Projected Income Statement: China Gas Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 32,869 42,411 47,584 50,948 51,144 50,298 49,503 48,581
Change - 29.03% 12.2% 7.07% 0.38% -1.65% -1.58% -1.86%
Announcement Date 6/26/20 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 6,995 7,085 8,656 5,879 6,001 4,388 4,564 4,503
Change - 1.29% 22.17% -32.09% 2.09% -26.88% 4.02% -1.35%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -509.4 152.5 1,066 4,149 4,289 4,463 4,546 4,391
Change - 129.94% 598.69% 289.28% 3.38% 4.05% 1.86% -3.4%
Announcement Date 6/26/20 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.03% 21.51% 15.19% 11.37% 10.99% 12.31% 12.68% 12.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.06% 18.45% 12.25% 8.32% 7.42% 8.4% 8.69% 8.96%
EBT Margin (%) 21.37% 20.14% 12.23% 6.56% 5.67% 7.02% 7.4% 7.78%
Net margin (%) 15.43% 14.97% 8.68% 4.67% 3.91% 4.72% 5.03% 5.27%
FCF margin (%) -0.86% 0.22% 1.21% 4.51% 5.27% 5.52% 5.5% 5.19%
FCF / Net Income (%) -5.54% 1.46% 13.91% 96.63% 134.66% 116.93% 109.33% 98.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.28% 8.29% 5.3% 2.68% 2.08% 2.62% 2.78% 2.92%
ROE 24.53% 22.89% 13.94% 7.07% 5.7% 6.8% 7.24% 7.48%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.21x 2.82x 3.55x 4.87x 5.72x 5.05x 4.73x 4.44x
Debt / Free cash flow -64.52x 278.05x 44.65x 12.28x 11.93x 11.27x 10.89x 11.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.75% 10.13% 9.81% 6.39% 7.37% 5.43% 5.52% 5.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.94% 47.07% 64.59% 56.19% 67.06% 44.06% 43.57% 41.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -1,373.18% 4,645.24% 812.25% 141.7% 139.93% 98.32% 100.4% 102.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.243 1.587 1.796 1.861 2.106 1.494 1.472 1.364
Change - 27.73% 13.15% 3.62% 13.18% -29.07% -1.47% -7.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.5 0.4986 0.5008 0.5109
Change - 10% 0% 0% -9.09% -0.28% 0.45% 2.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.589 9.958 11.56 10.64 9.99 10.14 10.36 10.62
Change - 31.22% 16.11% -7.96% -6.13% 1.54% 2.15% 2.48%
EPS 1 1.76 2.01 1.39 0.8 0.59 0.7032 0.7664 0.8225
Change - 14.2% -30.85% -42.45% -26.25% 19.19% 8.99% 7.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,218,563 5,212,369 5,440,436 5,440,336 5,435,573 5,448,153 5,448,153 5,448,153
Announcement Date 6/26/20 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 10.8x 9.89x
PBR 0.75x 0.73x
EV / Sales 1.13x 1.1x
Yield 6.58% 6.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
7.580HKD
Average target price
7.583HKD
Spread / Average Target
+0.04%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 384 Stock
  4. Financials China Gas Holdings Limited