June 15, 2020 (PPI-OT)

Following is the text of press release issued by VIS Credit Rating Company Limited

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VIS Credit Rating Company Ltd. (VIS) has reaffirmed the entity ratings of Next Capital Limited (NCL) at 'A-/A-2' (Single A-Minus/A-Two). Outlook on the assigned ratings is 'Stable'. Previous rating action was announced on April 10, 2019.

Reaffirmation of ratings incorporates established and sustained market position of NCL in equity brokerage business and corporate advisory services. Ratings also factor in the company's diversified revenue mix which is expected to provide sustainability to earnings and support overall business risk profile. Assessment of financial profile incorporates low leveraged capital structure, adequate liquidity buffers and improvement in profitability profile during 9MFY20 on account of some uptick in industry trading volumes vis-à-vis corresponding period, implementation of revised commission structure and sizeable jump in other income.

Ratings are constrained by the current challenging operating environment where continued slowdown in GDP growth and increasing spread of Covid-19 may have an implication on brokerage sector's performance. VIS will continue to monitor operational challenges (along with associated settlement risk) as currently faced by industry in the backdrop of covid-19 and its consequent lockdowns.

Given the challenging operating environment, management has continued to focus on retail segment; the segment now represents around two-third of total brokerage revenue and has consistently increased over the last 3 years. On the corporate advisory front, NCL has adequate signed mandates in hand. However, Covid-19 outbreak is expected to impact timeline of realization of these revenues.

After two consecutive years (FY18 and FY19) of dwindling industry trading volumes (owing to economic slowdown, rising benchmark rate and aggressive foreign selling), brokerage industry has witnessed some recovery in the ongoing year. Recently revised brokerage commission structure (a standard range/scale implemented by SECP for all security brokers) and uptick in market volumes in the ongoing year would support profitability profile of brokers.

Nonetheless, profitability of players with large proprietary book (being exposed to market risk) along with reliance on corporate finance and advisory business may be impacted. In case of prolonged effect of pandemic on business activity and economic indicators, overall brokerage industry could also face severe adverse impact. Hence, the sector outlook remains challenging.

For more information, contact:Director Compliance and Rating Analytics,VIS Credit Rating Company LimitedVIS House, 128/C, 25th Lane off Khayaban-e-Ittehad,Phase VII, DHA, Karachi, PakistanTel: +92-21-35311861-72Fax: +92-21-35311873Email: bilal@jcrvis.com.pkWebsite: https://www.vis.com.pk/

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