Financials Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

GCARSO A1

MXP461181085

Consumer Goods Conglomerates

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
138.4 MXN +4.28% Intraday chart for Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V. +0.16% -27.00%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Capitalization 1 160,636 159,170 150,536 149,275 183,900 312,342 312,342 -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 164,905 161,911 165,096 168,772 183,900 463,075 330,038 317,164
P/E ratio 17.8 x 19.5 x 26.1 x 13.3 x 9.52 x 31.3 x 16.4 x 14.3 x
Yield 1.31% 1.37% - 1.51% - 0.27% 0.48% 0.89%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.66 x 1.55 x 1.59 x 1.19 x 1.01 x 2.16 x 1.49 x 1.37 x
EV / Revenue 1.71 x 1.58 x 1.74 x 1.35 x 1.01 x 2.33 x 1.57 x 1.39 x
EV / EBITDA 12.7 x 11.2 x 14.7 x 10.5 x 5.87 x 15.3 x 9.36 x 8.09 x
EV / FCF 18.9 x - 26.9 x - - 55.6 x 34.3 x 27.7 x
FCF Yield 5.29% - 3.72% - - 1.8% 2.91% 3.61%
Price to Book - - - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,281,439 2,279,713 2,267,789 2,255,249 2,248,991 2,256,640 2,256,640 -
Reference price 2 70.41 69.82 66.38 66.19 81.77 138.4 138.4 138.4
Announcement Date 2/22/19 2/20/20 2/15/21 2/1/22 2/1/23 1/29/24 - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net sales 1 96,640 102,478 94,684 124,926 181,539 198,461 209,787 228,421
EBITDA 1 13,028 14,481 11,206 16,049 31,324 30,278 35,251 39,203
EBIT 1 10,559 11,453 7,768 13,307 26,292 24,415 29,052 32,577
Operating Margin 10.93% 11.18% 8.2% 10.65% 14.48% 12.3% 13.85% 14.26%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11,562 11,964 9,229 15,202 24,523 19,627 26,487 31,551
Net income 1 9,008 8,173 5,777 11,238 19,332 13,636 18,692 21,463
Net margin 9.32% 7.97% 6.1% 9% 10.65% 6.87% 8.91% 9.4%
EPS 2 3.950 3.580 2.540 4.960 8.590 6.050 8.427 9.657
Free Cash Flow 1 8,728 - 6,142 - - 8,322 9,611 11,436
FCF margin 9.03% - 6.49% - - 4.19% 4.58% 5.01%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 66.99% - 54.81% - - 27.49% 27.26% 29.17%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 96.89% - 106.32% - - 61.03% 51.42% 53.28%
Dividend per Share 2 0.9200 0.9600 - 1.000 - 0.3800 0.6700 1.235
Announcement Date 2/22/19 2/20/20 2/15/21 2/1/22 2/1/23 1/29/24 - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3
Net sales 1 37,866 34,544 49,198 49,021 48,278 45,728
EBITDA 1 4,819 4,766 6,732 7,561 7,673 7,083
EBIT - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - -
Net income 1 4,046 3,037 3,427 3,870 3,454 2,817
Net margin 10.69% 8.79% 6.97% 7.89% 7.15% 6.16%
EPS 2 1.790 1.350 1.520 1.720 1.540 1.250
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/1/22 4/25/22 7/25/22 4/25/23 7/24/23 10/23/23
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net Debt 1 4,269 2,741 14,560 19,497 - 35,146 17,696 4,822
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3277 x 0.1893 x 1.299 x 1.215 x - 1.161 x 0.502 x 0.123 x
Free Cash Flow 1 8,728 - 6,142 - - 8,322 9,611 11,436
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 11.5% 9.55% 6.47% 11.4% - 10.9% 12.1% 10.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - 5.56% 7.3% 7.5%
Assets 1 - - - - - 245,044 256,055 286,169
Book Value Per Share - - - - - - - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 4.070 4.300 3.990 1.390 - 5.950 7.290 -
Capex 1 4,341 3,683 4,581 1,416 - 5,077 6,974 7,764
Capex / Sales 4.49% 3.59% 4.84% 1.13% - 2.56% 3.32% 3.4%
Announcement Date 2/22/19 2/20/20 2/15/21 2/1/22 2/1/23 1/29/24 - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
138.4 MXN
Average target price
125.7 MXN
Spread / Average Target
-9.18%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GCARSO A1 Stock
  4. Financials Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V.