Stock ALK ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
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Financials Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Equities

ALK

US0116591092

Airlines

Market Closed - Nyse
Other stock markets
 04:00:02 2024-04-26 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
43.96 USD -1.32% Intraday chart for Alaska Air Group, Inc. -2.33% +12.52%
Apr. 26 Fitch downgrades Boeing's outlook to 'negative' on production, cashflow challenges RE
Apr. 25 Southwest Airlines cuts jet delivery forecast from Boeing again RE

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 8,345 6,431 6,529 5,446 5,003 5,600 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 8,323 6,580 7,499 6,904 7,030 7,692 7,653 7,120
P/E ratio 10.9 x -4.91 x 13.8 x 95.4 x 21.3 x 10.2 x 7.42 x 6.02 x
Yield 2.07% 0.72% - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.95 x 1.8 x 1.06 x 0.56 x 0.48 x 0.51 x 0.48 x 0.45 x
EV / Revenue 0.95 x 1.85 x 1.21 x 0.72 x 0.67 x 0.7 x 0.66 x 0.58 x
EV / EBITDA 4.49 x -6.8 x 20.8 x 4.82 x 4.65 x 4.97 x 4.17 x 3.43 x
EV / FCF 8.32 x -15 x 10.2 x -27.3 x -15.8 x -30.2 x 37.3 x -
FCF Yield 12% -6.69% 9.84% -3.66% -6.32% -3.32% 2.68% -
Price to Book 1.93 x 2.15 x 1.73 x 1.44 x 1.2 x 1.23 x 1.03 x 0.88 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 123,173 123,664 125,311 126,838 128,053 125,706 - -
Reference price 2 67.75 52.00 52.10 42.94 39.07 44.55 44.55 44.55
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 8,781 3,566 6,176 9,646 10,426 10,913 11,567 12,322
EBITDA 1 1,855 -967 361 1,432 1,512 1,546 1,837 2,078
EBIT 1 1,101 -1,686 -287 726 853 825.4 1,112 1,326
Operating Margin 12.54% -47.28% -4.65% 7.53% 8.18% 7.56% 9.61% 10.76%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,016 -1,818 629 79 323 772.9 1,043 1,256
Net income 1 769 -1,307 478 58 235 551.5 752.5 942
Net margin 8.76% -36.65% 7.74% 0.6% 2.25% 5.05% 6.51% 7.64%
EPS 2 6.190 -10.59 3.770 0.4500 1.830 4.385 6.005 7.400
Free Cash Flow 1 1,000 -440 738 -253 -444 -255 205 -
FCF margin 11.39% -12.34% 11.95% -2.62% -4.26% -2.34% 1.77% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 53.91% - 204.43% - - - 11.16% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 130.04% - 154.39% - - - 27.24% -
Dividend per Share 2 1.400 0.3750 - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 1,953 1,899 1,681 2,658 2,828 2,479 2,196 2,838 2,839 2,553 2,232 2,976 2,982 2,696 2,444
EBITDA 1 412 222 -59 550 618 323 61 691 501 253 21.66 594.3 536.3 382 -
EBIT 1 249 56 -234 373 438 149 -102 524 340 85 -145 405.9 366.4 183.1 35.71
Operating Margin 12.75% 2.95% -13.92% 14.03% 15.49% 6.01% -4.64% 18.46% 11.98% 3.33% -6.5% 13.64% 12.29% 6.79% 1.46%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 245 29 -206 185 65 35 -199 325 193 4 -178 387 341 131 -
Net income 1 194 18 -143 139 40 22 -142 240 139 -2 -132 277 285.5 122.5 -
Net margin 9.93% 0.95% -8.51% 5.23% 1.41% 0.89% -6.47% 8.46% 4.9% -0.08% -5.91% 9.31% 9.57% 4.54% -
EPS 2 1.530 0.1400 -1.140 1.090 0.3100 0.1700 -1.110 1.860 1.080 -0.0200 -1.050 2.200 2.275 0.9750 -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 10/21/21 1/27/22 4/21/22 7/21/22 10/20/22 1/26/23 4/20/23 7/25/23 10/19/23 1/25/24 4/18/24 - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - 149 970 1,458 2,027 2,091 2,053 1,520
Net Cash position 1 22 - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - -0.1541 x 2.687 x 1.018 x 1.341 x 1.353 x 1.117 x 0.7315 x
Free Cash Flow 1 1,000 -440 738 -253 -444 -255 205 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 19.7% -34.2% -7.54% 14.6% 14.7% 13.4% 15.4% 15.5%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 6.43% -9.29% -1.83% 3.94% 4.05% 3.64% 4.65% 5.38%
Assets 1 11,953 14,068 -26,137 1,472 5,804 15,150 16,169 17,507
Book Value Per Share 2 35.10 24.20 30.20 29.90 32.60 36.10 43.40 50.40
Cash Flow per Share 2 13.70 -1.900 8.120 11.10 8.160 8.620 11.80 11.60
Capex 1 696 206 292 1,671 1,494 1,350 1,458 1,272
Capex / Sales 7.93% 5.78% 4.73% 17.32% 14.33% 12.37% 12.6% 10.32%
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/26/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
43.96 USD
Average target price
55.6 USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.48%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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