+258%¹ ZAR35.9
Pd
ZAR10.0 | Pt |
Rh | |
Au |
A unique, exciting, global precious metals company
CEO, Neal Froneman
BMO Metals and mining conference
24 February 2020
1. Share price appreciation from 31 Dec 2018 to 31 Dec 2019
Disclaimer
The information in this presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the "safe harbour" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements, including, among others, those relating to Sibanye Gold Limited's (trading as Sibanye-Stillwater)("Sibanye-Stillwater" or the "Group") financial positions, business strategies, plans and objectives of management for future operations, are necessarily estimates reflecting the best judgment of the senior management and directors of Sibanye-Stillwater.
All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also often use words such as "will", "forecast", "potential", "estimate", "expect" and words of similar meaning. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances and should be considered in light of various important factors, including those set forth in this disclaimer and in the Group's Annual Integrated Report and Annual Financial Report, published on 29 March 2019, and the Group's Annual Report on Form 20-F filed by Sibanye-Stillwater with the Securities and Exchange Commission on 5 April 2019 (SEC File no. 001-35785 and the Form F-4 filed by Sibanye Stillwater Limited with the Securities and Exchange commission on 4 October 2019 (SEC file no. 333-234096) and any amendments thereto. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements.
The important factors that could cause Sibanye-Stillwater's actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, our future business prospects; financial positions; debt position and our ability to reduce debt leverage; business, political and social conditions in the United States,
United Kingdom, South Africa, Zimbabwe and elsewhere; plans and objectives of management for future operations; our ability to obtain the benefits of any streaming
arrangements or pipeline financing; our ability to service our bond Instruments (High Yield Bonds and Convertible Bonds); changes in assumptions underlying Sibanye-Stillwater's estimation of their current mineral reserves and resources; the ability to achieve anticipated efficiencies and other cost savings in connection with past, ongoing and future acquisitions, as well as at existing operations; our ability to achieve steady state production at the Blitz project; the success of Sibanye-Stillwater's business strategy; exploration and development activities; the ability of Sibanye-Stillwater to comply with requirements that they operate in a sustainable manner; changes in the market price of gold, PGMs and/or uranium; the occurrence of hazards associated with underground and surface gold, PGMs and uranium mining; the occurrence of labour disruptions and industrial action; the availability, terms and deployment of capital or credit; changes in relevant government regulations, particularly environmental, tax, health and safety regulations and new
legislation affecting water, mining, mineral rights and business ownership, including any interpretations thereof which may be subject to dispute; the outcome and consequence
of any potential or pending litigation or regulatory proceedings or other environmental, health and safety issues; power disruptions, constraints and cost increases; supply chain shortages and increases in the price of production inputs; fluctuations in exchange rates, currency devaluations, inflation and other macro-economic monetary policies; the occurrence of temporary stoppages of mines for safety incidents and unplanned maintenance; the ability to hire and retain senior management or sufficient technically skilled employees, as well as their ability to achieve sufficient representation of historically disadvantaged South Africans' in management positions; failure of information technology and communications systems; the adequacy of insurance coverage; any social unrest, sickness or natural or man-made disaster at informal settlements in the vicinity of some of Sibanye-Stillwater's operations; and the impact of HIV, tuberculosis and other contagious diseases.
These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of the content. Sibanye-Stillwater expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward- looking statement (except to the extent legally required).
2
A unique, diversified, global, precious metal company
Long life Reserves (70Moz), only 14% of | US PGM contribution to Adj. EBITDA to | ||||
Resources (493Moz) | increase as Blitz ramps up | ||||
22% | 15% | ||||
33% | |||||
38% | |||||
Reserves | Adj EBITDA1 | ||||
(Rm %) | |||||
(%) | |||||
H2 2019 | |||||
2019 | |||||
40% | 17% | 52% | |||
31% | |||||
Production | |||||
(oz %) | SA gold (oz%) | ||||
H2 2019 | |||||
SA PGM (4E %) | |||||
52% | US PGM (2E %) | ||||
Shares in issue1 | 2,670,029,252 | ||||
Shares in ADR form2 | 628,424,292 (ADR ratio 1:4 ordinary share) | ||||
Market cap¹ | R129 billion (US$9 billion) | ||||
Listings | JSE Limited share ticker: SSW | ||||
NYSE ADR programme share ticker: SBSW | |||||
US PGM
East Boulder mine(100%)
Reserves: 10.9Moz 2E
Stillwater mine(100%)
Reserves: 14.8Moz 2E
SA PGM
Mimosa (50%)
Reserves: 1.7Moz 4E
Marikana (100%)4
Reserves: 8.6Moz 4E
Platinum Mile (91.7%)
Reserves: n.a.
Rustenburg (100%):
Reserves: 13.7Moz 4E
Kroondal (50%)
Reserves: 1.2Moz 4E
Akanani project
Resources: 36.8Moz 4E
Americas assets
Southern African assets
Marathon project
with Generation mining
Denison project
with Wallbridge Mining
Altar project
with Aldebaran (in Argentina)
SA GOLD
Cooke surface
Reserves: 0.1Moz Au
Kloof:
Reserves: 4.4Moz Au
Driefontein
Reserves: 2.6Moz Au
DRDGOLD (50.1%)
Reserves: 2.2Moz Au
Beatrix
Reserves: 1.5Moz Au
Burnstone project
Reserves: 1.9Moz Au
Geographically diversified, with unique precious metals mix and long life assets
¹ Shares in issue and market cap as at 22 January 2020 2 American depository receipts (ADRs) as at 22 January 2020 3 Definition as per debt covenants which includes 12 months pro-forma adjusted EBITDA of Marikana operations | 3 |
*The Group reports adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) based on the formula included in the facility agreements for compliance with the debt covenant formula. For a reconciliation |
please refer to the additional results disclosure available on https://www.sibanyestillwater.com/news-investors/
Our strategic focus areas
Strengthen our position as a leading international precious metals mining company by:
Significant progress made in 2019 addressing investor strategic concerns
4
A leading, global precious metals company
Sibanye-Stillwater global PGM ranking - Primary production
2018A platinum | 2018A palladium | ||||||||
production (Moz) | production (Moz) | ||||||||
Sibanye-Stillwater² | Norilsk¹ | 2.73 | |||||||
1.48 | |||||||||
Amplats¹ | Sibanye-Stillwater² | ||||||||
1.32 | |||||||||
1.13 | |||||||||
Amplats¹ | 1.01 | ||||||||
Impala¹,* | |||||||||
1.31 | |||||||||
Impala¹ | 0.82 | ||||||||
Norilsk¹ | 0.65 | North American Palladium¹ | 0.22 | ||||||
Northam¹ | 0.30 | Northam¹ | 0.14 | ||||||
RBPlats¹ | 0.26 | RBPlats¹ | 0.11 | ||||||
Source: Company filings
Notes:
- Peer group information using public company filings with platinum, palladium and rhodium reflect primary production (where available) for 2018 actual. RBPlats based on H1 2019 production. Impala does not disclose primary production for palladium and therefore a similar ratio as the platinum primary production to total production was assumed. North American Palladium also does not disclose primary production for palladium therefore total production was used
- 2018 full year production from Sibanye - Stillwater proforma Lonmin (Sep 2018 annuals) excluding recycling volumes
* Impala's production represent the June 2019 year-end results issued on 5 September 2019
Largest platinum and second largest palladium producer globally
5
A leading, global precious metals company
Sibanye-Stillwater global PGM ranking - Primary production | Sibanye-Stillwater global gold ranking |
2018A rhodium
production (Koz)
Sibanye-Stillwater²196
Amplats¹ 178
Impala¹,* 164
Northam¹44
RBPlats¹ 21
2018A gold and gold equivalents production (Moz)
Newmont Goldcorp¹ | 7.40 | |||
Barrick¹ | 5.81 | |||
Sibanye-Stillwater² # | 3.64 | |||
AngloGold¹ | ||||
3.40 | ||||
Kinross¹ | 2.48 | |||
Polyus¹ | 2.44 | |||
Freeport-McMoRan¹ | ||||
2.44 | ||||
Gold produced | ||||
Gold equivalents |
Source: Company filings
Notes:
- Peer group information using public company filings with platinum, palladium and rhodium reflect primary production (where available) for 2018 actual. RBPlats based on H1 2019 production. Impala does not disclose primary production for rhodium therefore a similar ratio for platinum primary production to total production was assumed
- 2018 full year production from Sibanye - Stillwater proforma Lonmin (Sep 2018 annuals) excluding recycling volumes
-
Gold equivalents calculated using a PGM basket price of R473,548/kg and gold price of R552,526/kg
* Impala's production represent the June 2019 year-end results issued on 5 September 2019
Largest global rhodium producer and top three gold (on equivalent gold basis)
6
How we got here…
-
Built a leading and influential PGM business at a favourable stage
in the precious metals cycle for a total of US$3bn1 (R43.0 bn) within four years
US$269m1 (R4.0bn) for Aquarius in Apr 2016
US$331m1 (R4.5bn²) for Rustenburg in Nov 2016
US$2.2bn (R30bn1) for Stillwater in May 2017
US$290m1 (R4.3bn³) for Lonmin in June 2019
…. by successfully building a leading global PGM business through well priced transactions
- Exchange rate applied to acquisition prices: Aquarius at US$/R14.87 on 12 April 2016, Rustenburg at US$/R13.60 on 1 Nov 2016, Stillwater at US$/R13.64 on 4 May 2017 and Lonmin at US$/R14.83 on 10 June 2019
- Minimum payment of R4.5 billion (R1.5bn upfront payment made). Balance settled from 35% of free cash flows from the Rustenburg operations
3. Estimate purchase price (not accounting value) of the Lonmin transaction based on Lonmin share capital figure of 290,394,531 shares in fixed ratio of 1:1 resulting in 290,394,531 | 7 |
new Sibanye- Stillwater shares. Considerations estimate based on spot Sibanye-Stillwater closing share price on the JSE of R14.83 per share on 7 June 2019 |
…value accretive acquisitions at a low point in the PGM price cycle
Relative price performance (%)
300 | ||||||||
248% | ||||||||
Aquarius and | Stillwater | DRDGOLD | Lonmin | |||||
250 | Rustenburg | transaction | transaction | transaction | ||||
transactions | announced - | announced - | announced - | |||||
announced - | US$/2E basket | R/kg gold | R/4E basket | 210% | ||||
200 | R/4E basket | price up 170% | price up 29% | price up 145% | ||||
price up 180% | since | |||||||
150
100
50 | 42% |
0 | |||||||||||||||||||
Gold US$/oz | Gold R/kg | PGM basket (R/4Eoz) | PGM basket (US$/4Eoz) | PGM basket (US$/2Eoz) | |||||||||||||||
-50 | |||||||||||||||||||
PGM prices significantly outperforming the gold price - US$/oz 4E/2E basket prices are more than 45% higher than US$ gold price
8
Source: IRESS
Key highlights 2019
Significant improvement in overall safe production performance
Transformation continues - precious metals player and reference producer in "green" metals
Gold strike re-set union relationship resulting in no industrial action at the SA PGM operations
Strong earnings
Balance sheet significantly de-risked
Strong shareholder value creation
- Zero fatalities at SA gold operations
- Restructured gold operations
- Completed Lonmin acquisition with fair Competition Commission conditions
- Increased strategic stake in DRDGOLD
- Successful wage negotiations with zero industrial action
- Successful 189 process at Marikana with zero industrial action
- Adjusted EBITDA1 US$1bn/R15 bn4 (2018: R8bn/US$632m)
- Net debt: adjusted EBITDA1 reduced to 1.25x (versus 2.5x year before) and ahead of 1.8x guidance target
- 258%2 share price increase
- Dividend payment is expected to resume3 in H1 2020
- Undervalued versus peers based on market consensus
Consolidation during 2019 has positioned the Group for superior performance in 2020
1. The Group reports adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) based on the formula included in the facility agreements for compliance with the debt covenant formula. For a reconciliation of profit/loss before royalties and tax to adjusted EBITDA, see note 11 of the relevant notes in the condensed consolidated provisional financial statements
2. Share price appreciation from 31 Dec 2018 to 31 Dec 2019 3. Based on the current deleveraging trajectory and subject to current commodity prices, ongoing management review and approval by the | 9 |
Board 4. Conversion based on the average exchange rate for the year of US$/R14.46 |
Benefits of strategic transformation clearly apparent
Profitability (adjusted EBITDA1 US$m) and R/US$ exchange rate
US$ million
1 200 | 16.00 |
1 000
15.00
800
600 | 14.00 | |
R:US$ | ||
400 | 13.00 | |
200 | 12.00 | |
0
11.00
(200)
(400) | 10.00 | ||||||||||
H1 2015 | H2 2015 | H1 2016 | H2 2016 | H1 2017 | H2 2017 | H1 2018 | H2 2018* | H1 2019* | H2 2019 | ||
SA Gold | SA PGM | US PGM | Average rand: US dollar exchange rate (RHS) |
Record US$1 billion (R15 billion) adjusted EBITDA1 achieved despite build-up of gold operations post-strike in H2 2019
1. The Group reports adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) based on the formula included in the facility agreements for compliance with the debt covenant | 10 |
formula. For a reconciliation of profit/loss before royalties and tax to adjusted EBITDA, see note 11 of the relevant notes in the condensed consolidated provisional financial statements |
*H2 2018 and H1 2019 at the SA gold operations have been impacted by the five month gold strike from Nov 2018 to April 2019 with subsequent gradual build up to new normalised levels
Deleveraging in line with our strategic objectives - on track for dividends
US$ million
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA1 US$m | Accelerated de-leveraging | |
• | ||
- Net debt: adjusted EBITDA | ||
2 500 | 3.5 | reduced to 1.25x* ahead of |
1.8x targeted | ||
2 000 | 3.0 | - net debt of US$1,497 million |
(R20.1 billion) at 31 Dec 2019 | ||
1 500 | 2.5 | • Expected return to dividends | |||||
after H1 20202 | |||||||
x | |||||||
1 000 | 2.0 | - The company's dividend policy to | |||||
return at least 25% to 35% of | |||||||
normalised earnings to | |||||||
500 | 1.5 | shareholders | |||||
• Covenant limit of 3.5x for 2019 | |||||||
0 | 1.0 | steps down to 2.5x in 2020 | |||||
Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18 | Sep 18 Dec 18 Mar 19 Jun 19 Sep 19 Dec 19 | ||||||
Net debt excl Convertible bond (lhs) | Convertible bond (lhs) | ||||||
Net debt: Adjusted EBITDA (rhs) | Covenant limit (rhs) | ||||||
Accelerated deleveraging - expected return to dividends after H1 20202 . Previously averaged 5% dividend yield
- The Group reports adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) based on the formula included in the facility agreements for compliance with the debt covenant formula. For a reconciliation of profit/loss before royalties and tax to adjusted EBITDA, see note 11 of the relevant notes in the condensed consolidated provisional financial statements
- Based on the current deleveraging trajectory and subject to current commodity prices, ongoing management review and approval by the Board
- *For covenant calculations Marikana's pro forma EBITDA is utilised (i.e. adjusted to represent a full 12-month period, rather than 7 month as consolidated for accounting purposes) in order to more accurately represent the 11 enlarged entity post an acquisition. This results in a 1.25x ratio for covenant calculation purposes, compared to a 1.4x ratio reported in the financial results
Global PGM cost curve (cash cost + capital)
Global PGM cash cost & capital curve (CY19E - at spot)
Cumulative annual production (4E Koz)
499 | 999 | 1 499 | 1 999 | 2 499 | 2 999 | 3 499 | 3 999 | 4 499 | 4 999 | 5 499 | 5 999 | 6 499 | 6 999 | 7 499 | 7 999 | 8 499 | |||||||||||||||||||
2 500 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(USD/oz) | 2 250 | Spot PGM Basket price received | |||||||||||||||||||
2 000 | Marikana to move | ||||||||||||||||||||
1 750 | down the cost curve | ||||||||||||||||||||
Price | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 500 | as savings are | ||||||||||||||||||||
realised | |||||||||||||||||||||
basket | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 250 | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 000 | |||||||||||||||||||||
and | |||||||||||||||||||||
750 | |||||||||||||||||||||
cost | |||||||||||||||||||||
500 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash | |||||||||||||||||||||
250 | |||||||||||||||||||||
- | Kroondal (SGL/AMS) | Zondereinde (NHM) | Impala Mine (IMP) | ||||||||||||||||||
Boulder (SGL) | Stillwater (SGL)* | LDI (IMP) | Booysendal (NHM) | Mogalakwena (AMS) | Sylvania Dumps (SLP) | Zimplats (IMP) | BRPM (RBP) | Union (SIY) | Unki (AMS) | Mimosa (IMP/SGL) | Two Rivers (ARM/IMP) | Modikwa (ARM/AMS) | Amandelbult (AMS) | Mototolo (GLEN/AMS) | Marula (IMP) | Rustenburg (SGL) | Marikana (SGL) |
Realisation of synergies to move Marikana down the cost curve
- 500
- 250
- 000
- 750
- 500
- 250
-
000
-
Source: Nedbank | 12 |
*Excludes current growth capital from Blitz |
Tightening emission standards underpinning demand
Despite a forecast softening of expected Light Duty Vehicle Demand (global compound annual growth rate of 2.7% forecast to 2025) the continued tightening of emission standards and increases in market share of gasoline and hybrid vehicles continues to underpin the demand for palladium and rhodium
Expected increase in palladium loadings in 2019 due to stricter Emission Regulations and introduction of RDE despite engine downsizing
Average PGM loadings per | |
15-20% | vehicle, change in 2019 (%) |
5-10%
3-5%
1-3%
China | India W. Europe USA |
China palladium demand (koz) | China rhodium demand (koz) |
1 200 | 150 |
800 | 100 |
400 | 50 |
0 | 0 |
(400) | (50) | ||||||||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | 2018 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | ||||||
Loss in demand (lower vehicle production) | Loss in demand (lower vehicle production) | ||||||||||||||||
Gain in demand (higher loadings) | Gain in demand (higher loadings) | ||||||||||||||||
Decreases in vehicle demand have been more than offset by increased loadings associated with tighter emission standards
Source: LMCA, IHS, Marklines, BASF Company data | Source: SFA Oxford | 13 | |
Notes: Light duty vehicles (up to 6 tons) | Source: SFA Oxford |
Palladium - projected to remain in sustained deficits
Palladium market balance
2 500
2 000
1 500
1 000 | |
500 | |
Koz | 0 |
(500) |
(1 000)
(1 500)
(2 000)
2 500
2 000
1 500
US$/oz
1 000
500
(2 500) | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
1992A | 1994A | 1996A | 1998A | 2000A | 2002A | 2004A | 2006A | 2008A | 2010A | 2012A | 2014A | 2016A | 2018A | 2020E | 2022E | 2024E | 2026E | ||
Surplus / Deficit (koz) | Ex-ETF market balance | Pall Price (US $ / oz) (rhs) | |||||||||||||||||
Unsustainable deficits forecast that require greater interventions than traditional primary and secondary supply solutions
Sources include: Company data | 14 |
Rhodium - the most precious of them all?
Rhodium market balance | PGM metal production % compared to % revenue | |
300 | 9 000 | contribution per metal |
Group (excl. SA gold operations) | ||
100% |
200
100 | 80% | ||||||
6 000 | |||||||
0 | US$/oz | 60% | |||||
Koz | 50% | ||||||
(100) | 46% | ||||||
41% | |||||||
3 000 | 40% | ||||||
(200) | 30% | ||||||
22% | |||||||
(300) | 20% | ||||||
7% | |||||||
(400) | 0 | 1% | 1% | ||||
1992A 1995A 1998A 2001A 2004A 2007A 2010A 2013A 2016A | 2019E | 2022E | 2025E | 0% |
Surplus / (Deficit) (koz) | Rhodium price (US$/oz) (rhs) | Platinum | Palladium | Rhodium | Gold | |
First bar: Metal produced as a % of 4E/2E basket | ||||||
Second bar: Average revenue % contribution based on basket price per metal for H2 2019
Rhodium contributing 45% of Group PGM revenue at spot - covering Group AISC
Sources include: Company forecasts | 15 |
Note: All forward looking PGM prices are based on current broker consensus prices |
Platinum - preparing for a recovery through measured substitution
Platinum market balance
1 000 | |
500 | |
Koz | 0 |
(500) |
(1 000)
1992A 1994A 1996A 1998A 2000A 2002A 2004A 2006A 2008A 2010A 2012A 2014A 2016A 2018A 2020E 2022E 2024E
Surplus / (Deficit) | Ex-ETF market balance | Pt Price (US $ / oz) (rhs) | |
Platinum deficits expected from 2022 - primary supply peaked and substation to drive demand
- 000
- 500
- 000
US$/oz
Sources: Company data, SFA Oxford: SA Capital expenditure graph | 16 |
Platinum: Fundamentals and technical analysis aligned?
Sources: Tony Henfrey | 17 |
Trading at discount to net asset value (NAV)
Sibanye-Stillwater NAV at spot prices (US$m)
- 000
- 000
- 000
- 000
- 000
- 000
0 US$m
US$32.51 per ADR
US$8.13 per share/
US$4.11 per share/ | US$16.46 per ADR | US$3.20 per share/ | US$12.81 per ADR |
SA PGM | US PGM | SA gold operations Streaming cost | Net debt | Sibanye-Stillwater | Sibanye-Stillwater | Market cap |
Operations | Operations | and projects | (31 Dec '19) | NAV | NAV | |
at spot prices | at consensus prices | |||||
Current price to spot NAV ratio of 0.39x and 0.78x at consensus prices
- NAV calculations have been applied by using the Group's valuation model at spot prices on 12 Feb 2020 of Pt US$969/oz, Pd US$2366/oz, Rh US$9,550/oz , Au US$1,564/oz, US$/R14.76
- Consensus pricing as per 12 February 2020
3. Market cap is as per closing share price on 20 February 2020 | 18 |
Undervalued compared to peers future cash generation and returns
Broker consensus estimates analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow1 (2020e / 2021e) | Market cap | P / FCF multiple1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
US$bn | US$bn | (2020e and 2021e average) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Newmont | $2.2 | Newmont | $37.3 | 16.4x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sibanye-Stillwater (spot prices)² | $2.1 | $2.4 | Sibanye-Stillwater (spot prices)² | $8.8 | 3.9x | |||||||||||||||||||||
Amplats | $2.1 | Amplats | $24.4 | 13.2x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Barrick | $2.0 | Barrick | $37.3 | 18.9x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sibanye-Stillwater (consensus) | $1.7 | Sibanye-Stillwater (consensus) | $8.8 | 5.0x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Top 3 royalty peers combined³ | $1.5 | Top 3 royalty peers combined³ | $43.4 | 27.7x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AngloGold | $0.9 | AngloGold | $8.7 | 8.5x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Implats | $0.9 | Implats | $8.9 | 8.9x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kirkland Lake | $0.6 | Kirkland Lake | $10.7 | 14.6x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$0.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Newcrest | $0.5 | Newcrest | $14.5 | 23.6x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$0.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Agnico Eagle | $0.3 | Agnico Eagle | $11.9 | 27.1x | ||||||||||||||||||||||
$0.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gold peer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sources: Company information, FactSet, broker reports. Market data as of February 19, 2020 | First bar: 2020e | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
1. Free cash flow forecasts are based on broker consensus estimates sourced from FactSet on February 19, 2020 | PGM peer | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2. Sibanye-Stillwater spot free cash flow forecast is based on JPMorgan's broker report dated February 14, 2020 | Precious metals royalty peers | Second bar: 2021e | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
3. Top 3 royalty peers combined is the sum of Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and Royal Gold |
Questions?
Contacts
James Wellsted/ Henrika Ninham
ir@sibanyestillwater.com
Tel:+27(0)83 453 4014/ +27(0)72 448 5910
JSE: SGL ticker changed to SSW from 19 February 2020 NYSE: Ticker SBGL changed to SBSW on 24 February 2020
Competent persons' declaration
For the United States Region operations, the lead competent person designated in terms of the SAMREC Code, who takes responsibility for the consolidation and reporting of the Stillwater and East Boulder Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves, and for the overall regulatory compliance of these figures, is Brent LaMoure, who gave his consent for the disclosure of the 2019 Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves Statement. Brent [B.Sc Mining Eng] is registered with the Mining and Metallurgical Society of America (01363QP) and has 25 years' experience relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration. Brent is an ex permanent employee of Sibanye-Stillwater and is currently a Contract Ore Reserve Manager to the company.
For Resource estimation for the project in the Americas, the competent persons are Stanford Foy (Altar and Rio Grande) and Rodney N Thomas (Marathon). Stan is a full-time employee of Aldebaran Resources Inc. and a consultant to Sibanye-Stillwater, is registered with the Society for Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration Inc. (4140727RM) and has 28 years' experience relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration. Rodney is registered with the Society for Professional Geoscientists (Ontario) and has 40 years' mineral industry experience, including several years relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration and is a full-time employee and the designated Qualified Person for Generation Mining Limited.
For the Southern African Platinum Operations, the lead competent person designated in terms of the SAMREC Code, who takes responsibility for the consolidation and reporting of the SA Platinum Operations Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves, and for the overall regulatory compliance of these figures, is Andrew Brown, who gave his consent for the disclosure of the 2019 Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves Statement. Andrew [M.Sc Mining Eng] is registered with SAIMM (705060) and has 36 years' experience relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration. Andrew is a full-time, permanent employee of Sibanye-Stillwater.
For the Southern African Gold Operations, the lead competent person designated in terms of the SAMREC Code, with responsibility for the consolidation and reporting of the SA Gold Operations Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves, and for overall regulatory compliance of these figures, is Gerhard Janse van Vuuren, who gave his consent for the disclosure of the 2019 Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves Statement. Gerhard [GDE (Mining Eng), MBA, MSCC and B. Tech (MRM)] is registered with SAIMM (706705) and has 32 years' experience relative to the type and style of mineral deposit under consideration. Gerhard is a full-time, permanent employee of Sibanye-Stillwater.
For the 38.05% attributable portion (as at 31 December 2019) of the DRDGOLD current surface tailings operations includes the ERGO and FWGR operations, the company was reliant on external competent persons as follows: For the ERGO Mineral Resources the Competent Person designated in terms of SAMREC is Mr M Mudau, MSc Eng, Pr. Sci. Nat., the Resource Geology Manager at the RVN Group. The Competent Person designated in terms of SAMREC who takes responsibility for the reporting of the surface Mineral Reserves, is Professor S Rupprecht, Principal Mining Engineer of the RVN Group. The Competent Person designated in terms of SAMREC who takes responsibility for the reporting of the Mineral Reserves for the Far West Gold Recoveries operation, is Mr Vaughn Duke of Sound Mining Proprietary Limited.
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Sibanye Gold Limited published this content on 24 February 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 February 2020 20:22:02 UTC