Third Quarter 2020 Results
October 22, 2020
Forward-Looking Statement
Certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking in nature. These include all statements about People's United Financial, Inc. ("People's United") plans, objectives, expectations and other statements that are not historical facts, and usually use words such as "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "should" and similar expressions. Such statements represent management's current beliefs, based upon information available at the time the statements are made, with regard to the matters addressed. All forward- looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause People's United's actual results or financial condition to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such statements. Factors of particular importance to People's United include, but are not limited to: (1) changes in general, international, national or regional economic conditions; (2) changes in interest rates;
- changes in loan default and charge-off rates; (4) changes in deposit levels; (5) changes in levels of income and expense in non- interest income and expense related activities; (6) changes in accounting and regulatory guidance applicable to banks; (7) price levels and conditions in the public securities markets generally; (8) competition and its effect on pricing, spending, third-party relationships and revenues; (9) the successful integration of acquisitions; (10) changes in regulation resulting from or relating to financial reform legislation; and (11) the COVID-19 pandemic and its effect on the economic and business environments in which we operate. People's United does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
1
Third Quarter 2020 Overview
(Comparisons versus second quarter 2020, unless noted otherwise)
Net Income of $144.6 Million, or $0.34 per Common Share
- Operating earnings: $144.7 million, or $0.34 per common share, an increase of $43.7 million or $0.10 per common share
- Net interest margin: 2.97%, a decrease of 8 basis points - (ex. impact of PPP loans: 3.00%, a decrease of approximately 5 basis points)
- Net interest income1: $391.4 million, a decrease of $14.2 million or 4%
- Non-interestincome: $101.1 million, an increase of $11.5 million or 13%
- Non-interestexpense (operating): $289.0 million, an increase of $3.5 million or 1%
- Pre-provisionnet revenue (operating): $203.5 million, a decrease of $6.2 million or 3% - (an increase of $25.2 million or 14% from 3Q 2019)
- Efficiency ratio: 53.8%, an increase of 30 basis points - (an improvement of 300 basis points from 3Q 2019)
- Average loans: $44.9 billion, a decrease of $300 million or 1%
- Period-endloans: $45.2 billion, a decrease of $221 million or 1%
- Runoff of the transactional portion of New York multifamily portfolio and certain acquired portfolios collectively lowered balances by $119 million
- Planned reduction of residential mortgages lowered balances by $528 million
- Average deposits: $49.5 billion, an increase of $1.1 billion or 2%
- Period-enddeposits: $49.6 billion, a decrease of $298 million or 1%
- Net loan charge-offs to average total loans: 0.15%, an increase of 7 basis points
- Provision for credit losses on loans: $27.1 million, a decrease of $53.7 million
- Allowance for credit losses to total loans: 0.94%, increase of 3 basis points - (ex. PPP loans: 0.99%)
1 Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis was $398.7 million, a decrease of $14.3 million or 3%. | 2 |
Allowance for Credit Losses (ACL)
- 3Q 2020 ACL reflects consideration of a baseline economic forecast and a more adverse scenario, each prepared as of late September.
- Baseline scenario includes modest improvement in most key economic variables compared to the baseline scenario employed at the end of 2Q 2020.
- More adverse scenario includes continued uncertainty associated with the status and extent of further economic stimulus, and the upcoming election.
- Cumulative, year-to-date ACL build is approximately $177 million, which increased the ACL/Total Loans ratio by 37 basis points since year-end 2019 (or 42 basis points, ex. PPP balances).
- Total loan deferrals were $1.6 billion or 3.5% of total loans at Sept. 30, down from more than $7.1 billion or 15.8% of total loans at the end of June.
($ in millions) | At September 30, 2020 | At June 30, 2020 | At March 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Loan Portfolio Segment | Balance | % | ACL | ACL/Loans | NPLs | ACL/NPLs | ACL/Loans | ACL/NPLs | ACL/Loans | ACL/NPLs | |||||||||||||
CRE | $ | 13,713 | 30% | $ | 98.5 | 0.72% | $ | 85.3 | 115% | 0.68% | 129% | 0.59% | 162% | ||||||||||
C&I | 11,242 | 25% | 90.0 | 0.80% | 85.7 | 105% | 0.70% | 91% | 0.81% | 135% | |||||||||||||
Equipment Finance | 4,888 | 11% | 98.2 | 2.01% | 49.0 | 200% | 2.01% | 201% | 0.98% | 115% | |||||||||||||
MW / ABL 1 | 4,053 | 9% | 4.6 | 0.11% | 1.0 | 460% | 0.16% | 510% | 0.08% | 218% | |||||||||||||
Total Commercial | $ | 33,896 | 75% | $ | 291.3 | 0.86% | $ | 221.0 | 132% | 0.83% | 131% | 0.67% | 140% | ||||||||||
Residential Mortgage | $ | 9,096 | 20% | $ | 78.3 | 0.86% | $ | 62.9 | 124% | 0.87% | 134% | 0.83% | 126% | ||||||||||
Home Equity | 2,125 | 5% | 50.8 | 2.39% | 22.1 | 230% | 2.13% | 211% | 1.75% | 186% | |||||||||||||
Other Consumer | 114 | 0% | 3.4 | 2.98% | 0.2 | 1700% | 4.21% | 5300% | 3.59% | 5100% | |||||||||||||
Total Retail | $ | 11,335 | 25% | $ | 132.5 | 1.17% | $ | 85.2 | 156% | 1.14% | 160% | 1.03% | 146% | ||||||||||
Total | $ | 45,231 | 100% | $ | 423.8 | 0.94% | $ | 306.2 | 138% | 0.91% | 140% | 0.77% | 142% | ||||||||||
1 Excluding PPP loans, 3Q 2020 C&I ACL/Loans = 1.04% and Total ACL/Loans = 0.99% | 3 |
2 MW / ABL = Mortgage Warehouse / Asset Based Lending |
Net Interest Income1
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
($14.2) or (4%)
$5.7$2.5 $1.4
($21.6) ($2.2)
$405.6 | $391.4 |
2Q 2020 | Deposits | Calendar Day | Borrowings | Loans | Investments | 3Q 2020 |
1 Net interest income on a fully taxable equivalent basis for 2Q 2020 and 3Q 2020 was $413.0 million and $398.7 million, respectively.
4
Net Interest Margin
Linked-Quarter Change
(8) bps
4 bps | 2 bps | 1 bp |
(15 bps)
3.05% | 2.97% |
2Q 2020 | Deposits | Calendar Day | Borrowings | Loans | 3Q 2020 |
5
Loans: Average Balances
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
Commercial Real Estate | Commercial & Industrial | Equipment Finance | Residential Mortgage | Home Equity & Other Consumer |
$45,153 | $524 | $44,853 | |||
$2,407 | ($413) | ($242) | ($111) | ($58) | $2,296 |
$9,821 | $9,408 | ||||
$4,934 | $4,876 | ||||
$13,896 | $14,420 |
$14,095 | $13,853 | |||||||
2Q 2020 | Commercial | Residential | Commercial | Home Equity | Equipment | 3Q 2020 | ||
& Industrial | Mortgage | Real Estate | & Other Consumer | Finance |
Linked-quarterchange($300) million or (1%)
6
Deposits: Average Balances
($ in millions)
Average Deposits
Linked-Quarter Change
Interest-Bearing Checking & Money Market | Non-Interest-Bearing | Time | Savings |
$48,447 | $1,270 | $901 | $298 | ($1,374) | $49,542 |
$5,467 | $5,765 |
$8,192 | $6,818 |
$12,853 | $13,754 |
$21,935 | $23,205 |
2Q 2020 | Interest-Bearing | Non-Interest | Savings | Time | 3Q 2020 |
Checking & | Bearing | ||||
Money Market |
Linked-quarter change
+$1.1 billion or 2%
7
Non-Interest Income
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
+$11.5 or 13%
$1.4 | $0.7 | $0.7 | $0.6 | $3.3 | ||
$4.2 | $2.1 | |||||
($1.5) |
$101.1
$89.6
2Q 2020 | Bank | Commercial | Investment | Cash | Insurance | Operating | Customer | Other | 3Q 2020 |
Service | Banking | Management | Management | Lease | Interest Rate | ||||
Charges | Lending Fees | Fees | Fees | Income | Swap Income |
8
Non-Interest Expense
($ in millions)
Linked-Quarter Change
($10.4) or (3%)
Ex. Merger-Related Expenses: $3.5 or 1%
$0.6 | $0.5 | $0.4 | $2.9 |
($13.9) ($0.6) ($0.3)
$304.0
$293.6
2Q 2020 | Merger-Related | Compensation | Regulatory | Professional & | Operating Lease | Occupancy & | Other | 3Q 2020 |
Expenses | & Benefits | Assessments | Outside Services | Expense | Equipment |
9
Efficiency Ratio
Quarterly Trend
56.8%
53.7% | 54.0% | 53.8% | |
53.5% | |||
3Q 2019 | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 |
10
Asset Quality
1.5 | Non-Performing Assets / Loans & REO (%)1 | ||||||||||||||||||
PBCT | Peer Group (Median) | Top 50 Banks (Median) | 0.98 | ||||||||||||||||
1.0 | 0.91 | ||||||||||||||||||
0.78 | 0.80 | 0.86 | |||||||||||||||||
0.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
0.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
0.78 | 0.69 | ||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 0.71 | ||||||||||||||||||
0.52 | 0.57 | 0.59 | |||||||||||||||||
0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||
3Q 2019 | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 |
1 PBCT ratios for periods prior to January 1, 2020 have been restated to reflect the total loan portfolio (originated & acquired)
Net Charge-offs / Average Loans
0.4 | Peer Group (Median) | ||||
PBCT | Top 50 Banks (Median) | ||||
0.3 | 0.26 | 0.29 | |||
0.26 | 0.27 | ||||
0.2 | 0.19 | 0.18 | |||
0.16 | 0.13 | 0.15 | |||
0.1 | 0.10 | 0.08 | |||
0.06 | 0.06 | ||||
0.0 | |||||
3Q 2019 | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 |
Notes:
Source: SNL Financial11 Top 50 Banks represents the largest 50 banks by total assets in each respective quarter.
Returns
Return on Average Assets
1.13%
0.96%
Return on Average Tangible Common Equity
15.2%
14.4%
13.2%13.4%
0.65%
1.05% 0.98%
0.89%0.94%
0.58%
14.0% 12.8%
9.5%
11.8%13.1%
8.1%
3Q 2019 | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 |
3Q 2019 | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 |
Returns calculated on an operating basis
12
Capital Ratios
Sep. 30, 2019 | Dec. 31, 2019 | Mar. 31, 2020 | Jun. 30, 2020 | Sep. 30, 2020 | |||
People's United Financial, Inc. | |||||||
Tang. Com. Equity/Tang. Assets | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% (2) | 7.5% (2) | ||
Tier 1 Leverage | 8.7% | 9.1% (1) | 8.4% | 8.0% (3) | 8.2% (3) | ||
Common Equity Tier 1 | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | ||
Tier 1 Risk-Based | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | ||
Total Risk-Based | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | ||
People's United Bank, N.A. | |||||||
Tier 1 Leverage | 8.8% | 9.3% (1) | 8.9% | 8.5% (3) | 8.7% (3) | ||
Common Equity Tier 1 | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | ||
Tier 1 Risk-Based | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | ||
Total Risk-Based | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | ||
- Adjusting for a full quarter of United assets, the pro forma Tier 1 Leverage Ratio at December 31, 2019 is 8.9%.
- Adjusting for the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans, the pro forma TCE/TA ratio is 7.6% at June 30, 2020 and 7.9% at September 30, 2020.
3 Adjusting for PPP loans, the pro forma Tier 1 Leverage Ratio is 8.3% for the Holding Company and 8.7% for the | 13 |
Bank at June 30, 2020 and 8.6% for the Holding Company and 9.1% for the Bank at September 30, 2020. |
Appendix
Total Loan Forbearance (incl. First & Second Deferrals)
(Balances at September 30, 2020; $ in millions)
Loan Forbearance
By Business Segment
Number of Loans | $ | - Outstanding | |
Commercial Real Estate | 170 | $ | 1,043 |
Commercial & Industrial | 109 | 143 | |
Equipment Finance | 874 | 140 | |
Total Commercial | 1,153 | $ | 1,326 |
Residential Mortgage | 485 | $ | 239 |
Home Equity | 141 | 21 | |
Other Consumer | 32 | - | |
Total Retail | 658 | $ | 260 |
Total | 1,811 | $ | 1,586 |
Loan Forbearance
By Commercial Property Type / Industry
Number of Loans | $ | - Outstanding | |
By Property Type | |||
Hospitality/Entertainment | 65 | $ | 665 |
Residential | 47 | 151 | |
Retail | 35 | 142 | |
Office Building | 16 | 66 | |
Healthcare | 1 | 10 | |
Other | 6 | 9 | |
Subtotal | 170 | $ | 1,043 |
By Industry | |||
Transportation & Utilities | 224 | $ | 87 |
Services | 320 | 81 | |
Arts, Entertainment & Recreation | 53 | 40 | |
Manufacturing | 78 | 23 | |
Real Estate, Rental & Leasing | 59 | 15 | |
Printing | 24 | 8 | |
Construction | 39 | 6 | |
Packaging | 3 | 6 | |
Wholesale Trade | 29 | 5 | |
Agri., Forestry, Fishing & Hunting | 21 | 4 | |
Other | 133 | 8 | |
Subtotal | 983 | $ | 283 |
Total Commercial | 1,153 | $ | 1,326 |
15
Note: Commercial real estate retail balances include Business Banking loans
Loan Risk Profile
($ in millions)
At September 30, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
Balance | Total Delinquency2 | Non-Accruals | YTD Net-Charge-Offs | Deferrals | |||||||||||
Loan Portfolio Segment | Balance | (% of Portfolio) | (% of Loans) | (% of Loans) | (Annual % of Average Loans) | (% of Loans) | |||||||||
CRE | $ | 13,713 | 30% | 0.84% | 0.62% | 0.09% | 7.6% | ||||||||
C& I | 11,242 | 25% | 1.06% | 0.76% | 0.10% | 1.3% | |||||||||
Equipment Finance | 4,888 | 11% | 2.19% | 1.00% | 0.41% | 2.9% | |||||||||
MW / ABL 1 | 4,053 | 9% | 0.03% | 0.03% | - | - | |||||||||
Total Commercial | $ | 33,896 | 75% | 1.01% | 0.65% | 0.13% | 3.9% | ||||||||
Residential Mortgage | $ | 9,096 | 20% | 1.00% | 0.69% | 0.01% | 2.6% | ||||||||
Home Equity | 2,125 | 5% | 1.47% | 1.04% | 0.05% | 1.0% | |||||||||
Other Consumer | 114 | 0% | 0.77% | 0.17% | 2.65% | - | |||||||||
Total Retail | $ | 11,335 | 25% | 1.08% | 0.75% | 0.04% | 2.3% | ||||||||
Total | $ | 45,231 | 100% | 1.03% | 0.68% | 0.11% | 3.5% | ||||||||
1 MW / ABL = Mortgage Warehouse / Asset Based Lending | 16 |
2 Includes loans 30-89 days past due and non-performing loans
Interest Rate Risk Profile
Sep. 30, 2020 Jun. 30, 2020
Net Interest Income (NII) Sensitivity
Immediate Parallel Shock | 13.4% | |
Est. Change in NII | ||
9.8% | ||
9.6% | ||
6.8% | ||
4.8% | ||
3.5% | ||
-1.0%-0.7%
Down 25 | Up 100 | Up 200 | Up 300 |
Yield Curve Twist1 | |||||||||||
Est. Change in NII | |||||||||||
2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | ||||||||
-0.4% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -0.3% | ||||||||
Short End -25 | Short End +100 | Long End -25 | Long End +100 |
1Yield curve twist pivot point is 18 month point on yield curve. Short End defined as overnight to 18 months. | 17 |
Long End defined as terms greater than 18 months. |
Loans By State
($ in millions, end of period balances)
Breakdown
Connecticut | Massachusetts | New York | Northern New England | New Jersey | Other |
$32,575
$28,411 | $29,745 | ||
$26,592 | $5,988 | ||
$5,171 | |||
$5,014 | $1,649 | ||
$4,486 | |||
$1,155 | $1,503 | $4,163 | |
$904 | |||
$4,164 | $4,167 | ||
$4,123 | |||
$5,762 | $7,378 | ||
$5,146 | $5,578 | ||
$4,728 | $4,954 | $5,363 | $5,616 |
$7,205 | $7,546 | $7,779 | $7,781 |
$35,241
$6,558
$1,921 $4,160
$7,168
$6,212
$9,222
$43,596 | $45,231 |
$8,861 | $10,263 |
$2,187 | $2,106 |
$4,228 | $4,543 |
$7,788 | $7,820 |
$9,622$9,239
$10,910$11,260
Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Dec. 31, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2019 | Sep. 30, 2020 |
18
Deposits By State
($ in millions, end of period balances)
Breakdown
Connecticut | Massachusetts | New York | Northern New England | ||
$49,637 | |||||
$43,590 | $7,528 | ||||
$5,893 | $6,202 | ||||
$36,159 | |||||
$33,056 | $5,493 | ||||
$29,861 | $6,107 | $8,416 | |||
$28,417 | |||||
$6,208 | $5,936 | ||||
$26,138 | |||||
$5,569 | $5,905 | $5,371 | |||
$5,195 | |||||
$5,098 | |||||
$3,527 | $4,451 | ||||
$3,456 | |||||
$3,205 | $4,013 | ||||
$3,299 | $3,357 | ||||
$3,067 | |||||
$26,268 | $27,491 | ||||
$20,230 | |||||
$14,768 | $16,093 | $17,072 | $17,640 | ||
Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2017 | Dec. 31, 2018 | Dec. 31, 2019 | Sep. 30, 2020 |
19
Peer Group
Firm | Ticker | City | State | |||
1 | Associated Banc-Corp | ASB | Green Bay | WI | ||
2 | BankUnited Inc. | BKU | Miami Lakes | FL | ||
3 | Citizens Financial Group, Inc. | CFG | Providence | RI | ||
4 | Comerica Inc. | CMA | Dallas | TX | ||
5 | First Horizon National Corp. | FHN | Memphis | TN | ||
6 | F.N.B. Corp. | FNB | Pittsburgh | PA | ||
7 | Huntington Bancshares, Inc. | HBAN | Columbus | OH | ||
8 | KeyCorp | KEY | Cleveland | OH | ||
9 | M&T Bank Corp. | MTB | Buffalo | NY | ||
10 | New York Community Bancorp | NYCB | Westbury | NY | ||
11 | Signature Bank | SBNY | New York | NY | ||
12 | Sterling Bancorp | STL | Montebello | NY | ||
13 | Valley National Bancorp | VLY | Wayne | NJ | ||
14 | Webster Financial Corp. | WBS | Waterbury | CT | ||
15 | Zions Bancorp. | ZION | Salt Lake City | UT | ||
20
For more information, investors may contact:
Andrew S. Hersom
-
338-4581
andrew.hersom@peoples.com
Attachments
- Original document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
People's United Financial Inc. published this content on 22 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 22 October 2020 21:09:09 UTC