Projected Income Statement: Central Retail Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Central Retail Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 104,187 59,479 66,579 62,760 79,645 92,175 98,369 98,176
Change - -42.91% 11.94% -5.74% 26.9% 15.73% 6.72% -0.2%
Announcement Date 3/1/21 2/25/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Central Retail Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 8,059 7,815 14,395 16,229 20,048 18,249 17,485 17,185
Change - -3.03% 84.21% 12.74% 23.53% -8.98% -4.19% -1.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,902 15,546 8,064 11,254 9,424 12,508 11,611 11,883
Change - 298.41% -48.12% 39.56% -16.26% 32.72% -7.17% 2.35%
Announcement Date 3/1/21 2/25/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Central Retail Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.69% 10.11% 13.29% 13.59% 13.88% 13.31% 13.11% 12.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.17% 1.4% 5.48% 5.8% 6.47% 5.85% 5.72% 5.81%
EBT Margin (%) -0.28% -0.05% 4.27% 4.35% 4.62% 5.47% 4.37% 4.57%
Net margin (%) 0.02% 0.03% 3.26% 3.46% 3.33% 4.29% 3.13% 3.23%
FCF margin (%) 2.01% 7.95% 3.67% 4.86% 3.86% 4.99% 4.62% 4.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 8,433.7% 26,184.59% 112.4% 140.39% 115.83% 116.22% 147.7% 137.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.02% 0.02% 2.66% 2.85% 2.81% 2.97% 2.74% 2.93%
ROE 0.12% 0.11% 12.11% 12.41% 11.96% 12.66% 10.86% 11.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.53x 3.01x 2.28x 2x 2.35x 2.76x 2.99x 2.84x
Debt / Free cash flow 26.7x 3.83x 8.26x 5.58x 8.45x 7.37x 8.47x 8.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.99% 6.55% 7.01% 8.21% 7.28% 6.96% 6.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.79% 39.51% 49.25% 51.61% 59.14% 54.67% 53.11% 49.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 206.53% 50.27% 178.5% 144.2% 212.73% 145.9% 150.59% 144.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.045 3.873 3.724 4.557 4.887 4.479 4.551 4.698
Change - 89.42% -3.86% 22.37% 7.24% -8.35% 1.6% 3.25%
Dividend per Share 1 0.4 0.3 0.48 0.55 0.6 1.125 0.768 0.5932
Change - -25% 60% 14.58% 9.09% 87.57% -31.76% -22.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.853 9.35 10.3 11.12 11.44 12.34 12.87 13.66
Change - 5.61% 10.17% 7.95% 2.86% 7.9% 4.33% 6.13%
EPS 1 0.01 0.01 1.19 1.33 1.35 2.263 1.293 1.423
Change - 0% 11,800% 11.76% 1.5% 67.63% -42.85% 10%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000 6,031,000
Announcement Date 3/1/21 2/25/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.26x 14.5x
PBR 1.52x 1.45x
EV / Sales 0.82x 0.84x
Yield 6.02% 4.11%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
18.70THB
Average target price
23.20THB
Spread / Average Target
+24.05%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CRC Stock
  4. Financials Central Retail Corporation