Strategic Report
Why we do what we do
To make a difference you have to do things differently
Our core beliefs
1 | We are focused on energy as we believe it is |
the critical enabler of human activity. | |
We are focused on Africa as we believe the | |
2 | continent's energy poverty is one of the |
most urgent and important problems facing | |
the world today. | |
3 | We invest in hydrocarbons AND renewables |
as we believe both will be critical | |
components of the 2030-50 energy mix. | |
4 | We believe all Africans have the right to |
benefit from economic development. | |
5 | We believe that trade and private |
sector investment are essential for | |
economic development. |
Our purpose
We are a pan-African energy and resources company seeking to deliver excellent performance for our stakeholders. We want to meaningfully contribute to the economic development of the countries in which we operate through the development of businesses and projects that make a material difference to those countries. We will continue to evolve to achieve our purpose. We are seeking to pursue Projects that Matter.
What makes us special
We are passionately focused around the achievement of our corporate purpose. We operate in jurisdictions which are often viewed as challenging by peers. We embrace these challenges as opportunities and understand that these are the jurisdictions where we can have the greatest impact. We have a growth/cash flow re-investment orientated mindset. We take a patient and long-term view as to business performance and development.
We believe in human talent development. We operate and hold ourselves accountable to high standards of performance and behaviour.
We make things happen.
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1 | We are focused on energy as we believe it is the critical |
enabler of human activity. | |
Access to energy is essential for economic development and human progress. The chart below demonstrates the strong correlation between GDP per capita and power consumption per capita, using a data set which includes data from 189 countries. It clearly shows that: (1) people who have access to energy are generally wealthier than those who do not; and (2) it appears almost impossible for a country to meaningfully develop without access to power.
For example, Niger has a GDP per capita of US$584 and a power consumption per capita of 449 kWh while the United States, which has a GDP per capita of US$76,348 and a power consumption per capita of 79,480 kWh, 12,983% and 17,614% respectively. Further, energy access is positively correlated with many other key human development metrics including those associated with educational attainment, life expectancy and quality of life. Energy is clearly therefore the critical enable of human activity.
Correlation between GDP and energy use per capita: energy poverty drives economic poverty
(Note: logarithmic scale)
Energy use per capita (kWh)
100,000
10,000
1,000
100
USA
UK
Nigeria
Cameroon
Niger
250 | 2,500 | 25,000 | 250,000 |
GDP per capita (US$) |
Source: Our World in Data based on BP & Shift Data Portal, World Bank (2019).
Energy consumption as a driver of economic and human development
Improved | Increased |
quality of life | GDP |
Longer life expectancy
Energy
consumption
Educational attainment
% | |
Increased | Increase in |
number | |
government tax | |
of business | |
revenues | |
start-ups | |
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Why we do what we do continued
We investare focusedin hydrocarbonsAfrica asANDwe brelieven wablthescontinent'sas we believeenergyboth
2 willpovertybe criticalis onecomponentsof the most ofurgentthe 2030and important-50 energyproblemsmix. facing the world today.
Morocco | Tunisia | |||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||||
Population | 100 | |||||||||||
with access to | Algeria | Libya | ||||||||||
electricity (%) | 100 | Egypt | ||||||||||
70 | ||||||||||||
91-100% | Western Sahara | 100 | ||||||||||
NA | ||||||||||||
61-90% | ||||||||||||
31-60% | Mauritania | |||||||||||
Mali | ||||||||||||
16-30% | 47 | Niger | Eritrea | |||||||||
51 | ||||||||||||
Senegal | Sudan | |||||||||||
19 | 52 | |||||||||||
55 | ||||||||||||
0-15% | 70 | Chad | ||||||||||
Gambia | ||||||||||||
11 | ||||||||||||
No data | 62 | Burkina Faso | Djibouti | |||||||||
Guinea-Bissau | Guinea | 19 | 62 | |||||||||
45 | ||||||||||||
33 | Nigeria | |||||||||||
Ethiopia | ||||||||||||
Ghana | ||||||||||||
Côte | 55 | |||||||||||
Sierra Leone | 51 | |||||||||||
d'Ivoire | 86 | C.A.R. | South Sudan | |||||||||
26 | 70 | 15 | 7 | |||||||||
Liberia | Benin | Cameroon | ||||||||||
28 | Togo | 41 | 65 | Somalia | ||||||||
54 | Equatorial | Uganda | 50 | |||||||||
Republic | ||||||||||||
Guinea | 42 | Kenya | ||||||||||
67 | Gabon | of Congo | 71 | |||||||||
92 | 50 | Democratic | Rwanda | |||||||||
Republic of | 47 | |||||||||||
Africa is home to 18% of humanity, but only 56% of her | Congo | Burundi | ||||||||||
19 | Tanzania | 12 | ||||||||||
people are estimated to have access to grid connected | ||||||||||||
40 | ||||||||||||
electricity (in any form). Over 600 million of her people | ||||||||||||
lack access to electricity. Despite her size and low | ||||||||||||
electricity access, however, Africa is estimated to | Angola | Malawi | ||||||||||
receive only 5% of all global energy investment¹. | ||||||||||||
47 | ||||||||||||
Zambia | Mozambique | 15 | ||||||||||
31 | ||||||||||||
45 | ||||||||||||
Zimbabwe | Madagascar | |||||||||||
53 | 34 |
Namibia | Botswana | |
56 | ||
72 | ||
Eswatini | ||
80 | ||
South | Lesotho | |
47 | ||
Africa | ||
84 |
Source: World Bank.
Annual electricity consumption per person
(kWh)
USA
UK
Household fridge
Sub-Saharan Africa
05,000
Source: World Bank, EIA, The Economist.
Light bulb | % of population below World Bank | ||||||||||
equivalent | extreme poverty rate (2022) | ||||||||||
consumption | |||||||||||
per person | 100% | ||||||||||
25 | Population | ||||||||||
80% | living in | ||||||||||
extreme | |||||||||||
10 | 60% | ||||||||||
poverty | |||||||||||
0.8 | 40% | 32.0% | Access to | ||||||||
20% | electricity | ||||||||||
0.7 | 0.16% | 0.44% | |||||||||
0 | |||||||||||
US | UK | Sub- | |||||||||
10,000 | |||||||||||
Saharan | |||||||||||
Source: World Bank, Gapminder. | Africa |
In Sub-Saharan Africa, aggregate electricity consumption per person is estimated to be less than that consumed by a standard US household fridge, 8% of what an average UK citizen is estimated to consume or 3% of what an average US citizen is estimated to consume.
The impact of energy poverty in Africa is clear to see; 32% of those people living in Sub-Saharan Africa are estimated by the World Bank to be living in extreme poverty (i.e. earning less than US$2.15 per day).
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Otu Inyang, Senior Instrument Technician;
Michael Okonkwo, Operations Lead; Ibom Gas
Receiving Facility, Nigeria
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Why we do what we do continued
We invest in Hydrocarbons AND Renewables as we believe both
3 are critical components of the 2030-50 energy mix.
Energy dominates global capital and operating expenditures
Share of global non-financial corporate CAPEX by sector (%)
Estimating share of OECD GDP spent on energy end use (%)
100% | 20% | Second | ||||||||||||||||||||
90% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 19% | First | oil | Ukraine | ||||||||||||
20% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 20% | crisis | |||||||||||||||
18% | war | |||||||||||||||||||||
80% | oil | |||||||||||||||||||||
12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 13% | crisis | |||||||||||||||
70% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | ||||||||||||||
5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | |||||||||||||||
4% | 4% | |||||||||||||||||||||
60% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | ||||||||||||
13% | 13% | 14% | ||||||||||||||||||||
50% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | ||||||||||||||||||
15% | 15% | |||||||||||||||||||||
40% | 12% | |||||||||||||||||||||
30% | 51% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 53% | 49% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 44% | 10% | |||||||||
20% | 42% | 42% | ||||||||||||||||||||
8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
0% | 2008 | 2010 | 6% | 1980 | ||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 1970 | 1990 | 200 | 2010 | 2020 | ||||||
Energy & utilities | Consumer | Healthcare | IT & Comms | Industrials | ||||||||||||||||||
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings. Universe is Global Capex 2000. | Source: OECD. |
Over 80% of today's global energy mix is provided by hydrocarbons, 54% of which is from oil and gas. Approximately 42% of all global capital expenditures relate to energy projects. Similarly, 18% of OECD GDP is spent on energy end use. It is therefore clear that: (1) oil and gas production
is a critical contributor to the current functioning of the global economy and the maintenance of human living standards; and (2) this is clearly evidenced by the money people are prepared to spend to sustain their "status quo" quality of life.
Energy transitions take (a lot of) time
It has taken decades for major energy sources to provide a significant share of global supply:
Coal | Crude oil | Natural Gas | Modern Renewables | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 years to contribute 40% | 50 years to contribute 30% | 50 years to contribute 20% | Still contributes only 5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
of the global energy mix | of the global energy mix | of the global energy mix | of the global energy mix | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40% | 40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30% | 30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25% | 20% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5% | 5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | |||||||||||||||
1840 | 1915 | 1930 | 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Years after energy source begins supplying 5% of global demand |
Sources: Vaclav Smil. Modern renewables include: wind, solar, and modern biofuels; Bill Gates: How to Avoid a climate disaster
Share of global energy supply %
60
Previous energy transitions took over 50 years, and the modern renewable energy transition only began around 2015. The extent to which the world requires oil and gas in the future will depend on the absolute and relative rate of renewable energy and carbon mitigation technological improvements. While it is reasonable to suggest that these processes are generally faster today than in earlier periods, it would also
seem reasonable to recognise that the pace of the global energy transition is likely to take a relatively long time (and foolish for the world to plan on a different assumption).
Further, it is important to note that previous energy transitions have not resulted in the complete displacement of older energy sources with, for example, coal still providing around 26% of the global energy mix in 2022.
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Savannah Energy plc published this content on 08 June 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 08 June 2023 17:17:03 UTC.