Financials Country Garden Holdings Company Limited

Equities

2007

KYG245241032

Real Estate Development & Operations

Delayed Hong Kong S.E. 04:08:03 2024-03-28 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
0.485 HKD +1.04% Intraday chart for Country Garden Holdings Company Limited -.--% -37.82%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Capitalization 1 179,858 240,364 196,216 128,970 64,511 12,408 12,408 -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 267,616 355,744 356,203 265,592 182,475 160,411 157,246 162,273
P/E ratio 5.4 x 6.23 x 5.75 x 4.66 x -9.07 x -0.22 x -1.09 x -2.14 x
Yield 5.84% 5.12% 5.05% 5.52% - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.47 x 0.49 x 0.42 x 0.25 x 0.15 x 0.03 x 0.04 x 0.04 x
EV / Revenue 0.71 x 0.73 x 0.77 x 0.51 x 0.42 x 0.39 x 0.46 x 0.56 x
EV / EBITDA 3.44 x 3.78 x 4.81 x 4.23 x 21 x -3.13 x -185 x 20.8 x
EV / FCF 10.2 x 30.6 x -14.5 x 34.4 x 5.34 x -2.26 x 11.1 x -3.16 x
FCF Yield 9.77% 3.27% -6.91% 2.91% 18.7% -44.3% 8.98% -31.7%
Price to Book 1.49 x 1.6 x 1.14 x 0.66 x 0.32 x 0.08 x 0.09 x 0.09 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,493,141 21,551,475 21,747,330 22,873,207 27,357,471 27,705,249 27,705,249 -
Reference price 2 8.368 11.15 9.023 5.638 2.358 0.4479 0.4479 0.4479
Announcement Date 3/18/19 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net sales 1 379,079 485,908 462,856 523,064 430,371 409,987 338,176 288,612
EBITDA 1 77,843 94,208 74,032 62,786 8,708 -51,277 -849.7 7,801
EBIT 1 77,018 92,660 71,965 60,399 6,442 -47,231 -2,892 935.9
Operating Margin 20.32% 19.07% 15.55% 11.55% 1.5% -11.52% -0.86% 0.32%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 79,563 98,939 85,529 68,949 5,361 -43,371 -715.4 6,820
Net income 1 34,618 39,550 35,022 26,797 -6,052 -44,799 -13,919 -2,465
Net margin 9.13% 8.14% 7.57% 5.12% -1.41% -10.93% -4.12% -0.85%
EPS 2 1.550 1.790 1.570 1.210 -0.2600 -2.040 -0.4126 -0.2095
Free Cash Flow 1 26,151 11,641 -24,629 7,729 34,193 -71,041 14,123 -51,406
FCF margin 6.9% 2.4% -5.32% 1.48% 7.95% -17.33% 4.18% -17.81%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 33.59% 12.36% - 12.31% 392.66% - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 75.54% 29.43% - 28.84% - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.4884 0.5712 0.4553 0.3110 - - - -
Announcement Date 3/18/19 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S1 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1 2024 S2
Net sales 1 202,006 283,902 184,957 277,899 234,930 288,134 162,363 268,008 226,309 140,453 72,102 108,153
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - - - - 32,220 28,179 7,044 -602 -45,213 -921.3 -6,702 -10,053
Operating Margin - - - - 13.71% 9.78% 4.34% -0.22% -19.98% -0.66% -9.3% -9.3%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - -46,148 - - -
Net income - - 14,132 - - - - - -48,932 - - -
Net margin - - 7.64% - - - - - -21.62% - - -
EPS 0.7100 - 0.6300 - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 0.2287 - 0.2055 - 0.2098 - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 8/22/19 3/27/20 8/25/20 3/25/21 8/24/21 3/30/22 8/30/22 3/30/23 8/30/23 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net Debt 1 87,758 115,380 159,987 136,622 117,964 148,002 144,837 149,864
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.127 x 1.225 x 2.161 x 2.176 x 13.55 x -2.886 x -170.5 x 19.21 x
Free Cash Flow 1 26,151 11,641 -24,629 7,729 34,193 -71,041 14,123 -51,406
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 32.2% 28.9% 21.4% 14.3% 1.3% -26.7% -7.47% -3.67%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 3.05% 2.61% 1.79% 1.35% 0.14% -3.95% -1.24% -0.53%
Assets 1 1,133,834 1,515,616 1,961,478 1,982,027 -4,277,032 1,134,378 1,119,816 466,649
Book Value Per Share 2 5.610 6.960 7.950 8.590 7.440 5.540 5.120 4.920
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.320 0.6500 -0.9700 0.4800 1.510 1.340 1.370 1.180
Capex 1 1,792 2,091 2,998 3,126 1,428 3,343 3,385 3,428
Capex / Sales 0.47% 0.43% 0.65% 0.6% 0.33% 0.82% 1% 1.19%
Announcement Date 3/18/19 3/27/20 3/25/21 3/30/22 3/30/23 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
0.4479 CNY
Average target price
0.5831 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+30.19%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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