Canadian Solar 4Q23 Earnings Call
March 14, 2024
Safe Harbor Statement
This presentation has been prepared by the Company solely to facilitate the understanding of the Company's business model and growth strategy. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Company or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives will be liable (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and management may make additional forward-looking
statements in response to your questions. Such written and oral disclosures are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor
provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include descriptions regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company or its officers with respect to its future performance, consolidated results of operations and financial condition. These statements can be identified by the use of words such as "expects," "plans," "will," "estimates," "projects," or words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking
statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ
materially from expectations implied by these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and assumptions. Although we believe our expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that they will be realized, and therefore we refer you to a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties contained in the Company's annual report on Form 20-F, as well as other documents filed with Securities & Exchange Commission. In addition, these forward-looking statements are made as of the current date, and the Company does not
undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances, unless otherwise required by
law.
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FY2023 Overview
Key Financial Metrics
$7.6 billion
Revenue
16.8%
Gross margin
$793 million
EBITDA
$274 million
Net income
$3.87
Diluted earnings per share to CSIQ
*As of January 31, 2024.
Revenue Breakdown
Recurrent
Energy,
$498M
CSI Solar, $7,116M
North America,
China,22%
28%
Asia ex. | Latin |
America, | |
China, | |
13% | |
12% | |
EMEA, | |
25% |
Solar and Storage Scale
Solar Module Shipments, GW | 42-47 | ||||||||||||
31 | |||||||||||||
21 | |||||||||||||
7 | 7 | 9 | 12 15 | ||||||||||
2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||
Turnkey Utility-Scale Storage | |
Contracted Backlog, $M | c.2,600* |
0 | 223 | 440 | |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Contracted |
backlog |
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A Global Solar and Storage Manufacturing and Project Development Business
62%
Canadian Solar (NASDAQ: CSIQ)
$7.61B 16.8% $793M
FY23 Revenue FY23 Gross Margin FY23 EBITDA
$274M | $3.87 |
FY23 Net Income | FY23 Diluted EPS(1) |
80%(2)
CSI Solar (SSE: 688472)
Vertically Integrated Manufacturing
Solar | Battery Energy Storage |
Recurrent Energy
Global Project Development
Solar | Battery Energy Storage |
30.7 GW
FY23 Shipments
>118 GW
Cumulative Shipments
1.9 GWh(3) | 10 GWp |
FY23 Shipments | Track Record(4) |
$2.6B | 27 GWp |
Contracted Backlog(4) | Pipeline(4) |
>3 GWh
Track Record(4)
55 GWh
Pipeline(4)
- Diluted EPS includes the dilutive effect of convertible bonds. $3.87/share is calculated from total earnings of $279M (including 2.5% coupon of $5.3M) divided by diluted shares 72.2 million shares (including 6.3 million shares issuable upon the conversion of convertible bonds).
- In January 2024, Recurrent Energy secured a $500 million preferred equity investment commitment, convertible into common equity, from BlackRock, representing 20% of the outstanding fully diluted shares of Recurrent Energy on an as-converted basis.
(3) | Including approx. 760 MWh expected to be recognized as revenues in 2024 due to being shipments in late Q4 2023. | 4 |
(4) | Developed, built, and connected as of January 31, 2024; pipeline as of the same date. |
Massive Growth in Clean Energy Demand Over the Next Decade
Data centers to power AI transformation
Electric vehicle charging and autonomous driving
Watt-hours per request
Google search
ChatGPT
BLOOM
AI-powered Google search (New State Research)
AI-powered Google search (SemiAnalysis)
0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
Data center electricity usage in the U.S.
7.5%
Cryptocurrency mining
2.5%
In 2022
In 2030
Source: Nathaniel Bullard, Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Equivalent to
providing
electricity to
40M
U.S. homes in a
year
AI to drive massive increase in demand
for clean energy
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Well-Positioned to Excel in the U.S.
Long-Term Investments
Strong Track Record with a Leading Brand
6
CSI Solar: Record Full Year Revenue and Solar Module Shipments in FY2023
CSI Solar FY2023
Module shipments: 30.7 GW
Storage shipments: 1.9 GWh
Revenue: $7.2 billion
Gross profit: $1.1 billion
Gross margin: 15.3%
Operating profit: $456 million
CSI Solar Q4 2023
Module shipments: 8.2 GW
Storage shipments: 879 MWh
Revenue: $1.7 billion
Gross profit: $207 million
Gross margin: 12.1%
Operating profit: $40 million
Gross Margin
23.5% | |||||||||||||||
22.2% | 21.3% | ||||||||||||||
19.9% | 18.5% | ||||||||||||||
17.4% | |||||||||||||||
15.9%17.3% | 16.6% | ||||||||||||||
19.3% | 15.1% | ||||||||||||||
19.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | |||||||||||||
13.5% | 13.1% | ||||||||||||||
12.1% | |||||||||||||||
9.7% | 13.4% | 341 | 345 | ||||||||||||
290 | 316 | 288 | 299 | ||||||||||||
287 | |||||||||||||||
162 | 157 | 183 | 155 | 173 | 176 | 207 | |||||||||
106 | |||||||||||||||
67 | |||||||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Gross profit, $M | Gross margin | Gross margin ex.AD/CVD | ||
Excluding the impact of intercompany elimination.
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N-type TOPCon to Comprise Near 80% of Total Cell Capacity by Year End
Solar Cell Manufacturing Capacity Breakdown, GW
56
50 48
39
26
20
December | June | September December June 2024 December | |||||
2022 | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | 2024 | |||
PERC | TOPCon | ||||||
Manufacturing Capacity Expansion Roadmap
Capacity, GW | Country | Dec 2023A | Jun 2024E | Dec 2024E |
Ingot | Total | 20 | 20 | 50 |
China | 21 | 23 | 45 | |
Wafer | Thailand | - | 5 | 5 |
Total | 21 | 28 | 50 | |
China | 38 | 36 | 44 | |
Cell | Thailand | 12 | 12 | 12 |
U.S.* | - | - | - | |
Total | 50 | 48 | 56 | |
China | 44 | 45 | 45 | |
Module | Thailand | 11 | 11 | 11 |
U.S. | 2 | 4 | 5 | |
Total | 57 | 60 | 61 |
*U.S. cell production expected to commence by the end of 2025.
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e-STORAGE FY2023 Performance Overview
Contracted backlog*
$2.6 billion
2024 shipments guidance
6.0 - 6.5 GWh
2024 year-end capacity
20 GWh
Total pipeline*
63 GWh
*As of January 31, 2024
Turnkey Utility-Scale Battery Energy Storage Revenue, $M
Transition year (white label to own
self-manufactured product)
c.2,600
440
223
0
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025+ |
contracted | contracted | ||||
backlog | backlog |
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$500 Million Investment By BlackRock to Drive Business Model Transformation
"We are excited to partner on behalf of our clients with
Recurrent Energy. We believe this partnership will help unlock the full potential of Recurrent Energy's impressive renewable energy project development platform. Recurrent Energy is emblematic of our strategy of investing in leading renewable power generation assets and transition-enabling infrastructure, and we are
pleased to make this first investment commitment from the fourth vintage of BlackRock's Climate Infrastructure fund franchise."
David Giordano, Global Head of Climate
Infrastructure and Chief Investment Officer of
Transition Capital, BlackRock
Empowering our transition from a pure developer to a developer plus long-term owner and operator in select
markets, enabling a more diversified portfolio and stable, long-term earnings
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Disclaimer
Canadian Solar Inc. published this content on 14 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 March 2024 11:41:54 UTC.