3Q 2023
FINANCIAL UPDATE PRESENTATION
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (PERSERO) Tbk.
SHARE PRICE PERFORMANCE & OWNERSHIP
Ownership Composition as of 3Q23
No | Description | No. of Investor | % | No. of Shares | % | |
I | Domestic | |||||
1. | Government of RI | 1 | 0.00% | 80,610,976,876 | 53.19% | |
2. | Retail | 315,600 | 97.10% | 2,773,358,225 | 1.83% | |
3. | Employee | 5,636 | 1.73% | 17,862,092 | 0.01% | |
4. | Cooperatives | 14 | 0.00% | 5,501,933,323 | 3.63% | |
5. | Foundation | 38 | 0.01% | 252,407,856 | 0.17% | |
6. | Pension Funds | 146 | 0.04% | 1,791,166,667 | 1.18% | |
7. | Insurance | 188 | 0.06% | 2,132,872,356 | 1.41% | |
8. Bank | 8 | 0.00% | 784,490,487 | 0.52% | ||
9. | Corporations | 311 | 0.10% | 178,014,977 | 0.12% | |
10. Mutual Funds | 327 | 0.10% | 1,937,650,336 | 1.28% | ||
11. Local Government | 1 | 0.00% | 1,590,000 | 0.00% | ||
Total Domestic | 322,270 | 99.15% | 95,982,323,195 | 63.33% | ||
II | Foreign | |||||
1. | Retail | 347 | 0.11% | 38,468,875 | 0.03% | |
2. | Institutional | 2,417 | 0.74% | 55,538,209,534 | 36.64% | |
Total Foreign | 2,764 | 0.85% | 55,576,678,409 | 36.67% | ||
III | Total | 325,034 | 100.00% | 151,559,001,604 | 100.00% | |
Source : Datindo
BBRI Share Performance vs JCI since IPO
BBRI | JCI | Since IPO | |
BBRI +60.2x | |||
JCI +10.1x | |||
6021% |
1007%
2
OVERVIEW
MACRO ECONOMIC METRICS REMAIN SOLID
Strong 2Q GDP Supports Stronger Full Year Outlook
Quarterly GDP Growth (% YoY) | Foreign Reserves & IDR/USD | ||||||||||||
5.18 | 4.96 | 5.03 | 5.01 | 5.17 | International Foreign Reserves | USD/IDR | |||||||
175,000 | |||||||||||||
15,573 | 15,460 | ||||||||||||
165,000 | |||||||||||||
14,390 | 13,866 | 14,050 | 14,263 | ||||||||||
155,000 | |||||||||||||
145,000 | 144.9 | 134.9 | |||||||||||
(2.17) | 135.9 | 137.2 | |||||||||||
129.2 | |||||||||||||
135,000 | |||||||||||||
120.7 | |||||||||||||
125,000 | |||||||||||||
115,000 | |||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2Q'23 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 9M23 | ||
Inflation & BI7DRR | MSME Business Index | ||||||||||||
Headline Inflation | BI Rate | ||||||||||||
6.00 | 5.50 | 5.75 | 109.4 | 109.6 | |||||||||
5.00 | |||||||||||||
104.1 | 104.6 | 105.9 | 105.1 | 104.7 | |||||||||
103.2 | |||||||||||||
3.75 | 5.51 | ||||||||||||
3.50 | |||||||||||||
3.13 | 100 | ||||||||||||
2.59 | |||||||||||||
1.68 | 1.87 | 2.28 | Optimistic Level | ||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 9M23 | 2021 | 1Q22 | 2Q22 | 3Q22 | 2022 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 3Q23 |
5
KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Strong NIM at 8.05% supported by above guidance loan growth
Description | Consolidated | |||||
9M23 | 2022 | 9M22 | g YtD | g YoY | ||
Total Loan & Financing (IDR Bn) | 1,250,715 | 1,139,077 | 1,111,478 | 9.8% | 12.5% | |
Micro to Total Loans | 47.2% | 48.4% | 47.6% | -1.2% | -0.4% | |
NIM | 8.05% | 7.85% | 8.21% | 0.2% | -0.2% | |
Total CAR | 27.48% | 25.51% | 26.14% | 2.0% | 1.3% | |
CASA % | 63.64% | 66.70% | 65.43% | -3.1% | -1.8% | |
Cost to Income Ratio (CIR) | 41.28% | 44.87% | 42.55% | -3.6% | -1.3% | |
NPL (Gross) | 3.07% | 2.67% | 3.09% | 0.4% | 0.0% | |
Credit Cost | 2.44% | 2.55% | 3.02% | -0.1% | -0.6% | |
ROA After Tax | 3.21% | 3.01% | 3.15% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
ROE B/S | 19.69% | 17.63% | 18.16% | 2.1% | 1.5% | |
Leverage (x) | 5.9 | 6.1 | 5.6 | -20.4% | 33.6% | |
Net Profit (IDR Bn) | 44,214 | 51,408 | 39,311 | 12.5% | ||
PATMI (IDR Bn) | 43,993 | 51,170 | 39,156 | 12.4% | ||
6
9M23 STRENGTHS AND CHALLENGES
Key Strengths
- Strong Loan Growth Pickup
- Strong loan growth surpassed our FY23 target of 10-12% and is anticipated to remain within our guidance for 2023. The 12.5% YoY increase in 9M23 was driven by all segments outside of small business lending. Moreover, lending yields continued to move higher on a reported and core basis.
- Ultra Micro (PNM & Pegadaian) portfolio has increased by 14.8% YoY and consistently reports higher loan growth than the bank only, now accounting for 8.9% of total loans
- Efficient Cost Management
- Well-managedcost control, Bank Only Opex only increased 5.3% YoY in 9M23 leading to the cost to income ratio continuing to be managed below guidance at 37.63% (Bank Only).
- Strong NIM amid rising interest rates
- BRI's strategy to rebalance loan portfolio (shift from KUR to Kupedes), strong growth in consumer loan and subsidiaries (PNM and Pegadaian) has been a success to curb the impact of cost of fund increases.
- Ultra Micro (PNM & Pegadaian) contribute nearly 18% to consolidated net interest income despite only 8.9% of loan book.
- Room for loan repricing by managing the mix of fixed, floating and managed rates within the portfolio will support our NIM.
Key Challenges
- Elevated Asset quality, provisions already realized
- The lingering effect of Covid-19 in micro and small segment after the end of Pandemic in mid 2022 has led to expeditious resolution of covid restructured loans, pushing SML and NPL higher in these segments.
- In 3Q23 our asset quality was impacted by El Nino that has led to lower rainfall across Indonesia, impacting farmers and fisheries.
- Higher for longer impacting the Cost of Funds
- Regulations and expected elevated rates for longer has maintained elevated cost of funds
- Our CASA strategy has been able to maintain CASA above pre-covid level at above 60%, and cost of funds have been managed at 16% below historical levels at 2.84%, whereas the 10-year average from 2013-2022 was 3.41%
- Elevated Capital
- Current capital levels remain elevated as our Tier 1 CAR stands at 26.3% up 119bps YoY. We have increased our leverage to 5.9x from 5.6x, and plan for this to rise closer to 6.5-7x in the medium term, supporting ROE expansion.
7
2023 BRI GROUP GUIDANCE
Loan Growth (YoY)
NIM
Credit Cost
NPL
CIR
(Bank Only)
2022 Actual | 2023 Guidance | 9M23 Actual |
9.2% | 10% - 12 % | 12.5% |
7.85% | 7.7% - 7.9% | 8.05% |
2.55% | 2.2% - 2.4% | 2.44% |
2.67% | 2.6% - 2.8% | 3.07% |
41.95% | 40.0% - 41.5% | 37.63% |
2023 New Guidance
10% - 12%
7.7% - 7.9%
2.2% - 2.4%
2.8% - 3.0%
40.0% - 41.5%
8
LATEST REGULATION
KUR Regulation
Ref. Coordinating Ministry of Economy Policy No. 1 dated 2023 On January 25th, 2023
- Borrowers must have never had a commercial loan
- Restrictions on receiving KUR:
- Priority Sectors (Agribusiness, Livestock, Fishery, and Plantation):
- KUR terms of max 4x (KUR facility is renewable up to 3x); or
- Micro/ Small KUR: Max loan ceiling accumulation of Rp400 Mn/ Rp500 Mn, respectively
- Other Sectors:
- KUR terms of max 2x (KUR facility is renewable once); or
- Micro/ Small KUR: Max loan ceiling accumulation of Rp200 Mn/ Rp500 Mn, respectively
- Lending rate charged to borrowers:
- KUR Super Micro: 3%
- KUR Small and Micro: Step-up lending rate
- Initial financing: 6%
- 1st refinancing: 7%
- 2nd refinancing: 8%
- 3rd refinancing: 9%
Liquidity Policy
Reserve Requirement Incentives
BI has stated that they will provide additional Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) incentives for banks that can increase to a maximum of 4.0% from a previous maximum of 2.8%, consisting of:
- Disbursed loans to priority sectors (maximum incentive increases by 50bps to 2.0% from previously 1.50%), priority sectors include:
- Mineral & coal downstreaming
- Non mineral & coal downstreaming (including agriculture, livestock, and fisheries)
- Housing (including subsidized mortgage)
- Tourism
- Disbursed MSME including KUR loan with maximum incentive of 1.0% (same as before)
- Disbursed loan to Ultra Micro Segment (new incentive maximum 0.5%).
- Disbursed green property financing or vehicle loan with maximum incentive of 0.5% from previously 0.3%.
Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer
BI has stated to ease liquidity by reducing the Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (PLM) ratio :
- Conventional Commercial Banks : from 6% to 5%, with repo flexibility of 5%;
- Sharia Commercial Banks : from 4.5% to 3.5% for, with repo flexibility of 3.5%.
This reduction is aimed at providing flexibility in liquidity management in lending/financing, effective from 1
December 2023
Bank Dividend Policy
Ref. Financial Service Authority Policy POJK No. 17/2023
The Financial Service Authority (FSA) has released new regulation on banks' dividend policy :
- Banks must have dividend policy which will be communicated to its shareholders
- Dividend policy contains (at minimum) :
- Considerations in dividend payment
- Amount of dividend payment
- Approval mechanism
- Dividend policy update period
- Dividend payment plan is based on shareholders' rights fulfillment and included in the business plan
- Dividend payment plan should already take into account the external and internal aspects
- Dividend payment plan must be based on banks' fair financial performance
- FSA increase authority over banks' dividend payment policy
9
9M23
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
BALANCE SHEET
(IDR Bn) | |||||||||||
Items | 9M23 | 1H23 | 9M22 | g QoQ | g YoY | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||
Cash and Cash Equivalent | 116,215 | 117,456 | 107,579 | -1.1% | 8.0% | 178,343 | 82,727 | 83,806 | |||
Total Earning Assets | 1,699,744 | 1,654,691 | 1,558,926 | 2.7% | 9.0% | 1,665,968 | 1,588,914 | 1,511,922 | |||
- Placement with BI & Other Banks | 39,873 | 65,932 | 55,155 | -39.5% | -27.7% | 91,890 | 73,048 | 80,118 | |||
- Receivables (Acceptance & Others) | 68,292 | 47,712 | 54,722 | 43.1% | 24.8% | 47,146 | 39,949 | 35,967 | |||
- Loans & Financing | 1,250,715 | 1,202,129 | 1,111,478 | 4.0% | 12.5% | 1,139,077 | 1,042,867 | 1,020,193 | |||
- Gov't Bonds & Marketable Securities | 333,937 | 332,139 | 330,957 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 381,339 | 426,964 | 374,124 | |||
- Other Earning Assets | 6,927 | 6,779 | 6,614 | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6,515 | 6,086 | 1,520 | |||
Earning Asset Provision | (91,187) | (90,872) | (98,130) | 0.3% | -7.1% | (94,975) | (89,821) | (72,747) | |||
- Loans and Financing Provisions | (87,871) | (88,238) | (95,902) | -0.4% | -8.4% | (93,088) | (87,829) | (70,395) | |||
- Other Provisions | (3,316) | (2,634) | (2,228) | 25.9% | 48.8% | (1,887) | (1,991) | (2,353) | |||
Fixed & Non-Earning Assets | 127,193 | 123,872 | 116,230 | 2.7% | 9.4% | 116,303 | 96,278 | 87,085 | |||
Total Assets | 1,851,965 | 1,805,146 | 1,684,604 | 2.6% | 9.9% | 1,865,639 | 1,678,098 | 1,610,065 | |||
Third Party Funds | 1,290,286 | 1,245,115 | 1,139,765 | 3.6% | 13.2% | 1,307,884 | 1,138,743 | 1,120,922 | |||
- CASA | 821,135 | 815,424 | 745,727 | 0.7% | 10.1% | 872,404 | 718,267 | 668,796 | |||
Current Account | 314,710 | 298,310 | 245,644 | 5.5% | 28.1% | 349,756 | 220,590 | 192,730 | |||
Savings Account | 506,426 | 517,115 | 500,083 | -2.1% | 1.3% | 522,648 | 497,677 | 476,066 | |||
- Time Deposits | 469,151 | 429,691 | 394,038 | 9.2% | 19.1% | 435,481 | 420,476 | 452,126 | |||
Other Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 156,973 | 175,343 | 158,497 | -10.5% | -1.0% | 162,817 | 167,005 | 195,651 | |||
Non-Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 93,171 | 86,196 | 86,007 | 8.1% | 8.3% | 91,543 | 80,563 | 64,025 | |||
Total Liabilities | 1,540,431 | 1,506,655 | 1,384,269 | 2.2% | 11.3% | 1,562,244 | 1,386,311 | 1,380,598 | |||
Tier 1 Capital | 280,082 | 266,050 | 270,798 | 5.3% | 3.4% | 273,812 | 266,166 | 187,205 | |||
Total Equity | 311,534 | 298,492 | 300,336 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 303,395 | 291,787 | 229,467 | |||
Total Liabilities & Equity | 1,851,965 | 1,805,146 | 1,684,604 | 2.6% | 9.9% | 1,865,639 | 1,678,098 | 1,610,065 | |||
*Financial figures for 2021 is restated to include Pegadaian and PNM in accordance with PSAK 38 | 11 | ||||||||||
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Disclaimer
BRI - PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk published this content on 25 October 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 October 2023 22:30:37 UTC.