Projected Income Statement: CAE Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: CAE Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,425 2,700 3,033 2,914 3,177 2,830 2,290 1,909
Change - 89.47% 12.33% -3.92% 9.03% -10.91% -19.08% -16.64%
Announcement Date 5/19/21 5/31/22 5/31/23 5/27/24 5/13/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CAE Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 107.6 272.2 268.8 329.8 356.2 321.5 316 308.8
Change - 152.97% -1.25% 22.69% 8% -9.74% -1.71% -2.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 259 146 139.6 237.1 813.9 444.1 577.1 655.9
Change - -43.63% -4.38% 69.84% 243.27% -45.43% 29.95% 13.65%
Announcement Date 5/19/21 5/31/22 5/31/23 5/27/24 5/13/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CAE Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.85% 22.39% 21.18% 23.55% 24.36% 24.24% 25.13% 25.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.62% 13.18% 13.04% 14.94% 15.55% 15.13% 16.25% 16.95%
EBT Margin (%) -2.92% 4.56% 7.05% -9.12% 10.91% 10.59% 12.86% 14.2%
Net margin (%) -1.58% 4.2% 5.3% -7.1% 8.61% 7.91% 9.57% 10.36%
FCF margin (%) 8.69% 4.33% 3.32% 5.54% 17.29% 8.94% 11.04% 11.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) -548.73% 103.03% 62.69% -77.99% 200.81% 113.04% 115.31% 114.67%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 1.19% 3.96% 5.23% 8.14% 8.74% 7.73% 8.98% 9.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.02x 3.58x 3.41x 2.89x 2.77x 2.35x 1.74x 1.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.5x 18.49x 21.72x 12.29x 3.9x 6.37x 3.97x 2.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.61% 8.07% 6.39% 7.7% 7.57% 6.47% 6.04% 5.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.76% 36.05% 30.19% 32.7% 31.06% 26.71% 24.06% 21.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.54% 186.44% 192.55% 139.1% 43.76% 72.39% 54.75% 47.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.348 1.337 1.305 1.782 2.804 2.555 3.012 -
Change - -0.8% -2.41% 36.54% 57.4% -8.9% 17.9% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.2233 0.2567
Change - - - - - - - 14.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.95 12.81 14.15 13.28 15.56 16.74 18.26 19.9
Change - 17% 10.44% -6.19% 17.23% 7.55% 9.11% 8.92%
EPS 1 -0.17 0.45 0.7 -0.95 1.27 1.204 1.536 1.765
Change - 364.71% 55.56% -235.71% 233.68% -5.2% 27.57% 14.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 293,275 316,984 317,860 318,306 319,794 321,548 321,548 321,548
Announcement Date 5/19/21 5/31/22 5/31/23 5/27/24 5/13/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 35.6x 27.9x
PBR 2.56x 2.34x
EV / Sales 3.34x 3.07x
Yield - 0.52%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
42.83CAD
Average target price
47.15CAD
Spread / Average Target
+10.10%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise