for 2020 - 2031 by Spanish Royal Decree-Law 17/2019.
- Implies an annual income of € 63 Mn subject to a minimum operation of just 3.000 hours per biomass power plant.
8
Renewables pipeline: 405 MW with grid access and locations secured
Awaiting upcoming public auctions of the National Renewable Energy Plan
CIUDAD REAL 50 MW
Biomass
RTB in 3Q21
HUELVA 40 MW
Solar PV
RTB in 4Q21
HUELVA 10 MW
Solar PV
RTB in 3Q21
SEVILLA 90 MW
Solar PV
RTB in 4Q21
RTB = Ready to build
CIUDAD REAL 25 MW
Biomass Hybridization
RTB in 4Q21
CÓRDOBA 50 MW
Biomass
RTB in 1Q22
JAÉN 100 MW
Solar PV
RTB in 3Q21
ALMERÍA 40 MW
Biomass
RTB in 3Q21
National Renewable Energy Plan
2020 - 2030
Solar PV: +30.1 GW
Wind: +22.3 GW
CSP: +5.0 GW
Hydro: +3.5 GW
Biomass: +0.8 GW
Upcoming Auctions Scheme
Spanish Royal Decree-Law 23/2020
- Annual actions 2020 - 2025
- Specific by technology
- Price mechanism: Pay as bid (€/MWh)
9
Further cash cost reduction in 3Q20 to 373 €/t
Despite annual maintenance shutdowns at both biomills
Pulp Production (t) | 1,025,000 | |||
+2.2% | ||||
726,624 | 742,423 | |||
-15.1% | ||||
261,280 | 221,802 | |||
3 Q 1 9 | 3 Q 2 0 | 9 M 1 9 | 9 M 2 0 | 2020 E |
Cash Cost breakdown (€/t)
-1.0% | -3.3% | ||||
Overheads | 376 | 373 | 389 | 376 | 375 |
33 | 35 | 37 | 32 | ||
31 | |||||
Commercial and | 31 | 28 | 30 | ||
logistic costs | 104 | 109 | 112 | 111 | |
Conversion costs | |||||
208 | 201 | 209 | 204 | ||
Wood cost | |||||
3Q19 | 3Q20 | 9M19 | 9M20 | 2020 E |
Pontevedra biomill
- < 5% production vs. 9M19
- 25 days annual shutdown in 3Q20 (vs. 10 days in 1Q19)
- Energy efficiency improvements implemented
Navia biomill
- > 9% production vs. 9M19
- 7 days annual shutdown in 3Q20 (vs. 12 days in 2Q19)
- Fine tuning of second pulp dryer
13 €/t Cash cost reduction vs. 9M19:
5 €/t lower wood costs 5 €/t lower overheads
2 €/t lower commercial and logistic costs 1 €/t lower conversion costs
10
7% higher pulp sales in 9M 2020
Increasing the value of the European market and ENCE's differentiated products
Geographical distribution of sales | Breakdown by end product | Differentiated products | |||||||||||
% of pulp sales | % of pulp sales | % of pulp sales | |||||||||||
7% Other | |||||||||||||
Europe 93% | 10% | ||||||||||||
Tissue 58% | 27% Specialties | ||||||||||||
vs. 6% in 2019 | |||||||||||||
vs. 82% in 2019 | |||||||||||||
vs. 58% in 2019 | vs. 31% in 2019 | ||||||||||||
8% P&W
vs. 8% in 2019
7% Packaging
Source: Ence 9M20 | vs. 3% in 2019 | Source: Ence 9M20 |
Source: Ence 9M20 | ||
93% of ENCE´s pulp sales are to Spanish and | Ence's differentiated products already | |
58% of ENCE's pulp sales are to the growing | account for 10% of pulp sales. | |
European markets, where it has strong logistic | tissue and hygiene products segment. | These value-added products are environmentally |
and service related competitive advantages. | Strong order backlog for 2020. | friendly and better adapted to replace softwood |
pulp in speciality segments.
11
Pulp demand in 2020: stronger than initially expected
Producers inventories close to normal levels despite fewer maintenance shutdowns
BHKP and BSKP Demand Evolution (YoY)
000's t
2500
2250 | Last 10 years average BHKP: +1.1 Mn t / year | 2089 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000 | Last 10 years average BSKP: +0.4 Mn t / year | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1729 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1750 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1250 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
890 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
742 | 736 | 689 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
750 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
542 | 600 | 595 | 584 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
500 | 121 | 253 | 267 | 308 | 319 | 301 | 248 | 208 | 278 | 325 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
250 | 30 | 57 | 119 | 155180 | 143 | 184 184 | 135 | 66 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-7 | -37 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-250 | -112 | -52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-214 | -304 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-496 | -522 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-750 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-808 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-1000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-1250 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-1500 | -1.354 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hardwood (BHKP) | Softwood (BSKP) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: Ence, PPPC G-100
PPPC updated statistics show a stronger demand in 2020 than initially expected. It has recovered by 5% vs. the first eight months of 2019, which were affected by the destocking of pulp in the paper industry. Restocking, together with higher demand for tissue paper (+5% vs. 7M 2019) and some substitution of the less efficient integrated pulp, has offset the 18% drop in P&W demand vs. 8M 2019.
Producers' Inventories BHKP and BSKP
In Days (Quarterly average)
65 | 64 | ||||
61 | |||||
60 | Last 10 years average BHKP: 42 days | ||||
Last 10 years average BSKP: 30 days | 53 | 54 | |||
55 | |||||
5047
45 | 41 | 41 | 43 | 41 | 44 | 3942 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | 40 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 41 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 37 | 37 | 35 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hardwood (BHKP) | Softwood (BSKP) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: Ence, PPPC G-100 |
Producer inventories have remained fairly stable during the first eight months of the year despite the postponement of most maintenance shutdowns to 2H20 due to the spread of COVID-19 and the more concentrated effect of lockdown measures on demand for printing and writing papers in the second quarter.
12
Pulp prices in 9M20 remain at their 10-year minimum
Ence has hedged the price for 193,200 t at 770 $/t in 2021
Net BHKP Prices China | Global Market Pulp Industrial Cash Cost Curve (CIF Europe) 1 | |||
$/t | $/Mn t | |||
800
Last 10 years average BHKP: 627 $/t
700
600
500
400
300
200
Current Net Price BHKP China 450 $/t
100
0
Hardwood (BHKP) | Softwood (BSKP) | Mn t |
Source: FOEX | Source: Ence, Hawkins Wright |
Pulp business annual EBITDA: over €150 Mn at average cycle prices
13
Pulp demand set to outgrow supply over 2020-24
Average annual pulp demand growth of 1.5 Mn t during the last 10 years
Expected Annual Increase in Global Market Pulp Supply and Demand (Mn t)1
Mn t | 2020 | 2021 | 2020-21 | 2022 | 2020-22 | 2023 | 2020-23 | 2024 | 2020-24 | |
ESTIMATED ANNUAL MARKET PULP DEMAND CHANGE | (1.0) | 1.0 | - | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
ESTIMATED ANNUAL MARKET PULP SUPPLY CHANGE (CONFIRMED) | (0.3) | (0.7) | (1.0) | 0.6 | (0.4) | 0.6 | 0.2 | (0.7) | (0.5) | |
SUZANO (SALES RECOVERY) | BHKP | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | ||||
ENCE (NAVIA & PONTEVEDRA) | BHKP | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||
ARAUCO (VALDIVIA) | BHKP | (0.2) | (0.3) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | |||
MONDI (RUZOMBEROK) | BHKP | 0.1 | (0.1) | - | - | - | - | |||
APRIL (KERINCI) | BHKP | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.3) | (0.2) | (0.5) | (0.2) | (0.7) | (0.2) | (0.9) |
APRIL (RIZHAO) | BHKP | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.3) | (0.2) | (0.5) | (0.2) | (0.7) | (0.2) | (0.9) |
ARAUCO (HORCONES) | BHKP | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | |||
UPM (PASO DE LOS TOROS) | BHKP | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | |||
BRACELL (LENÇOIS PAULISTA) | BHKP / DP | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||
SCA (OSTRAND) | BSKP | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||
STORA (ENOCELL) | BSKP | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | ||||
NEW-INDY CONTAINERBOARD (CATAWBA) | BSKP | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | ||||
NORDIC KRAFT (LEBEL-SUR-QUEVILLON) | BSKP | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |||
STORA (OULU) | BSKP | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | ||||
UNEXPECTED & NON COMPETITIVE ANNUAL CAPACITY CLOSURES | (0.8) | (0.5) | (1.3) | (0.5) | (1.8) | (0.5) | (2.3) | (0.5) | (2.8) | |
SURPLUS / (DEFICIT) | 0.7 | (1.7) | (1.0) | (0.9) | (1.9) | (0.9) | (2.8) | (2.2) | (5.0) | |
Source: ENCE estimates |
1. Estimates correspond to the expected increase in supply and demand for market pulp for paper production. They therefore exclude the production of integrated pulp and other pulp grades such as Dissolving Pulp or Fluff. We assume 70% of BRACELL´s project in Sao Paulo will be focused on Dissolving Pulp production.
14
9M 2020 Financial Results
Driven by lower pulp and energy prices
Pulp Business EBITDA (€ Mn) | Renewable Energy Business EBITDA (€ Mn) | Group Net Income (€ Mn) | ||
-91.7% | +2.0% | ||
85 | 42 | ||
41 | |||
7 | |||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 |
28 | |
-42 | |
9M19 | 9M20 |
Pulp | Renewable Energy |
€7 Mn EBITDA in the Pulp business:
- -92%vs. 9M19 driven by a 26% decrease in the average sales price
- Partially offset by a 7% increase in pulp sales and 3% reduction in cash cost
€42 Mn EBITDA in the Renewable business:
- +2% vs. 9M19 driven by 27% higher energy sales
- Offsetting a 4% decline in the average sales price down to its regulatory minimum
Net consolidated result of €-42 Mn following:
- €83 Mn Depreciation and other
- €21 Mn Net financing costs
- + €14 Mn Income tax
15
€50 Mn Normalized FCF and €62 Mn carry-over payments in 9M20
No covenants, long-term maturities and €360 Mn cash in balance
Normalized FCF1 (€ Mn) | Strategic Plan payments (€ Mn) | |
-39.5% | -70.9% | ||
83 | 213 | ||
50 | |||
62 | |||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 |
Renewable Energy | Pulp | Renewable Energy | Pulp |
Net Debt (€ Mn)
+8.5%
556 | ||||
513 | Lease | |||
contracts | ||||
€54Mn | ||||
2019 | 9M20 | ||
Renewable Energy | Pulp | Operating Leases | |
Normalized Free Cash Flow generation of €50 Mn
Lower EBITDA vs. 9M19 partially offset by:
- Working capital reduction
- Lower taxes
Strategic Plan carry over payments of €62 Mn:
- €39 Mn carry-over payments in the Pulp business from capacity expansions and sustainability improvements in 2019
- €23 Mn carry over payments in the Renewable Energy business from two new biomass plants commissioned in 1Q20 and sustainability improvements
€556Mn Net Debt (+ €43 Mn vs. Dec.19):
- Including €54 Mn related to lease contracts (+ €2 Mn vs. Dec.19)
- €360 Mn cash in balance (+ €133 Mn vs. Dec.19)
- Covenant free in the Pulp business and long- term maturities in both businesses
1. FCF before Strategic Plan investments and regulatory collar
16
Pontevedra's biomill legal status
The first resolution of the National Court is expected in the coming months
On January 2016 the National Directorate of Coasts granted the extension of Pontevedra´s concession until 2073
- The 1958 biomill's original concession was extended for 60 years (starting November 8th 2013) by the National Directorate of Coasts via a resolution dated January 20th 2016 by virtue of: (i) Law 2/2013, on coastal protection and sustainability and amending the Coastal Act (22/1988); & (ii) General Coast Regulations enacted (Royal Decree 876/2014).
We expect a first resolution from the | 3 appeals presented by Pontevedra's City Council and by two environmental associations to the National Court´s Chamber for | ||
National Court in the coming months | Contentious Administrative Proceedings against the Jan. 20th 2016 resolution. | ||
On March 8th 2019, the National Directorate of Coasts accepted all 3 appeals, despite having previously argued at all stages that | |||
The legal case against the extension could | the Ministerial Order Resolution of January 20th 2016 was totally legal. | ||
last for up to 4 years, including appeals to | On April 10th 2019, the National Court´s Chamber for Contentious Administrative allowed Ence to defend the case. | ||
higher courts | The court case is now in its final stage. COVID-19 may delay the National Court's first resolution. | ||
€130 Mn invested in the biomill since the | Investments carried out or committed since the extension of the concession for the period of 2016 - 2019 amount to approximately | ||
€130 Mn. | |||
extension of the concession in 2016 | In the unlikely event of operations being discontinued, the cash impact would amount to €74 Mn (€43 Mn corresponding to | ||
dismantling actions, €15 Mn to the cost of staff reductions and €16 Mn to the cancellation of existing contracts). | |||
Given the uncertainty, the Board of Directors decided to concentrate the investments of the Business Plan in Navia's biomill
- Investments of €250 Mn initially planned to increase capacity in Pontevedra will be reallocated to Navia's biomill, in order to double the initially planned swing line by up to 340,000 t of BHKP or 200,000 t of dissolving pulp.
17
9M 2020 Results by Business
Pulp Business
9M 2020 results driven by lower pulp prices
Avg. Net Pulp Price (€/t) | Pulp Sales Volume (t) | |||||
-25.9% | +7.4% | |||||
756,258 | ||||||||||||
704,306 | ||||||||||||
549 | ||||||||||||
407 | ||||||||||||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 | |||||||||
Avg. Cash Cost (€/t) | EBITDA (€ Mn) | |||||||||||
-3.3% | -91.7% | |||||||||||
91.7% EBITDA decrease vs. 9M19:
- Resulted from the 26% drop in the average sales price.
- Partially offset by 7% higher sales and 3% lower cash cost following the 100,000 t capacity increase carried out in 2019
- Annual maintenance shutdowns successfully executed in 3Q20
85 | € 1.5 Mn pulp inventory provision in 3Q20 | ||
389 | 376 | ||
7 | |||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 |
19
Pulp Business
P&L
9M20 P&L Bridge (€ Mn)
€9.8 Mn negative FX hedging
settlements
7.1 | |||
(48.7) | (45.5) | (41.2) | |
(3.8) | 13.5 | ||
(8.9) | |||
(0.3) |
EBITDA | Depreciation and other | Pontevedra | EBIT | Financial expenses Other financial result | Taxes | Net result |
results on fixed assets | Environmental Pact | |||||
provisions |
20
Pulp Business
Cash flow generation
9M20 Cash Flow Bridge (€ Mn)
2019 Strategic Plan | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(9.3) | carry over payments | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
16.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(5.2) | (1.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
7.1 | 0.0 | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(39.5)
(30.8)
0.7 | |||||||||
EBITDA | Change in | Maintenance | Financial | Taxes | NORMALIZED | Other | Strategic Plan | Divestments | FCF |
working capital | CAPEX | charges/payments | FCF | collection/payments | CAPEX | ||||
and non-cash | |||||||||
adjustments |
21
Ongoing FX hedging program
To mitigate FX volatility in the Pulp Business
Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate Evolution | Current Hedges | |
1,40 | |||||||||
Q4 2020: 66% revenues | |||||||||
1,35 | | Avg. cap: $ 1.19 € | |||||||
1,30 | Avg. floor: $ 1.13 € | ||||||||
Q1 2021: 58% revenues | |||||||||
1,25 | Avg. cap: $ 1.17 € | ||||||||
1,20 | Avg. floor: $ 1.09 € | ||||||||
Q2 2021: 50% revenues | |||||||||
1,15 | Avg. cap: $ 1.19 € | ||||||||
1,10 | Avg. floor: $ 1.12 € | ||||||||
Q3 2021: 30% revenues | |||||||||
1,05 | Avg. cap: $ 1.22 € | ||||||||
Avg. floor: $ 1.17 € | |||||||||
1,00 | |||||||||
31-12-13 | 31-12-14 | 31-12-15 | 31-12-16 | 31-12-17 | 31-12-18 | 31-12-19 | 31-12-20 | 31-12-21 |
Ence has secured an average cap of $1.19/€ and an average floor of $1.12/€ for 50% of its dollar exposure until September 2021
9M20 FX settlements amount to - €9.8 Mn
22
Pulp Business
High liquidity and long-term financing without covenants
Leverage as of September 30th 2020 (€ Mn) | Debt Maturity Calendar (€ Mn) | |
Lease | 587.8 | |
contracts | 45.1 | |
237.3 | ||
350.4 |
€152 Mn Convertible bond 1 €253 Mn Bilateral loans
€68 Mn Public sector financing €70 Mn RCF
€45 Mn IFRS16
317.6
1.7
70.0
8.1
86.6
124.7
39.1 | 75.7 | |
30.6 | 1.9 | |
2.1 | 5.8 | |
0.6 | ||
3.4 | ||
4.4 | 67.9 | |
25.6 | 33.3 | |
0.3 | ||
151.3
38.7
46.4
39.6
Gross debt | Cash | Net debt |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
20232024<
- 237 Mn cash in balance, long-term maturities and no covenants
Financial liability of €45.1 Mn in the Pulp business related to the application of IFRS16 on leases
1. €152 Mn accounted as gross debt and €8 Mn accounted as equity as of September 30th 2020, according to IAS 32
23
Renewable Energy Business
Higher contribution of new biomass power plants offset lower electricity prices
Energy Volume (MWh) | Average sale price (€/MWh) | |
+27.3% | -5.7% | |||
997,115 | 1 | 1.9 | ||
102.7 | 98.3 | |||
783,413 | ||||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 | |
Revenues (€ Mn) | EBITDA (€ Mn) | |||
+17.0% | +2.0% |
4.1 2
42.4 | |||||||||||
81.1 | 98.9 | 41.6 | |||||||||
47.6 | 47.6 | ||||||||||
9M19 | 9M20 | 9M19 | 9M20 | ||||||||
Ri | Pool + Collar + Ro | Capitalized | |||||||||
2.0% EBITDA increase was driven by:
- 27.3% higher energy sales from new biomass power plants commissioned in 1Q20
- This has offset a 4.2% decline in the average sale price, down to its regulatory minimum
1 Note that the average sale price of 103.5 €/MWh in 9M19 included an adjustment of 1.9 €/MWh related to the temporary suspension of the electricity generation tax in 1Q19 and the attendant adjustment to the plants Ro with no effect on EBITDA. Comparable sale price decline would have been 5.7% or 6.3 €/MWh.
2 9M20 revenues include € 4.1 Mn from the energy sales of the new biomass plants during their testing phase in 1Q20, which have been capitalized together with their corresponding expenses, neutralizing their impact in EBITDA
24
Renewable Energy Business
P&L | |||||||
9M20 P&L Bridge (€ Mn) | |||||||
(33.6) | |||||||
42.4 | |||||||
8.8 | (11.8) | ||||||
0.8 | (2.3) | (3.5) | |||||
(1.3) | |||||||
EBITDA | Depreciation and | EBIT | Financial Expenses | Taxes | Net profit | Minorities | Net Attributable Profit |
others |
25
Renewable Energy Business
Cash flow generation
9M20 Cash Flow Bridge (€ Mn)
€22 Mn non cash income | Strategic Plan | |
(3.9) | related to the Regulatory Collar | carry-over payments 1 |
10.5 | ||||||||
(8.6) | ||||||||
0.8 | ||||||||
(16.3) | ||||||||
42.4 | 41.2 | |||||||
(22.7) | ||||||||
2.2 | ||||||||
EBITDA | Change in working | Maintenance | Interest payment | Taxes | Normalized Free | Other collection / | Strategic Plan | FCF |
capital | CAPEX | Cash Flow | payments and non | CAPEX | ||||
cash adjustments |
1. Strategic Plan Capex excludes the contribution of the remaining pulp business assets in Huelva valued at € 26.9 Mn in 1Q20, with no impact on the Group's consolidated cash flow.
26
Renewable Energy Business
Long-term green financing and high liquidity
Leverage as of September 30th 2020 (€ Mn)
Lease | 328.2 | Leverage: |
8.7 | 3.9 x | |
contracts | 122.4 | |
Debt Maturity Calendar (€ Mn)
€96 Mn solar thermal plant project financing €224 Mn Energy parent corporate financing
205.8 |
€20 Mn RCF - Fully available
€9 Mn IFRS 16
209.8
7.1
69.1
Gross debt | Cash | Net debt |
14.3 | 36.3 | 34.5 | 33.5 | 133.6 |
0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | ||
0.2 | ||||
8.0 | 6.9 | 8.0 | ||
4.0 | ||||
27.6 | 27.3 | 25.1 | ||
10.0 | ||||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024< |
Energy business leverage at 3.9x Net Debt / LTM EBITDA as of September 2020
Financial liability of €8.7 Mn in the Renewable Energy business related to the application of IFRS16 on leases
27
Closing Remarks
Closing Remarks
Resilient operating performance in a low price environment
All our activities have been declared essential and we continue operating safely
Good operating performance of the Pulp business following the 100,000 t capacity increase carried out in 2019
2020 Expected Pulp production (t) | 2020 Expected Cash Cost (€/t) | 2020 FX average floor ($/€) |
1,025,000 (+13% vs. 2019) | 375 (-6% vs. 2019) | 1.15 |
Strong growth of the Renewable Energy business following the commissioning of two new biomass plants in 1Q20
2020 Expected Energy sales (MWh)
1,400,000 (+34% vs. 2019)
- Pipeline of 405 MW awaiting for the upcoming public auctions of the National Renewable Energy Plan
- Long term financing with no covenants in the pulp business and high liquidity
29
Alternative Performance Measures (APMs)
Pg.1
Ence presents its results in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, specifically IFRS. In addition, its quarterly earnings report provides certain other complementary metrics that are not defined or specified in IFRS and are used by management to track the company's performance. The alternative performance measures (APMs) used in this presentation are defined, reconciled and explained in the corresponding quarterly earnings report publicly available through the investor section of our web page www.ence.es.
CASH COST
The production cost per ton of pulp produced, or cash cost, is the key measure used by management to measure its efficiency as a pulp maker.
Cash cost includes all of the expenses incurred to produce pulp: timber, conversion costs, corporate overhead, sales and marketing expenses and logistics costs. It excludes fixed- asset depreciation and forest depletion charges, impairment charges and gains/losses on non-current assets, finance costs/income, income tax and certain operating expenses which management deems to be non-recurring, such as ad-hoc consultancy projects, Ence's long-term remuneration plan, the termination benefits agreed with staff or certain social expenses.
As a result, the difference between the average sales price and the cash cost applied to the total sales volume in tons yields a figure that is a very close proxy for the EBITDA generated by the Pulp business.
EBITDA
EBITDA is a measure of operating profit before depreciation, amortization and forestry depletion charges, non-current asset impairment charges, gains or losses on non-current assets and specific non-ordinary income and expenses unrelated to the ordinary operating activities of the company, which alter their comparability in different periods.
EBITDA is a measure used by the Ence´s management to compare the ordinary results of the company over time. It provides an initial approximation of the cash generated by the company's ordinary operating activities, before interest and tax payments, and is a measure that is widely used in the capital markets to compare the earnings performances of different companies.
NORMALISED FREE CASH FLOW
Ence reports normalised free cash flow within the cash flow metrics for each of its two business units in its quarterly earnings report. Normalised FCF is the sum of EBITDA, the change in working capital, maintenance capital expenditure, net interest payments and income tax payments.
30
Alternative Performance Measures (APMs)
Pg.2
Normalised free cash flow provides a proxy for the cash generated by the company's operating activities before collection of proceeds from asset sales; this cash represents the amount available for investments other than maintenance capex, for shareholder remuneration and for debt repayment.
MAINTENANCE, EFFICIENCY & GROWTH AND SUSTAINABILITY CAPEX
Ence provides the breakdown of its capital expenditure and related cash outflows for each of its business units in its quarterly earnings report, distinguishing between maintenance, efficiency & growth and sustainability capex.
Maintenance capex are recurring investments designed to maintain the capacity and productivity of the company's assets. Efficiency & growth capex, meanwhile, are investments designed to increase these assets' capacity and productivity. Lastly, sustainability capex covers investments made to enhance quality standards, occupational health and safety, to improve the environment and to prevent contamination.
Ence's 2019-2023 Business Plan includes a schedule of the amounts it expects to invest annually in efficiency & growth and sustainability capex in order to attain the strategic targets set. The disclosure of capex cash flows broken down by area of investment facilitates oversight of the execution of the published 2016-2020 Business Plan.
FREE CASH FLOW
Ence reports free cash flow as the sum of its net cash flows from operating activities and its net cash flows from the investing activities of its quarterly earnings report.
Free cash flow provides information about the cash generated by the Group's operating activities that is left over after its investing activities for the remuneration of shareholders and repayment of debt.
NET DEBT
The borrowings recognized on the balance sheet, as detailed in its quarterly earnings report, include bonds and other marketable securities, bank borrowings and other financial liabilities. They do not however include the measurement of financial derivatives.
Net debt is calculated as the difference between current and non-current borrowings on the liability side of the balance sheet and the sum of cash and cash equivalents and short- term financial investments on the asset side.
Net debt provides a proxy for the company's indebtedness and is a metric that is widely used in the capital markets to compare the financial position of different companies.
31
82 Overall ESG Score
Delivering value Delivering commitments
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Ence Energía y Celulosa SA published this content on 28 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 28 October 2020 14:24:08 UTC