Projected Income Statement: Ciena Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ciena Corporation

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -927 -80.3 440 294 228 77.3 -586 261
Change - 91.34% 647.95% -33.18% -22.45% -66.04% -858.09% 144.54%
Announcement Date 12/9/21 12/8/22 12/7/23 12/12/24 12/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ciena Corporation

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 79.55 90.82 106.2 136.6 140.8 278.4 294.1 345
Change - 14.16% 16.93% 28.67% 3.04% 97.73% 5.66% 17.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 462.1 -258.6 62.14 377.9 665.3 540 806.4 1,163
Change - -155.96% 124.03% 508.18% 76.05% -18.84% 49.35% 44.17%
Announcement Date 12/9/21 12/8/22 12/7/23 12/12/24 12/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ciena Corporation

Fiscal Period: November 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.41% 13.83% 15.18% 11.98% 13.35% 21.31% 22.94% 24.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.76% 11.19% 13.07% 9.67% 11.17% 18.93% 21.11% 23.57%
EBT Margin (%) 12.78% 5.02% 7.38% 2.99% 3.28% 13.29% 16.92% 20.5%
Net margin (%) 13.81% 4.21% 5.81% 2.09% 2.59% 10.36% 12.26% 13.86%
FCF margin (%) 12.76% -7.12% 1.42% 9.41% 13.95% 8.83% 10.98% 13.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 92.38% -169.11% 24.38% 450.11% 539.41% 85.22% 89.55% 96.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.09% 5.82% 7.61% 4.74% 6.67% 9.92% 12.87% 14.29%
ROE 16.51% 10.08% 14.61% 9.4% 13.84% 28.35% 31.74% 31.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.66x 0.61x 0.36x 0.06x - 0.12x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 7.08x 0.78x 0.34x 0.14x - 0.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.2% 2.5% 2.42% 3.4% 2.95% 4.55% 4.01% 3.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.32% 18.08% 15.95% 28.41% 22.12% 21.36% 17.46% 15.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 17.22% -35.12% 170.91% 36.16% 21.16% 51.56% 36.48% 29.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.456 -1.102 1.127 3.525 5.55 7.335 7.583 12.87
Change - -131.9% 202.23% 212.81% 57.44% 32.17% 3.38% 69.71%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 19.5 18.28 19.67 19.74 19.35 22.08 27.62 35.45
Change - -6.27% 7.59% 0.38% -1.96% 14.09% 25.06% 28.36%
EPS 1 3.19 1 1.71 0.58 0.85 4.374 6.228 8.46
Change - -68.65% 71% -66.08% 46.55% 414.54% 42.41% 35.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 154,929 148,142 147,842 144,427 141,056 141,398 141,398 141,398
Announcement Date 12/9/21 12/8/22 12/7/23 12/12/24 12/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 77x 54.1x
PBR 15.3x 12.2x
EV / Sales 7.8x 6.41x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
336.83USD
Average target price
323.59USD
Spread / Average Target
-3.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CIEN Stock
  4. Financials Ciena Corporation
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