Projected Income Statement: China Gas Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 42,411 47,584 50,948 51,144 51,571 50,553 49,689 49,944
Change - 12.2% 7.07% 0.38% 0.83% -1.97% -1.71% 0.51%
Announcement Date 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 6/27/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,085 8,656 5,879 6,001 4,638 4,002 4,073 4,064
Change - 22.17% -32.09% 2.09% -22.72% -13.7% 1.76% -0.21%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 152.5 1,066 4,149 4,289 4,661 3,371 5,474 5,480
Change - 598.69% 289.28% 3.38% 8.68% -27.68% 62.38% 0.12%
Announcement Date 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 6/27/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Gas Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.51% 15.19% 11.37% 10.99% 12.06% 11.81% 11.87% 12.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.45% 12.25% 8.32% 7.42% 8.26% 7.9% 7.92% 8.24%
EBT Margin (%) 20.14% 12.23% 6.56% 5.67% 6.54% 6.25% 6.47% 6.9%
Net margin (%) 14.97% 8.68% 4.67% 3.91% 4.1% 3.95% 4.13% 4.44%
FCF margin (%) 0.22% 1.21% 4.51% 5.27% 5.88% 4.34% 6.96% 6.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.46% 13.91% 96.63% 134.66% 143.35% 109.9% 168.68% 154.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.29% 5.3% 2.68% 2.08% 2.19% 2.15% 2.26% 2.42%
ROE 22.89% 13.94% 7.07% 5.7% 6.03% 5.58% 5.89% 6.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.82x 3.55x 4.87x 5.72x 5.39x 5.51x 5.32x 5.2x
Debt / Free cash flow 278.05x 44.65x 12.28x 11.93x 11.06x 15x 9.08x 9.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.13% 9.81% 6.39% 7.37% 5.85% 5.15% 5.18% 5.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.07% 64.59% 56.19% 67.06% 48.51% 43.63% 43.63% 42.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,645.24% 812.25% 141.7% 139.93% 99.5% 118.73% 74.4% 74.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.587 1.796 1.861 2.106 1.196 1.338 1.374 1.357
Change - 13.15% 3.62% 13.18% -43.22% 11.87% 2.72% -1.24%
Dividend per Share 1 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5054 0.511
Change - 0% 0% -9.09% 0% 0% 1.08% 1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.958 11.56 10.64 9.99 10 10.1 10.21 10.37
Change - 16.11% -7.96% -6.13% 0.13% 0.97% 1.06% 1.59%
EPS 1 2.01 1.39 0.8 0.59 0.6 0.5587 0.59 0.6383
Change - -30.85% -42.45% -26.25% 1.69% -6.89% 5.61% 8.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,212,369 5,440,436 5,440,336 5,435,573 5,448,153 5,448,153 5,448,153 5,448,153
Announcement Date 6/28/21 6/24/22 6/26/23 6/24/24 6/27/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 12.1x 11.4x
PBR 0.67x 0.66x
EV / Sales 1.12x 1.1x
Yield 7.42% 7.5%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
6.740HKD
Average target price
8.021HKD
Spread / Average Target
+19.01%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 384 Stock
  4. Financials China Gas Holdings Limited
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