Projected Income Statement: Air Canada

Forecast Balance Sheet: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 5,488 7,721 7,495 5,311 4,918 6,252 6,638 6,683
Change - 40.69% -2.93% -29.14% -7.4% 27.12% 6.17% 0.68%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,202 1,073 1,572 1,564 2,636 2,825 3,433 3,337
Change - -10.73% 46.51% -0.51% 68.54% 7.18% 21.5% -2.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,555 -2,636 796 2,756 1,294 109.8 -476.4 539.2
Change - 25.85% 130.2% 246.23% -53.05% -91.51% -533.77% 213.18%
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Air Canada

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -35.02% -22.88% 8.8% 18.24% 16.11% 13.81% 14.87% 15.45%
EBIT Margin (%) -64.74% -47.64% -1.13% 10.44% 5.68% 4.13% 5.84% 6.22%
EBT Margin (%) -83.2% -62.2% -9.21% 10.13% 2.31% 2.48% 3.37% 4.12%
Net margin (%) -79.67% -56.28% -10.27% 10.42% 7.73% 2.01% 2.67% 2.97%
FCF margin (%) -60.95% -41.19% 4.81% 12.62% 5.81% 0.5% -2.01% 2.13%
FCF / Net Income (%) 76.5% 73.18% -46.82% 121.09% 75.23% 24.73% -75.25% 71.66%

Profitability

        
ROA -14.95% -12.1% -5.66% 7.62% 4.35% 2.96% 2.3% 1.98%
ROE -138.58% -417.87% - - 83.86% 15.55% 27.83% 28.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -2.69x -5.27x 5.14x 1.33x 1.37x 2.04x 1.88x 1.71x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.54x -2.93x 9.42x 1.93x 3.8x 56.93x -13.93x 12.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 20.61% 16.77% 9.5% 7.16% 11.84% 12.76% 14.45% 13.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -58.84% -73.29% 107.89% 39.28% 73.51% 92.39% 97.2% 85.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -33.81% -40.71% 197.49% 56.75% 203.71% 2,572.38% -720.54% 618.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -8.344 -4.453 6.615 11.49 10.45 8.241 11.15 11.53
Change - 46.63% 248.54% 73.7% -9.03% -21.16% 35.36% 3.38%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 5.163 0.0252 -4.339 2.221 7.027 7.265 8.797 10.93
Change - -99.51% -17,353.28% 151.18% 216.44% 3.38% 21.09% 24.3%
EPS 1 -16.47 -10.25 -4.75 5.96 4.574 1.367 2.168 2.748
Change - 37.77% 53.66% 225.47% -23.25% -70.12% 58.63% 26.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 332,172 357,835 359,098 358,469 349,475 296,203 296,203 296,203
Announcement Date 2/12/21 2/18/22 2/17/23 2/16/24 2/13/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.5x 8.51x
PBR 2.54x 2.1x
EV / Sales 0.53x 0.51x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
18.45CAD
Average target price
24.24CAD
Spread / Average Target
+31.37%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AC Stock
  4. Financials Air Canada