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UNITED COMPANY RUSAL, INTERNATIONAL
PUBLIC JOINT-STOCK COMPANY
(Incorporated under the laws of Jersey with limited liability and continued in the
Russian Federation as an international company)
(Stock Code: 486)
FIRST QUARTER 2021 TRADING UPDATE
This announcement is made by United Company RUSAL, international public joint-stock company ("RUSAL" or the "Company") pursuant to Rule 13.09 of the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, the Inside Information Provisions under Part XIVA of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Cap. 571, Laws of Hong Kong).
Shareholders and potential investors are advised to exercise caution when dealing in the securities of RUSAL.
RUSAL announces its operating results for the first quarter of 2021 ("1Q21").
Key highlights
Aluminium
- Aluminium production in 1Q21 totaled 932 thousand tonnes (-1.9%quarter-on-quarter ("QoQ")), with Siberian smelters representing 93% of total aluminium output;
- In 1Q21, aluminium sales amounted to 962 thousand tonnes (-6.4% QoQ). Following intensified market demand of 4Q20 metal in delivery pipeline declined below optimal levels. Normalization of inventories affected sales in January 2021 and led to decrease of sales QoQ, including marketing of aluminium from BoAZ1 and other third parties. During 1Q21, sales of value
1 "BoAZ" - Boguchansky aluminium smelter.
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added products (VAP2) decreased by 3.2% QoQ, to 468 thousand tonnes. At the same time the Company in line with its strategy continued to grow the VAP's share in total sales, which now stands at 49% in comparison with 47% in 4Q20;
- In 1Q21 the regional sales geography remained largely unchanged compared to the previous quarter. European destination held 42% of total sales (-1pp QoQ), Asian sales also slightly decreased in share to 26% (vs 27% in 4Q20). The shift was towards American sales that increased to 8% (vs 6% in 4Q20);
- In 1Q21, the average aluminium realized price3 increased by 9.1% QoQ to USD 2,116/t. The increase was driven by positive dynamic in London Metal Exchange ("LME") QP4 component (+8.9% QoQ to USD 1,940/t) and the average realized premium component growth (+10.8% QoQ to USD 176/t);
Alumina
- In 1Q21, total alumina production decreased by 4.5% QoQ, to 2,045 thousand tonnes. The Company's Russian operations accounted for 36% of total output;
Bauxite and nepheline ore
- In 1Q21, bauxite production increased by 7.4% QoQ, to 3,801 thousand tonnes primarily due to low comparison base of 4Q20 output at Timan and Windalco mines. Nepheline production decreased by 5.3% QoQ to 1,062 thousand tonnes;
Market overview5
- Aluminium market in 1Q21 continued its strong rebound from the periods in 2020 affected by COVID-19 outbreak. Both LME price and premiums soared on strong demand recovery and expectation of supply disruptions in short and medium term. At the end of 1Q21 LME price approached USD2300/tonne level, up from USD1500/tonne for the same period last year. Chinese SHFE price was supported by strong fundamentals and remained above RMB17500/tonne level despite traditionally weak 1Q demand season;
2
3
4
5
VAP includes alloyed ingots, slabs, billets, wire rod and special purity aluminium.
The realised price includes three components: LME component, commodity premium and VAP upcharge.
QP (quotation period) prices differs from the real time LME quotes due to a time lag between LME quotes and sales recognition and due to contract formula specialty.
Unless otherwise stated, data for the "Market overview" section is sourced from Bloomberg, CRU, CNIA, IAI and Antaike.
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- Aluminium ingot premiums across all regional markets outside of China grew by 130-150% YoY at the end of 1Q21 following strong demand recovery and pressure from increasing freight costs;
- In 1Q21, global primary aluminium demand grew by 11% YoY (days adjusted) to 16.4 million tonnes. In the Rest of the World ("RoW") demand increased by 5.2% to 7.2 million tonnes, while Chinese demand increased by 15.4% to 9.2 million tonnes. Among aluminium end-user industries, transport demonstrates the most dynamic growth. The launch of new auto models, including EVs and strong stimulus packages for new ESG development trends also supported use of aluminium in the packaging, renewable energy and power efficient construction segments;
- The worldwide supply of primary aluminium continued to grow in 1Q21 increasing by 5.9% YoY to 16.75 million tonnes, mostly driven by Chinese growth of 9.6% to 9.8 million tonnes, while in RoW production grew by just 1.0% to 7 million tonnes. At the same time, recent announcement by Chinese government to reach carbon emission peak early by 2025 and further to reduce power intensity per GDP as well as coal use may cause supply disruptions in certain coal abundant provinces, and lead among other things to aluminium capacity cuts. Overall, strict ESG measures in China and announced aluminium capacity cap in China of 45 million tonnes may fundamentally change global aluminium industry toward significant moderation in supply;
- China continues to be strong importing aluminium market. In 1Q21 Chinese unwrought primary aluminium net imports are estimated to have reached 331 thousand tonnes. For the whole 2020 Chinese unwrought primary aluminium net import was 1.064 million tonnes. As a result the global market demonstrated a much lower 0.33 million tonnes surplus during 1Q21 compared to 1.0 million tonnes for the same period of last year. Ex-China market turned into 0.25 million tonnes of deficit in 1Q21.
KEY OPERATING DATA
GROUP PRODUCTION DATA6
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Aluminium | 932 | 950 | -1.9% | 940 | -0.8% |
utilisation rate | 97% | 97% | - | 97% | - |
Aluminium foil and packaging | |||||
products | 26.6 | 27.8 | -4.0% | 25.0 | 6.7% |
Alumina | 2,045 | 2,142 | -4.5% | 2,013 | 1.6% |
Bauxite | 3,801 | 3,539 | 7.4% | 3,577 | 6.3% |
Nepheline | 1,062 | 1,121 | -5.3% | 1,083 | -2.0% |
6 Unless stated otherwise the production volumes are calculated based on the pro rata share of the Company's (and its subsidiaries') ownership.
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GROUP SALES DATA
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Aluminium sales | 962 | 1,028 | -6.4% | 914 | 5.3% |
including | |||||
BoAZ | 56 | 68 | -17.3% | 65 | -13.1% |
Other third parties | 36 | 48 | -23.8% | 8.8 | 315.3% |
Realized price, USD/t | 2,116 | 1,940 | 9.1% | 1,864 | 13.5% |
LME QP component | 1,940 | 1,781 | 8.9% | 1,708 | 13.6% |
Realised premium | 176 | 159 | 10.8% | 156 | 12.8% |
Commodity component | |||||
(100% of sales) | 83 | 77 | 7.8% | 79 | 6.3% |
VAP upcharge component | |||||
(100% of sales) | 92 | 81 | 13.7% | 77 | 19.6% |
VAP upcharge over | |||||
commodity (VAP | |||||
products only) | 190 | 173 | 9.6% | 167 | 13.5% |
VAP sales in tonnes | 468 | 483 | -3.2% | 422 | 10.9% |
Share of VAP | 49% | 47% | 2pp | 46% | 3pp |
Sales geography, % | |||||
Europe | 42% | 43% | -1pp | 56% | -14pp |
Russia & CIS | 24% | 24% | - | 22% | 2pp |
Asia | 26% | 27% | -1pp | 15% | 11pp |
America | 8% | 6% | 2pp | 7% | 1pp |
Alumina third party sales7 | 466 | 502 | -7.2% | 400 | 16.5% |
Bauxite third party sales | 17 | 22 | -22.7% | 1 | - |
GROUP EXTERNAL PURCHASES DATA
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Alumina8 | 208 | 174 | 19.5% | 169 | 23.1% |
Bauxite | 1,263 | 1,226 | 3.0% | 1,081 | 16.8% |
7
8
Alumina third party sales excluding swaps.
Alumina external purchase data excluding swaps.
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ALUMINIUM PRODUCTION
Change, | Change, | ||||||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) | ||||
Russia (Siberia) | |||||||||
Bratsk aluminium smelter | 250 | 253 | -1.1% | 251 | -0.4% | ||||
Krasnoyarsk aluminium | |||||||||
smelter | 253 | 258 | -2.0% | 256 | -1.2% | ||||
Sayanogorsk aluminium | |||||||||
smelter | 132 | 133 | -1.0% | 135 | -2.4% | ||||
Novokuznetsk aluminium | |||||||||
smelter | 53.2 | 54.3 | -1.9% | 53.3 | -0.5% | ||||
Irkutsk aluminium smelter | 105 | 107 | -1.8% | 106 | -0.2% | ||||
Khakas aluminium smelter | 76.9 | 80.5 | -4.4% | 74.6 | 3.1% | ||||
Russia - Other | |||||||||
Volgograd aluminium smelter | 17.0 | 17.4 | -2.0% | 17.4 | -2.0% | ||||
Kandalaksha aluminium | |||||||||
smelter | 15.7 | 16.6 | -5.5% | 18.1 | -13.3% | ||||
Sweden | |||||||||
Kubikenborg Aluminium | |||||||||
(KUBAL) | 29.9 | 30.6 | -2.3% | 29.4 | 1.7% | ||||
Total production9 | |||||||||
932 | 950 | -1.9% | 940 | -0.8% | |||||
Foil and packaging production results
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 tonness) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Russia | |||||
Sayanal | 9.4 | 10.1 | -7.7% | 8.6 | 9.1% |
Ural Foil | 7.2 | 7.2 | -0.8% | 6.3 | 14.7% |
Sayana Foil | 1.4 | 1.3 | 9.4% | 1.2 | 18.0% |
Armenia | |||||
Armenal | 8.7 | 9.1 | -4.4% | 8.9 | -2.8% |
Total production | 26.6 | 27.8 | -4.0% | 25.0 | 6.7% |
9 Above and below "total production" figures may not equal to the mathematical addition of the numbers presented in the table above. The difference is due to the rounding up of exact numbers (incl. decimals).
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Other aluminium products output and silicon output
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 toness) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Secondary alloys | 12.0 | 12.2 | -2.0% | 4.1 | 194.4% |
Silicon | 6.5 | 6.4 | 1.9% | 7.7 | -14.8% |
Powder | 6.3 | 5.7 | 10.4% | 6.0 | 4.7% |
Wheels ('000 units) | 729 | 696 | 4.7% | 590 | 23.6% |
ALUMINA PRODUCTION
Change, | Change, | ||||||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) | ||||
Ireland | |||||||||
Aughinish Alumina | 471 | 487 | -3.3% | 476 | -1.1% | ||||
Jamaica | |||||||||
Windalco | 123 | 132 | -7.0% | 136 | -9.7% | ||||
Ukraine | |||||||||
Nikolaev Alumina Refinery | 428 | 459 | -6.6% | 416 | 3.1% | ||||
Russia | |||||||||
Bogoslovsk Alumina Refinery | 227 | 245 | -7.5% | 240 | -5.5% | ||||
Achinsk Alumina Refinery | 225 | 230 | -2.5% | 228 | -1.5% | ||||
Urals Alumina Refinery | 226 | 229 | -1.6% | 228 | -1.0% | ||||
Pglz Alumina Refinery | 62 | 67 | -7.6% | - | - | ||||
Guinea | |||||||||
Friguia Alumina Refinery | 99.5 | 101.0 | -1.5% | 111.9 | -11.1% | ||||
Australia (JV) | |||||||||
Queensland Alumina Ltd10 | 185 | 192 | -3.5% | 177 | 4.5% | ||||
Total alumina production | 2,045 | 2,142 | -4.5% | 2,013 | 1.6% | ||||
10 The alumina production volume of Queensland Alumina Ltd is presented by 20% of its output i.e. based on an ownership pro rata basis
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BAUXITE MINING
Change, | Change, | ||||||||
('000 tonnes) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) | ||||
Jamaica | |||||||||
Windalco | 558 | 357 | 56.4% | 477 | 17.0% | ||||
Russia | |||||||||
North Urals | 511 | 558 | -8.3% | 489 | 4.5% | ||||
Timan | 706 | 595 | 18.8% | 703 | 0.5% | ||||
Guinea | |||||||||
Friguia | 444 | 382 | 16.3% | 327 | 35.9% | ||||
Kindia | 723 | 755 | -4.3% | 703 | 2.8% | ||||
Dian-Dian | 858 | 893 | -3.9% | 797 | 7.8% | ||||
Guyana | |||||||||
Bauxite Company of Guyana | |||||||||
Inc.11 | - | - | - | 81 | - | ||||
Total bauxite production | 3,801 | 3,539 | 7.4% | 3,577 | 6.3% | ||||
Nepheline ore production12
Change, | Change, | ||||
('000 tonnes wet) | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Kiya Shaltyr Nepheline | |||||
Syenite | 1,062 | 1,121 | -5.3% | 1,083 | -2.0% |
- In February 2020 the Company announced the suspension of operations of bauxite business in Guyana
- Nepheline ore is used as a feedstock for alumina production at the Achinsk alumina refinery.
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JOINT VENTURE OPERATING RESULTS
Change, | Change, | |||||
('000 tonnes wet) | Interest | 1Q21 | 4Q20 | % (QoQ) | 1Q20 | % (YoY) |
Boguchanskaya HPP | ||||||
Electricity generation, | ||||||
mwh13 | 50% | 3,288 | 4,542 | -27.6% | 4,636 | -29.1% |
Boguchansky aluminium | ||||||
smelter | ||||||
Aluminium production | ||||||
('000 tonnes)14 | 50% | 71.5 | 72.5 | -1,3% | 72.2 | -0.9% |
Bogatyr Komir and | ||||||
Bogatyr Trans | ||||||
Coal production (Kt)15 | 50% | 5,879 | 6,044 | -2.7% | 6,185 | -4.9% |
Transportation volumes | ||||||
(Kt of transportation)16 | 50% | 431 | 535 | -19.4% | 869 | -50.4% |
By virtue of the power of attorney on behalf of
United Company RUSAL,
international public joint-stock company
Aby Wong Po Ying
Company Secretary
27 April 2021
As at the date of this announcement, the members of the Board of Directors are the following: the executive Directors are Mr. Evgenii Nikitin, Mr. Evgeny Kuryanov and Mr. Evgenii Vavilov, the non-executive Directors are Mr. Marco Musetti, Mr. Vyacheslav Solomin and Mr. Vladimir Kolmogorov, and the independent non-executive Directors are Dr. Elsie Leung Oi-sie, Mr. Dmitry Vasiliev, Mr. Bernard Zonneveld (Chairman), Dr. Evgeny Shvarts, Mr. Randolph N. Reynolds, Mr. Kevin Parker, Mr. Christopher Burnham and Mr. Nick Jordan.
All announcements published by the Company are available on its website under the links http://www.rusal.ru/en/investors/info.aspx and http://rusal.ru/investors/info/moex/, respectively.
- The energy generation volume of Boguchanskaya HPP is presented by 100% of its output (not on an ownership pro rata basis).
- The aluminium production volume of Boguchansky aluminium smelter is presented by 100% of its output (not on an ownership pro rata basis).
- The coal production volume of Bogatyr Komir is presented by 50% of its output i.e. based on an ownership pro rata basis.
- The transportation volume of Bogatyr Trans is presented by 50% of its output i.e. based on an ownership pro rata basis.
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United Company RUSAL plc published this content on 27 April 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 27 April 2021 00:08:00 UTC.