Projected Income Statement: Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi

Forecast Balance Sheet: Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 109,296 163,245 - 447,965 275,917 375,193 428,067 442,269
Change - 49.36% - - -38.41% 35.98% 14.09% 3.32%
Announcement Date 3/1/21 3/1/22 3/1/23 4/4/24 2/28/25 - - -
1TRY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 8,000 7,538 16,642 41,018 43,963 119,014 127,922 152,174
Change - -5.78% 120.77% 146.47% 7.18% 170.71% 7.49% 18.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,397 41,824 100,370 -17,306 125,577 88,240 94,861 -95,990
Change - 1,844.85% 139.98% -117.24% 825.64% -29.73% 7.5% -201.19%
Announcement Date 3/1/21 3/1/22 3/1/23 4/4/24 2/28/25 - - -
1TRY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.79% 28.67% 25.29% 17.25% 18.28% 19.36% 17.62% 18.24%
EBIT Margin (%) -7.27% 12.78% 15.34% 12.76% 8.58% 8.43% 7.06% 7.51%
EBT Margin (%) -13.14% 9.44% 16.52% 17.39% 16.29% 12.35% 8.7% 8.42%
Net margin (%) -12.03% 8.43% 15.24% 28.75% 15.21% 10.55% 8.99% 7.33%
FCF margin (%) -5.16% 42.95% 32.26% -2.59% 16.85% 8.79% 8.24% -7.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 42.9% 509.24% 211.62% -9% 110.76% 83.26% 91.63% -108.72%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.34% 3.04% 10.17% 18.08% 9.26% 5.82% 4.9% 5.16%
ROE -13.92% 12.62% 34.87% 38.45% 19.94% 11.99% 10.35% 8.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 13.23x 5.85x - 3.88x 2.02x 1.93x 2.11x 2.01x
Debt / Free cash flow -45.6x 3.9x - -25.89x 2.2x 4.25x 4.51x -4.61x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.22% 7.74% 5.35% 6.13% 5.9% 11.85% 11.11% 12.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 96.84% 27% 21.15% 35.55% 32.27% 61.21% 63.03% 69.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -333.75% 18.02% 16.58% -237.02% 35.01% 134.88% 134.85% -158.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.061 35.77 - 124.1 98.24 68.39 96.55 105.7
Change - 780.83% - - -20.82% -30.38% 41.17% 9.43%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 7.061 6.751 4.91
Change - - - - - - -4.38% -27.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.62 65.68 - 372.3 492.6 668.2 719.5 775.8
Change - 129.46% - - 32.3% 35.64% 7.68% 7.82%
EPS 1 -4.05 5.95 34.37 118.1 82.15 74.95 62.49 67.18
Change - 246.91% 477.65% 243.64% -30.45% -8.77% -16.62% 7.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,380,000 1,380,000 1,380,000 1,379,955 1,379,955 1,379,937 1,379,937 1,379,937
Announcement Date 3/1/21 3/1/22 3/1/23 4/4/24 2/28/25 - - -
1TRY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 4.64x 5.56x
PBR 0.52x 0.48x
EV / Sales 0.85x 0.79x
Yield 2.03% 1.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
347.75TRY
Average target price
455.49TRY
Spread / Average Target
+30.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. THYAO Stock
  4. Financials Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi