ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING S.A. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 4.05 USD | +1.00% |
|
+16.05% | +5.47% |
| Apr. 25 | Transcript : Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A., Q1 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 25, 2024 | |
| Apr. 25 | Earnings Flash (AMBP) ARDAGH METAL PACKAGING S.A. Posts Q1 Revenue $1.14B, vs. Street Est of $1.14B | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 5,448 | 2,873 | 2,295 | 2,420 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 7,872 | 5,910 | 5,586 | 5,941 | 6,001 | 5,986 |
| P/E ratio | -23.2 x | 12.7 x | -32 x | 95.9 x | 35.7 x | 21.8 x |
| Yield | - | 8.32% | 10.4% | 9.89% | 9.89% | 9.89% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.34 x | 0.61 x | 0.48 x | 0.49 x | 0.47 x | 0.45 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.94 x | 1.26 x | 1.16 x | 1.19 x | 1.17 x | 1.12 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.9 x | 9.46 x | 9.31 x | 9.11 x | 8.62 x | 8.14 x |
| EV / FCF | -34.5 x | -15.2 x | 23.5 x | 38.5 x | 27 x | 19.6 x |
| FCF Yield | -2.9% | -6.6% | 4.26% | 2.6% | 3.71% | 5.1% |
| Price to Book | 17 x | 6.35 x | - | -7.15 x | -4.11 x | -2.99 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 603,283 | 597,231 | 597,600 | 597,635 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 9.030 | 4.810 | 3.840 | 4.050 | 4.050 | 4.050 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,055 | 4,689 | 4,812 | 4,988 | 5,136 | 5,335 |
| EBITDA 1 | 662 | 625 | 600 | 652 | 696.1 | 735.4 |
| EBIT 1 | 319 | 266 | 182 | 221.5 | 280.6 | 319.2 |
| Operating Margin | 7.87% | 5.67% | 3.78% | 4.44% | 5.46% | 5.98% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -188 | 256 | -71 | 23.93 | 78.28 | 147.6 |
| Net income 1 | -210 | 237 | -50 | 30.17 | 61.95 | - |
| Net margin | -5.18% | 5.05% | -1.04% | 0.6% | 1.21% | - |
| EPS 2 | -0.3900 | 0.3800 | -0.1200 | 0.0422 | 0.1134 | 0.1856 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -228 | -390 | 238 | 154.2 | 222.5 | 305.5 |
| FCF margin | -5.62% | -8.32% | 4.95% | 3.09% | 4.33% | 5.73% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 39.67% | 23.66% | 31.96% | 41.54% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | 511.21% | 359.16% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 0.4000 | 0.4000 | 0.4004 | 0.4004 | 0.4005 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,087 | 1,137 | 1,303 | 1,173 | 1,076 | 1,131 | 1,255 | 1,294 | 1,132 | 1,141 | 1,314 | 1,343 | 1,184 | 1,178 | 1,348 |
| EBITDA 1 | 165 | 145 | 181 | 140 | 159 | 130 | 151 | 171 | 148 | 134 | 170 | 183.3 | 167.7 | 142.2 | 179.1 |
| EBIT 1 | 76 | 59 | 92 | 54 | 61 | 32 | 51 | 68 | 31 | 25 | 63.76 | 78.63 | 61.04 | 42.2 | 79.08 |
| Operating Margin | 6.99% | 5.19% | 7.06% | 4.6% | 5.67% | 2.83% | 4.06% | 5.26% | 2.74% | 2.19% | 4.85% | 5.85% | 5.15% | 3.58% | 5.86% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 14 | 64 | 112 | 69 | 11 | -10 | -12 | 17 | -66 | -12 | 1.628 | 25.08 | -1.185 | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 16 | 57 | 100 | 68 | 12 | -1 | -10 | 17 | -56 | -12 | 9.048 | 18.23 | 14.9 | - | - |
| Net margin | 1.47% | 5.01% | 7.67% | 5.8% | 1.12% | -0.09% | -0.8% | 1.31% | -4.95% | -1.05% | 0.69% | 1.36% | 1.26% | - | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.0300 | 0.0900 | 0.1700 | 0.1000 | 0.0200 | -0.0100 | -0.0300 | 0.0200 | -0.1000 | -0.0300 | 0.0176 | 0.0355 | 0.0129 | -0.005400 | 0.0354 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | - | 0.1000 | - | 0.1002 | 0.1002 | 0.1002 | 0.1004 | 0.1004 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 4/28/22 | 7/28/22 | 10/27/22 | 2/23/23 | 4/27/23 | 7/27/23 | 10/26/23 | 2/22/24 | 4/25/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,424 | 3,037 | 3,291 | 3,521 | 3,580 | 3,566 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.662 x | 4.859 x | 5.485 x | 5.4 x | 5.144 x | 4.849 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -228 | -390 | 238 | 154 | 223 | 306 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 61.1% | 64% | -18% | - | - | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 2.13% | 4.24% | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | -9,861 | 5,595 | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 0.5300 | 0.7600 | - | -0.5700 | -0.9900 | -1.360 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.8500 | 0.3300 | 1.030 | 0.6800 | 0.8300 | - |
| Capex 1 | 686 | 595 | 378 | 220 | 180 | 160 |
| Capex / Sales | 16.92% | 12.69% | 7.86% | 4.41% | 3.5% | 3% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
4.05
USD
Average target price
3.931
USD
Spread / Average Target
-2.93%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +5.47% | 2.42B | |
| +5.07% | 2.58B | |
| +6.52% | 1.57B | |
| -18.66% | 1.43B | |
| +67.83% | 1.09B | |
| +0.45% | 961M | |
| +3.12% | 827M | |
| -8.67% | 714M | |
| -2.32% | 682M | |
| -17.48% | 450M |
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- Financials Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
