Q4 UPDATE
ad pepper media International N.V.
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Q4 HIGHLIGHTS
• ad pepper continues to lead the industry
• Revenue: ca. EUR 7.650k (+28%)
• EBITDA: ca. EUR 2.250k (+66%)
• Webgains once again the main growth driver (+45%) followed by ad agents (+32%)
• Strong balance sheet / cash position
• Current share buyback program well covered by Q4 cashflow
• Online shopping trends are here to stay
THE LONG PERSPECTIVE: AD PEPPER HIT THE
IMPORTANT 100M MARK FOR THE FIRST TIME
101.344
50.624 52.638 46.899 51.661 56.019 55.022 49.627 47.281 56.009
29.439 20.704 22.242
14.147
41.691
82.653 83.774
75.563
61.164
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gross Sales in EUR `000
REVENUE | QUARTER-TO-QUARTER
IMPROVEMENT
bubbles indicate qoq growth
Q1 2019
Q2 2019
Q3 2019
Q4 2019
Q1 2020
Q2 2020
Q3 2020
Q4 2020
EBITDA | QUARTER-TO-QUARTER
IMPROVEMENT
bubbles indicate qoq growth
Q1 2019
Q2 2019
Q3 2019
Q4 2019
Q1 2020
Q2 2020
Q3 2020
Q4 2020
Q4 REVENUE | CLEARLY EXCEEDS LAST
YEARS` NUMBERS
Q4 2019
2.206
Q4 2020
Q4 2019
Q4 2020
Q4 2019
Q4 2020
DIGITAL AD SPENDING WORLDWIDE | 2018-2023
Digital ad spending
% of total media ad spending
2018
2019
2020E
2021E
2022E
2023E
Source: eMarketer
in billion USD
GROWTH OF GLOBAL AD-SPENDING
VS. GDP-GROWTH
Growth of ad-spendingGrowth of GDP
8,00%
-2,00% -4,00% -6,00% -8,00% -10,00%
6,00% 4,00% 2,00%
0,00%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020E
2021E
2022E
Source: Dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts, IMF World Economic Outlook
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
POSITIONING AD PEPPER GROUPS
SEGMENTS
AD AGENTS - WHAT THEY DO
SEA
AffiliateSocial Media AdvertisingProduct Data ManagementDisplay Advertising
NEW CUSTOMERS 2020
AD PEPPER - WHAT THEY DO
Audience TargetingAnalytics & DataConsulting
NEW CUSTOMERS 2020
FACT SHEET: WEBGAINS
Headquarter London
Offices Paris, Madrid, Bristol, Munich, Milano and Nuremberg
One of the leading international affiliate networks
15 years experience in affiliate marketing
Part of the Group since 2006
1,800 advertisers 250,000 publishers 100,000,000 transactions € 977,575,616 Gross Sales Value
NEW CUSTOMERS 2020
REVENUE & CUSTOMER RETENTION
ANALYSIS 2020 | WEBGAINS
10.333
31.12.2019
1.204
• Adding minimum fees
• Closing office US
• GDPR
• Insolvency/Bad debt
• Weeding out bad-fit customers
• Travel / leisure
CHURN
3.300
NEW (EXISTING)
NEW
31.12.2020
"CHURN" above long-term average due to one-offs (GDPR, US office, new minimum fee policy, etc.)
Revenue from new customers ("NEW") below long-term average due to pandemic (absence of large pitches)
REVENUE ACTIVE LINKS (RAL*):
BEST NEW CANDIDATES?
Internet Users
Publisher (websites)
Merchant (advertiser)
* a connection between a merchant and publisher which has generated > 1 sales transaction
Machine Learning distills the Webgains network to the most relevant, specific new link candidates for publishers and merchants
WEBGAINS MACHINE LEARNING (ML):
AFFILIATE DISCOVERY
• ALL Webgains revenue is generated via so-called Revenue Active Links (RAL)
• Affiliate Discovery - give personalized data driven recommendations to join merchant programs via RAL
• Recommend: infer from data the likely best matches without any user input (vis-à-vis search, where the user provides a query)
• Uses multiple ML models + techniques to build up a detailed, semantic picture of product feeds and dynamic publisher content
• Central to:
○ Network maintenance
○ Network growth
○ Network diversity
○ Merchant sales and publisher commissions
• The first in a series of ML-powered discovery modules we are launching
WEBGAINS MACHINE LEARNING:
FIRST RESULTS
Revenue Active Link (RAL) Growth
55.981
51.371
47.159
48.574
• Went live 28 July 2020 and came out Beta (available on platform) 28 August 2020
• H2 already saw a significant increase versus "undisturbed" RAL growth (H1 on H1)
H1 2019
H1 2020
H2 2019
H2 2020
GROUP FINANCIALS
KEY GROUP FIGURES FY 2020 |
SCALABILITY AT WORK
Gross Sales (non-IFRS)
Revenue (IFRS)
Gross Profit
OPEX
EBITDA
+21% 101.344
83.774
25.615
24.687
21.787
18.448
19.239
6.559
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
HEADCOUNT OVERVIEW | SEGMENT
ADMIN
More or less stable OPEX despite new hires in all segments
AD AGENTS
AD PEPPER
WEBGAINS
GROUP
SEGMENT EBITDA`S MULTIPLIED
VS PREVIOUS YEAR
OTHER KEY FINANCIALS
EPS (parent)Cash
Equity Ratio
25.229
25.342
0,06
0,17
41,0%
42,7%
31.12.2019
31.12.2020
31.12.2019
31.12.2020
31.12.2019
31.12.2020
THE SHARE
Shareholder Structure as of 11.02.2021
Update on Share Repurchase Program
• Share repurchase program: Started 19 October 2020
• Shares bought back so far
(as per 08.02.21): 340.858 (EUR 1.6 million)
• Current Share Buyback fully covered by Q4 Cashflow (gross): EUR 2.2 million
• Liquid funds:
EUR 25,342k (31.12.2020), debt-free
DIGITAL ADOPTION
TEMPORARY OR PERMANENT?
"Growing trend of online shopping is here to stay even when the pandemic is over"
Source: Swiss Re / McKinsey, December 2020
INVESTMENT CASE
No legacy Media Agency 100% focus on Performance Marketing
Growth sweet spot: At the forefront of digital transformation
Industry-leading growth
High net cash position (>EUR 1.00/share)
No Goodwill, Equity-Ratio >40%
Critical mass in all segments with big international clients on board
Scalable profitability with record EBITDA
QUESTIONS?
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ad pepper media International NV published this content on 15 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 February 2021 13:14:01 UTC.