Company Presentation
October 2023
Forward-Looking Statements
All statements, except for statements of historical fact, made within regarding activities, events or developments the Company expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future, such as those regarding future well costs, expected asset sales, well productivity, future liquidity and financial resilience, anticipated exports and related financial impact, NGL market supply and demand, future commodity fundamentals and pricing, future capital efficiencies, future shareholder value, emerging plays, capital spending, anticipated drilling and completion activity, acreage prospectivity, expected pipeline utilization and future guidance information, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements are based on assumptions and estimates that management believes are reasonable based on currently available information; however, management's assumptions and Range's future performance are subject to a wide range of business risks and uncertainties and there is no assurance that these goals and projections can or will be met. Any number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward- looking statements. Further information on risks and uncertainties is available in Range's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including its most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K. Unless required by law, Range undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events after the date they are made.
The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in filings made with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves, which are estimates that geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions as well as the option to disclose probable and possible reserves. Range has elected not to disclose its probable and possible reserves in its filings with the SEC. Range uses certain broader terms such as "resource potential," "unrisked resource potential," "unproved resource potential" or "upside" or other descriptions of volumes of resources potentially recoverable through additional drilling or recovery techniques that may include probable and possible reserves as defined by the SEC's guidelines. Range has not attempted to distinguish probable and possible reserves from these broader classifications. The SEC's rules prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC these broader classifications of reserves. These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of actually being realized. Unproved resource potential refers to Range's internal estimates of hydrocarbon quantities that may be potentially discovered through exploratory drilling or recovered with additional drilling or recovery techniques and have not been reviewed by independent engineers. Unproved resource potential does not constitute reserves within the meaning of the Society of Petroleum Engineer's Petroleum Resource Management System and does not include proved reserves. Area wide unproven resource potential has not been fully risked by Range's management. "EUR", or estimated ultimate recovery, refers to our management's estimates of hydrocarbon quantities that may be recovered from a well completed as a producer in the area. These quantities may not necessarily constitute or represent reserves within the meaning of the Society of Petroleum Engineer's Petroleum Resource Management System or the SEC's oil and natural gas disclosure rules. Actual quantities that may be recovered from Range's interests could differ substantially. Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of Range's drilling program, which will be directly affected by the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, commodity prices, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals, field spacing rules, recoveries of gas in place, length of horizontal laterals, actual drilling results, including geological and mechanical factors affecting recovery rates and other factors. Estimates of resource potential may change significantly as development of our resource plays provides additional data.
In addition, our production forecasts and expectations for future periods are dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells and the undertaking and outcome of future drilling activity, which may be affected by significant commodity price declines or drilling cost increases. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, available from our website at www.rangeresources.comor by written request to 100 Throckmorton Street, Suite 1200, Fort Worth, Texas 76102. You can also obtain this Form 10-K on the SEC's website at www.sec.govor by calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330.
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Range - Who We Are
Top 10 U.S. Producer of Natural Gas & NGLs
Pure Play Appalachian Producer with 30+ Years of Core Inventory
Most Capital Efficient Operator in Appalachia
Strong Balance Sheet to Deliver Durable Long-Term Capital Returns
Upstream Leader in Environmental Practices
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Range - Positioned to Deliver Value Through the Cycles
Unmatched Position in Southwest Appalachia
- 30+ Years of Core Marcellus Inventory
Peer-Leading Capital Efficiency
- Large Contiguous Acreage Position Supports Efficient Operations and Peer-Leading Well Costs
Diversified Market Outlets
- Diverse Access to Multiple End Markets Domestically and Internationally for Natural Gas and NGLs
Durable Free Cash Flow
- Sustainable Free Cash Flow in Low Price Scenarios Given Low Capital Intensity, Liquids Optionality, and Hedges
Resilient Balance Sheet
- Nearing Net Debt Target of Sub-$1.5 Billion, Leverage 1.1x Debt/EBITDAX at 3Q 2023
Natural Gas and NGL Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Strong
- Supportive Outlook as Natural Gas and NGLs Play a Key Role in Meeting Global Energy Demand Growth
4
Unmatched Core Marcellus Inventory
30+ Years of Core Marcellus Inventory
~70,000 Net Acres in
Northeast Pennsylvania
3,000+ Locations that Break Even Under $3.00 per MMbtu(a)
$/MMbtu Breakeven
$3.50
$3.00
~3000 locations
~98% total lateral feet
$2.50
~2500 locations
~86% total lateral feet
$2.00
~1900 locations
~68% total lateral feet
~450,000 Net Acres in
Southwest Pennsylvania
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
~700 locations
~26% total lateral feet
Utica/Point Pleasant and Upper Devonian horizons are held by
current Marcellus development and not included above
Notes: Highlighted areas represent townships where Range holds ~2,000 or more acres. | 5 |
- PV10 breakeven price per well includes all-in well costs, gathering, processing, transport, pricing differentials, LOE and production taxes. WTI/NGL realization (% of WTI) used for the cases are $1.50: $40/48%, $2: $50/45%, $2.50: $60/42.5%, $3: $70/40%.
Peer-Leading Capital Efficiency
Peer-Leading Well Costs and Decline Rate Drive Lowest Capital Intensity and Required Reinvestment Rate, Mitigating Service Cost Inflation and Enhancing Ability to Provide Sustainable Long-Term Capital Returns
2023 Reinvestment Rates(a) | |||||||||||
180% | $1.60 | ||||||||||
160% | $3.00 NG | $2.00 NG | $1.40 | ||||||||
140% | $1.20 | ||||||||||
120% | $1.00 | ||||||||||
100% | $0.80 | ||||||||||
80% | |||||||||||
60% | $0.60 | ||||||||||
40% | $0.40 | ||||||||||
20% | $0.20 | ||||||||||
0% | $0.00 | ||||||||||
RRC Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 | Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8 |
Capital Expenditures per Mcfe(b)
$1.51 | RRC | Appalachia Peer Avg | Nat Gas Peer Avg |
$1.36
$1.27
$1.18 | ||
$1.01 | ||
$0.93 | ||
$0.78 | $0.81 | $0.83 |
$0.87 | $0.65 | |
$0.76 | ||
$0.64 | ||
$0.50 | $0.53 | |
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E |
(a) Source: Enverus estimates assuming $70 WTI. Reinvestment rate represents estimated capital expenditures / cash flow from operations. Peers include AR, CHK, CNX, CRK, EQT, | 6 |
GPOR, SBOW, SWN. | |
(b) Source: FactSet and company filings. Appalachia-only peers include AR, CNX, EQT. Natural gas peers include AR, CHK, CNX, CRK, EQT, SWN.
Diversified Market Outlets
Range's access to multiple end-markets for natural gas and NGLs provides price diversification
Natural Gas & NGL
NGL Export
LNG Export
~30% of Natural Gas to Midwest
~25% of Natural Gas to Gulf Coast
~25% of Natural
Gas to LNG
Natural Gas End-Markets
Local & | |
LNG | Northeast |
Gulf Coast | Midwest |
Propane. & Butane Exports
Local &
Northeast
Exports
Ethane Price. Diversification
Mont
Belvieu Oil-Linked
Gas-Linked
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Durable Free Cash Flow
Sustainable Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns Supported by Low Capital Intensity, NGL Optionality, and Hedging
RRC Free Cash Flow
(SMM)
2021-2022 FCF Allocation
Debt Reduction(a) | Dividends | Share Repurchases |
2023-2024 FCF Outlook(b)
$5.50 NG | $4.00 NG | $2.50 NG |
$1,800
$1,600
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$0
2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E |
(a) | Debt reduction also includes net payments to working capital. | 8 |
(b) | FCF outlooks assume $2.50 NG/$70 WTI, $4.00 NG/$80 WTI, $5.50 NG/$100 WTI and NGL realizations at 35% of WTI. |
Compelling Free Cash Flow and Valuation
Range Offers Durable Free Cash Flow and Attractive Relative Trading Multiple and Yield versus Other Sectors
ATAX PV-10(a) of ProvedReserves per Share, Net of Debt | FCF Yield(b) | ||||||
$95 | 25.0% | ||||||
Valuation of proved reserves only | RRC at $5.50 NG | ||||||
includes 367 (~12%) of Range's ~3,000 | 20.0% | ~20% | |||||||||||
RRC at $4.00 NG | |||||||||||||
undeveloped core Marcellus wells | |||||||||||||
$60 | |||||||||||||
RRC at $2.50 NG | |||||||||||||
15.0% | |||||||||||||
$42 | |||||||||||||
$24 | 10.0% | ||||||||||||
4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | |||||||
5.0% | 4.1% | ||||||||||||
2.7% | |||||||||||||
$3.00 | $4.00 | $5.00 | Standardized Measure | 0.0% | |||||||||
NYMEX Natural Gas | Real Estate | Tech | Con. | Telecom | Con. Staples | Russell 3000 | Industrials | Materials | Healthcare | RRC | |||
Discretionary |
EV/EBITDA(b) | 2023 Free Cash Flow Breakevens(c) ($/MMBtu) | |||||||||||||||||||
18.0x | 17.0x | $3.50 | ||||||||||||||||||
16.0x | 15.5x | $3.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
14.0x | 11.7x | 11.9x | 12.1x | 12.4x | 12.6x | $2.50 | ||||||||||||||
12.0x | ||||||||||||||||||||
9.3x | 9.6x | $2.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
10.0x | ||||||||||||||||||||
8.0x | 6.6x | $1.50 | ||||||||||||||||||
6.0x | $1.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
4.0x | $0.50 | |||||||||||||||||||
2.0x | ||||||||||||||||||||
0.0x | $0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
RRC | Peer 1 | Peer 2 | Peer 3 | Peer 4 | Peer 5 | |||||||||||||||
RRC Materials | Telecom Russell 3000 | Industrials | Con. | Healthcare | Con. Staples Tech Real Estate | |||||||||||||||
Discretionary |
- ATAX PV-10 for $3/$4/$5 cases use $70/$80/$90 WTI, respectively. Assumes 21% tax rate in all cases, without accounting for expected NOL benefit. Year-end 2022 standardized measure value of $24.5 billion uses SEC-
defined pricing of $6.36 natural gas/$94.13 WTI. | 9 | |
(b) | RRC FCF assumes $70 WTI and NGL realizations at 35% of WTI. Bloomberg sector estimates for 2024 as of 10/20/23. | |
(c) | Tudor Pickering Holt estimates assuming $80 WTI. Calculated as Henry Hub price required to generate positive free cash flow, including hedges and excluding returns of capital. Peers include AR, CHK, CRK, EQT, SWN. |
Resilient Balance Sheet
Strong Balance Sheet Provides Flexibility Through the Cycles and Lower Debt Improves Cost Structure
RRC Net Debt(a)
$ billion
$5.00
$4.50
$4.1 | ||
$4.00 | $3.9 | |
$3.50 | $3.2 | $3.1 |
$3.00 | $2.7 | |
$2.50 | ||
$2.00 | $1.9 | |
$1.6 <$1.5 | ||
$1.50 |
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 3Q23 | Target |
10.0x
9.8x
9.6x
9.4x
9.2x
9.0x
8.8x
8.6x
8.4x
RRC Net Interest Expense(b)
per mcfe
$0.28
$0.26
$0.22 $0.23
$0.20
$0.15
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E |
(a) | Target net debt of $1.0-$1.5 billion. | 10 |
(b) | Excludes amortization of deferred financing costs |
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Disclaimer
Range Resources Corporation published this content on 24 October 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 October 2023 21:04:46 UTC.