Northern Oil and Gas : Conference Call Presentation FY 2021
February 24, 2022 at 05:57 pm EST
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Q4:21 EARNINGS PRESENTATION
NYSE: NOG
Q4 HIGHLIGHTS AND 2022 GUIDANCE
NORTHERN VALUE PROPOSITION III. APPENDIX: SUPPLEMENTAL INFO
Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. - November 2020
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Q4:21 FINANCIAL & OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
NYSE: NOG
Q4 Free Cash Flow(1)
$70.7MM
Record FCF +28% QoQ
Q4 Production
64.2Mboe/d
+80% YoY
Strong 22 Guidance
>75% FCF Growth at Strip
> 30% Production Growth
Decreasing Unit Cost
Dividend Growth
+78% Increase
Q4:21 dividend increased to $0.08, +78% vs. Q3:21
Q4 ROCE(1)
24.2%
Top-Tier Across Industry
Q4 Recycle Ratio(1)
4.1X
Cash Margin
DD&A
$29.70/boe
$7.25/boe
Q4:21 Earnings Highlights
Record Free Cash Flow and Strong Margins and Returns
Free Cash Flow. Free cash flow hit a record $70.7MM in Q4, +28% QoQ
Standout margins and returns(1). NOG's recycle ratio of 4.1x and ROCE of 24.2% highlight another quarter of stellar corporate returns
Shareholder Returns Initiatives In Focus
Base Dividend Plan (announced 12/15) calls for minimum of 20% QoQ dividend growth through 2023
Dividend increased 78% in Q4 ($0.08), and another 75% in Q1 ($0.14)
$7.2MM of Preferred Stock retired, 316,219 common shares equivalent
Increasing Organic Activity Setting up a Strong 2022
AFE activity up 60% in Q4 vs. Q3
Ended Q4 with 42.5 net wells in process (1/3 Permian)
Acquisition Pipeline Remains Robust
Veritas Permian Acquisition - largest deal in NOG history - closed on 1/27
9 Ground Game deals closed in Q4
>$1B backlog of acquisition and partnership opportunities
Balance Sheet Improvements Continue
<1x Debt / EBITDA expected at current strip by YE22
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(1) Free Cash Flow, Recycle Ratio and ROCE may be considered non-GAAP financial measures. See Appendix for methodology and reconciliations. We calculate ROCE with impairments added back to Total Assets
2022 GUIDANCE
NYSE: NOG
>30% growth expected in 2022 following an active M&A campaign in 2021
Annual Production (2-stream, Boe per day)
70,000
- 75,000
Oil Weighting (as a % of Production)
59.5 - 61.5%
Total Capital Expenditures ($MM)
$350
- $415
Net Wells Added to Production
48 - 52
Production Expenses (per Boe)
$8.50
- $8.85
Cash G&A (ex transaction costs) (per Boe)
$0.80
- $0.85
Non-Cash G&A (per Boe)
$0.20
- $0.30
Production Taxes (as a % of Oil & Gas Sales)
8.0 - 9.0 %
Oil Differential to NYMEX WTI (per Bbl)
$5.75
- $6.25
Gas Realization as a Percentage of Henry Hub (per Mcf)
100 - 110%
Approximate budget allocation: 45% Williston, 45% Permian, and 10% Marcellus and Other
Source: Company disclosures.
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EXCEPTIONAL 2021 WELL PERFORMANCE
NYSE: NOG
250
500
225
Performance of wells
2020 Internal Type Curve
450
200
classified as PUD at YE20 that
400
are now online
(mbbls)
175
350
150
Daily Production
300
Oil Production
125
250
Well Count
100
Audited Type Curve
200
Cumulative
75
Daily Production
150
50
2020 YE Internal Type Curve
100
2020 YE Audited Type Curve
25
Well Count
50
-
-
-
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
270
300
330
360
Normalized Producing Days - Excluding Downtime
(1) Includes PDP wells as of December 31, 2021 classified as PDNP or PUD in yearend 2020 reserve report.
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Northern Oil & Gas Inc. published this content on 24 February 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 February 2022 22:52:17 UTC.
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. is a real asset company that focuses on acquiring and investing in non-operated minority working and mineral interests in the hydrocarbon producing basins within the contiguous United States. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production with operations in the United States. Its 272,251-acre portfolio is distributed across the Williston, Permian, and Appalachia Basins. Its portfolio comprises about 272,251 acres of low-breakeven lands with over 9,765 wells. Diversified by basin and across commodity type, its wells are operated by over 100 public and private operators. It primarily engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production by participating on a proportionate basis alongside third-party interests in wells drilled and completed in spacing units that include its acreage. In addition, it acquires wellbore-only working interests in wells. It also owns the Utica and Northern Delaware Basin assets.