Projected Income Statement: CSX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,050 16,577 17,097 17,498 18,198 17,536 17,074 15,818
Change - 17.99% 3.14% 2.35% 4% -3.64% -2.63% -7.36%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,791 2,133 2,281 2,529 2,902 2,317 2,419 2,434
Change - 19.1% 6.94% 10.87% 14.75% -20.18% 4.43% 0.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,308 3,486 3,268 2,718 1,711 3,130 3,350 3,754
Change - 5.38% -6.25% -16.83% -37.05% 82.93% 7.02% 12.09%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CSX Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.01% 49.68% 48.93% 48.22% 45.17% 47.8% 49.08% 49.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 44.67% 39.58% 37.94% 36.82% 33.25% 36.44% 37.7% 38.63%
EBT Margin (%) 39.54% 36.45% 33.37% 31.33% 26.75% 31.19% 32.79% 33.76%
Net margin (%) 30.19% 28.05% 25.35% 23.87% 20.5% 23.78% 24.98% 25.65%
FCF margin (%) 26.42% 23.47% 22.3% 18.69% 12.14% 21.2% 21.68% 23.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 87.49% 83.68% 87.97% 78.33% 59.22% 89.15% 86.77% 91.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.41% 10.11% 8.81% 8.17% 6.68% 7.82% 8.42% 8.9%
ROE 28.42% 31.89% 30.01% 28.34% 22.51% 26.25% 29.99% 26.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2x 2.25x 2.38x 2.5x 2.86x 2.48x 2.25x 1.99x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.25x 4.76x 5.23x 6.44x 10.64x 5.6x 5.1x 4.21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.3% 14.36% 15.56% 17.39% 20.59% 15.69% 15.65% 15.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.53% 28.91% 31.8% 36.07% 45.59% 32.82% 31.9% 30.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.14% 61.19% 69.8% 93.05% 169.61% 74.01% 72.22% 64.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.261 2.624 2.757 2.7 2.463 2.891 3.263 -
Change - 16.07% 5.03% -2.04% -8.8% 17.4% 12.86% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.372 0.4 0.44 0.48 0.52 0.5595 0.6012 0.6393
Change - 7.53% 10% 9.09% 8.33% 7.59% 7.45% 6.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.987 5.892 6.027 6.437 7.026 7.03 6.981 8.099
Change - -1.59% 2.29% 6.8% 9.15% 0.05% -0.69% 16.02%
EPS 1 1.68 1.95 1.85 1.79 1.54 1.899 2.169 2.362
Change - 16.07% -5.13% -3.24% -13.97% 23.32% 14.19% 8.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,217,983 2,101,822 1,976,132 1,928,423 1,862,018 1,858,139 1,858,139 1,858,139
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/23/25 1/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 24.2x 21.2x
PBR 6.56x 6.6x
EV / Sales 6.98x 6.64x
Yield 1.21% 1.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
46.08USD
Average target price
45.80USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CSX Stock
  4. Financials CSX Corporation