Projected Income Statement: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 103,654 188,885 29,238 259,158 327,502 365,197 366,937 364,168
Change - 82.23% -84.52% 786.37% 26.37% 11.51% 0.48% -0.75%
Announcement Date 3/28/21 3/27/22 3/26/23 3/24/24 3/23/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 135,055 127,965 153,744 171,493 139,206 158,015 135,466 128,970
Change - -5.25% 20.15% 11.54% -18.83% 13.51% -14.27% -4.79%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 49,644 97,209 -37,475 -10,018 10,154 25,265 41,568 41,331
Change - 95.81% -138.55% 73.27% 201.36% 148.82% 64.52% -0.57%
Announcement Date 3/28/21 3/27/22 3/26/23 3/24/24 3/23/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.69% 7.67% 5.6% 6.24% 6.23% 6.13% 6.6% 6.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.63% 3.45% 2.29% 2.7% 2.3% 2.09% 2.48% 2.72%
EBT Margin (%) 2.28% 3.98% 2.84% 2.61% 2.25% 1.93% 2.37% 2.68%
Net margin (%) 1.57% 2.63% 1.99% 1.82% 1.59% 1.37% 1.71% 1.92%
FCF margin (%) 2.35% 3.55% -1.13% -0.31% 0.33% 1.05% 1.55% 1.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 149.98% 135.06% -56.65% -17.18% 20.75% 76.34% 90.39% 70.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.89% 3.97% 3.45% 2.93% 2.38% 1.94% 2.34% 2.63%
ROE 4.47% 9.47% 8.49% 7.26% 6% 4.64% 5.63% 6.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.86x 0.9x 0.16x 1.29x 1.71x 2.04x 1.89x 1.77x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.09x 1.94x -0.78x -25.87x 32.25x 11.91x 8.05x 8.81x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.4% 4.67% 4.63% 5.34% 4.53% 5.33% 5.07% 4.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 112.4% 60.85% 82.77% 85.5% 72.73% 85.82% 76.27% 71.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 272.05% 131.64% -410.26% -1,711.85% 1,370.95% 616.7% 359.32% 361%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.384 1.86 0.9618 1.348 1.233 1.497 1.486 1.552
Change - 34.42% -48.28% 40.15% -8.53% 21.38% -0.74% 4.48%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2 0.47 0.355 0.345 0.286 0.2273 0.281 0.3226
Change - 135% -24.47% -2.82% -17.1% -20.52% 23.6% 14.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.124 6.394 6.545 6.728 6.727 6.803 6.933 7.057
Change - 4.41% 2.36% 2.8% -0.01% 1.12% 1.91% 1.8%
EPS 1 0.273 0.594 0.547 0.487 0.404 0.3202 0.4006 0.4684
Change - 117.58% -7.91% -10.97% -17.04% -20.73% 25.09% 16.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 121,071,210 121,071,210 119,896,408 119,349,252 121,280,768 120,925,514 120,925,514 120,925,514
Announcement Date 3/28/21 3/27/22 3/26/23 3/24/24 3/23/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.9x 10.3x
PBR 0.61x 0.6x
EV / Sales 0.35x 0.34x
Yield 5.5% 6.8%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
4.132CNY
Average target price
4.398CNY
Spread / Average Target
+6.43%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 386 Stock
  4. Financials China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation